Showing posts with label M and M Financial. Show all posts
Showing posts with label M and M Financial. Show all posts

27 January 2015

M&M Financial Services -Results disappoint; challenges prevail :: Centrum

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21 January 2015

Mahindra & Mahindra Financial: NPL raises its ugly head, no sign of a respite :: Kotak Securities

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NPL raises its ugly head, no sign of a respite. MMFS’ earnings were significantly
below expectations mainly because of a sharp (17% qoq) rise in NPLs and higher
provisions thereof. We believe the company will retain focus on recoveries as the
operating environment continues to pose challenges. We expect MMFS’ performance to
be muted in the medium term. We cut estimates; retain SELL with price target of `260

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Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services Ltd. | Q3FY15 Result Update | We don’t have a formal rating on the stock :: IndiaNivesh, report

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20 January 2015

Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services - GNPL’s Breach 7% Mark; Outlook Cautious; Result Update Q3FY15 :: Edelweiss, report

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19 January 2015

Not out of the woods - MMFS ::HDFC Securities

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27 October 2014

M&M Financial Services - Q2FY15 Result Update - Inline results; recovery efforts underway :Centrum

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23 January 2014

M&M Financial Services - Earnings Revision - Weak quarter; asset quality concern to drag stock performance :: Centrum

Rating: Hold; Target Price: Rs240; CMP: Rs254; Downside: 6%



Weak quarter; asset quality concern to drag stock performance



MMFS’ Q3FY14 results surprised negatively with a) weak operational
performance b) higher than expected rise in NPAs and c) bleak
prospects of growth and NPA management.  Asset quality woes are
unlikely to recede and will warrant increased credit cost
provisioning. This, in addition to lower growth and margin pressures
will impact return ratios further. We have lowered our FY14/FY15 PAT
estimates by 11%/ 9% respectively, on the back of higher provisioning
and are now factoring in 18% CAGR in profits over FY13-16E. The stock
has underperformed the broad index in the past 1-month/ 6-months and
trades at 2.4x Dec’15E ABV of Rs105 which in our view seems reasonable
given relatively stable RoA profile when compared to its peers. Retain
HOLD with a revised target price of Rs240.

$ Challenging quarter: Q3FY14 NII at Rs6.7bn (+21% yoy) came in lower
than our/ consensus estimates and was led by interest reversal
(Rs400mn) on NPAs. Adjusted for this, growth was in line with
estimates. Asset quality surprised negatively with GNPA at Rs15.1bn,
+53% yoy and provisions at Rs1.8bn, +1.2x yoy. Net profit at Rs1.6bn
declined 18% yoy. NIM on AuM (calc) came in at 8.5% (-48bps qoq).

$ Asset quality woes unlikely to recede anytime soon: Management
attributed the reason for higher than expected increase in GNPA to a)
weak cash flows following delay in announcement of minimum support
price (MSP) in some pockets, b) stress in Southern India (45% of GNPAs
are from this region), c) migration of NPA into lower buckets and d)
repossession. While the trend is expected to reverse to a certain
extent in Q4FY14 (seasonally it has been a strong quarter). The
outlook on asset quality however remains bleak in H1FY15 given
seasonally weak quarters, growth slowdown and pain in southern India.

$ AuM grows +28% yoy, disbursements YTD +14% yoy: AuM growth at 28%
yoy was driven by segments of cars (+36% yoy), tractors (+28% yoy) and
refinancing (+64% yoy).  Q3 disbursement growth at 8% yoy was from
tractors and refinancing.  On liability, despite easing money market
rates, the proportion of bank loans continues to remain high at ~50%.
Incremental borrowing for the quarter was under bank loans and
commercial paper window (94%).

$ Weak asset quality outlook warrants earnings revision: In our recent
report, we highlighted that industry-wide auto volume slowdown and
pain in south India, will translate into lower growth and impact
margins for MMFS. Management guided that in addition to lower growth,
NPA concerns will stay elevated for few more quarters. This implies
increased credit cost provisioning and further pressure on return
ratios. We have thereby revised our credit cost assumptions upwards by
30bps (avg) to 1.6% and consequently lowered our earnings estimates.
We value MMFS at 2.3x Dec 15E ABV of Rs105 and arrive at a target
price of Rs240.



Thanks & Regards

--

02 September 2013

Sizzling Stocks - Sesa Goa, Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services :: Business Line


Sizzling Stocks - Sesa Goa (Rs 187.3)
The stock surged over 30 per cent, registering an intraweek high of Rs 198.9 before settling with 22.5 per cent gains for the week. This rally was on the back of the delisting of Sterlite Industries with effect from August 27. Moreover, Sesa Goa was included in the S&P BSE Sensex in place of Sterlite Industries. Following a medium-term downtrend, the stock found support at around Rs 120 in late July and early August 2013. Subsequently, it reversed direction triggered by positive divergence in daily relative strength index and moving average convergence divergence indicator. Since then, the stock has been on a short-term uptrend. Last week's strong rally breached its key resistances at Rs 160 and Rs 175 decisively. There has been an increase in volume over the past two weeks. The stock is trading well above its 50 and 200-day moving averages.
The stock is facing resistance in the band between Rs 200 and Rs 205. Only a strong breakthrough of this band will pave the way for an up-move to Rs 220 and then to Rs 235 in the medium-term. Next significant resistances are pegged at Rs 245 and Rs 260. A conclusive rally above Rs 300 will be conducive for a long-term up-move to Rs 350. Important supports for the stock are positioned at Rs 175, Rs 160 and then at Rs 140.
Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services (Rs 252.7)
The stock surged 16.8 per cent last week, taking support from its key medium-term base level at Rs 215. The stock's recent up-move has emphatically breached its important resistance at around Rs 240. With this rally, the stock appears to have resumed its long-term uptrend that has been in place from its June 2012 low of Rs 120. Short-term trend is also up. However, the stock is currently testing significant resistance at Rs 260. A strong breach of this resistance will take the stock northwards to Rs 285 and to new highs in the medium-term. But, inability to surpass Rs 260 will confine the stock to hovering sideways in the wide range between Rs 215 and Rs 260, before progressing higher.
On the downside, a decisive fall below Rs 215 will pull the stock down to Rs 200 and then to Rs 180 in the medium-term. Key immediate supports are pegged at Rs 240 and Rs 228 levels.

29 August 2013

Investment Focus - M&M Finance FD: Invest :: Business Line

These are troubled times for India’s equity and debt markets. Slowing economic growth and a freefall in the value of the rupee vis-à-vis the US dollar, besides other major global currencies, are among the chief reasons for this state of affairs. With most asset classes under pressure to perform in such a scenario, one relatively safe investment option stands out -- fixed deposits.

HIGH SAFETY

Mahindra and Mahindra Financial Services (MMFSL) a leading non-banking financial services company, predominantly engaged in automobile financing, offers attractive rates on its two- and three-year fixed deposit schemes.
The company’s FD has been rated FAAA by CRISIL. This assures the highest level of safety for your principal and interest receivable. So, the chance of you losing your principal or interest is the least. The minimum amount you may have to invest under this scheme is Rs 10,000.

ATTRACTIVE RETURNS

MMFSL offers 10 per cent interest annually on the money you invest under the cumulative option for a 24-month period. If you are looking to invest your surplus funds over a longer time horizon, you can go for the three-year option. The company offers 10.25 per cent annually under the cumulative option for a three-year period.
If you are a senior citizen, who has completed 60 years of age, you are eligible to receive an additional 0.25 per cent as interest.
This is much higher than the interest rate offered by other FD schemes with a comparable rating. For instance, Sundaram Finance with an MAAA rating by ICRA, which also denotes highest safety, offers 9.5 per cent interest annually on its two- and three-year deposits. Senior citizens are entitled to an additional 0.5 per cent. MMFSL’s FD, despite being rated at par with Sundaram Finance’s FD in terms of the safety of the principal, offers 0.5 per cent more for the depositors. The tax treatment is similar to other FD schemes.
Interest income beyond Rs 10,000 will attract a TDS of 10 per cent if you fail to provide a 15G/15H declaration stating that your interest income is within the exemption limits.
Having started as an exclusive financier for M&M’s vehicles in 1993, it has gradually diversified into vehicles of other manufacturers. In the last two decades, the company has also reduced dependency on commercial vehicles and tractors by foraying into utility vehicles, cars and construction equipment.
With an improvement in the business fundamentals, it has managed to improve its asset quality significantly over the last four years. Its gross non-performing assets, (the measure of the quantum of bad loans), have improved from 6.4 per cent to 3 per cent. MMFSL’s disbursement grew 31.8 per cent in the June quarter. The net interest margin stood at 8.6 per cent for the quarter.

05 May 2013

Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services - Operating profit resilience high; BUY ::Prabhudas Lilladher


MMFS reported PAT of Rs3.34bn, ~higher than consensus post adjustment of one‐
off gains, driven by higher margins and lower credit costs. Growth momentum
continues to surprise (~35% growth) and though a moderation is expected,
management commentary was very positive. With rate cycle in it’s favour, we
expect MMFS to report strongest FY14 PPOP growth (~30%) and this, coupled with
reducing asset quality risk (low waiver chances + positive start to monsoon
outlook), would be key stock catalysts. We maintain ‘BUY’ with PT of Rs250
! Growth outcomes better than street expectations: The key Q4FY13 highlight
was the resilience in AUM growth (~35% YoY growth) driven by all segments
except for some slowdown seen in non-M&M cars evident from slowing OEM
sales. Despite the challenging macro, management highlighted growing
importance of MMFS in increasing rural penetration of most OEMs and this is
likely to continue to aid loan growth. We see limited risk to our ~22% growth
expectations for FY14.
! Stable asset quality; Positive outlook on margins: Asset quality trends have
been stable and with MHCVs forming <20 book="" cv="" management="" mmfs="" of="" p="" s="">does not see any risk to their CV book. Moreover, MMFS has prudently started
building a provisioning buffer (Rs350m) from the stake sale gains of their
insurance subsidiary. Margins held up better than expectations, with cost of
funds moderating QoQ and with a 100% fixed rate book, rate cycle is very likely
to have a positive impact on MMFS’s margins in FY14 (we expect ~30bps
improvement).
! High PPOP resilience in FY14; Maintain BUY: With a better-than-industry
outcome on growth and improving margins, we expect MMFS to report best-inclass
PPOP growth of ~30% in FY14 and should be a key stock catalyst. With the
possibility of a debt waiver receding (low fiscal flexibility) and positive forecasts
on monsoons, asset quality risks have reduced

14 November 2012

Mahindra Finance ‐ Momentum sustaining; vals reasonable 􀂄 :: Prabhudas Lilladher,


Mahindra Finance ‐ Momentum sustaining; vals reasonable
􀂄 Growth going strong; FY14 could be another strong year: MMFS has been
reporting better-than-expected growth of ~35% YoY driven by all segments excl.
tractors as Mahindra continues to add new OEMs and aid in their rural sales
financing. We believe Congress despite tight fiscal situation will continue rural
spending next year as it will be the pre-election year and thus, volumes are
expected to remain strong in FY14 as well.
􀂄 Fixed rate book ‐ Margins to inch up: MMFS's margins have been inching down
as funding costs increased over last 4-6 quarters as MMFS did not pass on the
entire cost hike to consumers. With wholesale rates easing and a completely
fixed rate book, we believe margins for MMFS will bounce back over the next 3-
4 quarters.
􀂄 Operating leverage improving: MMFS's cost-to-assets have come off as opex
growth remains lower than B/S growth as against their earlier long-term
guidance of 3.5% stable cost/assets, MMFS is currently at ~3.2-3.3% cost/assets
and management has now guided for 3.0% stable cost/assets guidance,
indicating that operating leverage has aided in lowering opex/assets.
􀂄 Asset quality stable; CRISIL feedback suggests limited stress on securitized
pools: Credit costs have held up at relatively lower levels and management
guidance continues to remain sanguine but there is limited primary data to
corroborate management guidance. However, our feedback from CRISIL
(securitization team) suggests that asset quality performance of MMFS's tractor
pools have been satisfactory and there is no unusual build up in overdue
buckets.
􀂄 ROEs relatively high even after assuming a dilution: Sensitivity to Rs8bn
dilution indicates a post dilution ROE of ~20% which remains best in class and
valuations on diluted book at 1.9x FY14 book is undemanding in our view.

21 September 2012

Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services ::Prabhudas Lilladher, Banks/Financials conference


􀂄 Bullish on Growth: Management remains extremely bullish on growth, clearly
an exception to the overall tone of significant slowdown. Management at the
minimum intends to double their current ~Rs200bn loan book in 3 yrs and
believe that they will achieve their 2x size faster than 3yrs as they continue to
penetrate new OEMs and add new product categories.
􀂄 Adding new growth drivers: Mahindra's biggest advantage is that it is well
diversified in 4-5 product categories and management is adding new product
categories. Mahindra Finance plans to build a SME book largely lending to the
Mahindra ecosystem. Also apart from penetrating new OEMs in most of its
product categories, they plan to increase the share of high yielding 2nd hand
vehicle portfolio to 12-15% of their loan book from 7-8% currently.
􀂄 Positioned to benefit from an easing rate cycle: Margins have come off over the
last 6 qtrs as Mahindra Finance has not passed on the entire rate hikes to
customers and with an easing rate cycle, expects margins to improve over FY13-
14. Long term funding rates have already come off by 20-30bps and with limited
dependence on direct assignments, MMFS expects margins to improve.
􀂄 Asset quality ‐ Maintaining LTV discipline key: Management believes that they
have had a tight control on LTVs (avg. 66-67%) in spite of the high growth and
hence does not expect large negative asset quality surprises. Tractor portfolio
could have been partially exposed to the low monsoon but recent pickup is
positive. We factor in ~170bps of credit costs from ~100bps delivered in FY12
and hence some pick up delinquencies in Tractor/CV book is factored by us and
the street.

20 September 2012

Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services - Stake sale in subsidiary at attractive valuations:: Edelweiss


Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services (MMFS) has approved 12.37% stake sale in its wholly-owned subsidiary, Mahindra Insurance Brokers Limited (MBIL) to Inclusion Resources, a subsidiary of Leapfrog Financial Inclusion Fund. MBIL is engaged in insurance broking operations, sourcing 85% of customers from the Mahindra Group. The pre-tax inflow to MMFS will be INR643mn valuing MBIL at INR5.2bn (INR50 per share for MMFS). Given the strategic nature of the investment with investment horizon of 5-7 years the sale has taken place at 38P/E on FY12 basis. Further Leapfrog will participate in fresh equity infusion of 2.63%, increasing stake in MBIL to 15% and thereby also providing funds for expansion.
The transaction has been concluded at very lucrative valuations, in our view. Further, equity infusion of ~INR140mn will take care of expansion needs of MBIL which was recently awarded a Composite Broking License, enabling it to undertake Reinsurance broking in addition to its existing insurance broking for Life and Non-Life products. We view this as long term positive as MBIL will expand to clientele outside of Mahindra Group.

25 June 2012

Mahindra Finance (MMFS IN) Initiate OW: De-risked rural growth story 􀀗HSBC Research


Mahindra Finance (MMFS IN)
Initiate OW: De-risked rural growth story
􀀗 After three droughts and the global liquidity crisis, MMFS
has re-oriented and insulated itself from volatility
􀀗 We believe the share price has reflected the risks (regulatory,
drought, funding) but not potential growth
􀀗 Initiate with OW and a target price of INR780, implying
potential return of 26%; stock catalyst is lower rates



30 April 2012

Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services Ltd. Q4FY12 Result updates BY GEPL CAPITAL Pdf Link

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Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services Ltd.

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