Showing posts with label eClerx. Show all posts
Showing posts with label eClerx. Show all posts

03 February 2015

Disappoints again… • eClerx’ Q3FY15 :: ICICI Securities, report

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02 February 2015

eClerx Services - Revenue in Line; Margin Downtrend Continues ::Edelweiss

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Margin trajectory waning eClerx :: HDFC Securities

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05 November 2014

Multiples untenable given moderating growth, margin • eClerx :: ICICI Securities, PDF link

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03 November 2014

eClerx Services - Revenue in Line; Margin Disappoints Again; Result :: Edelweiss

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12 October 2014

eClerx Services: Buy :: Business Line

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Among mid-tier technology players, only a select set has consistently grown across market cycles. BPO/KPO businesses have, however, generally found strong traction.
eClerx Services a mid-sized BPO and KPO player, has expanded its client base across its key offerings — cable and telecom, financial services, and sales and marketing services. This has delivered consistent growth in financials.
A desirable geographic-mix, declining client concentration and sustained customer additions are key positives for eClerx.
At ₹1,410, the stock trades at a little over 14 times its likely FY15 per share earnings, making it a reasonable bet for investors with a two-year horizon.
This valuation is lower than the 15-18 times earnings multiple that most performing mid-tier IT players trade at.
In general, demand for BPOs remains strong as it is not a discretionary expenditure. For the top-tier IT players, the BPO sector continues to grow at an impressive pace — over 20 per cent in some cases — reflecting the strong demand in the space.
In FY14, the company’s revenues increased by 32.6 per cent over 2012-13 to around  ₹852 crore , while net profit rose 47.5 per cent to around  ₹256 crore. eClerx’s net margin, at 30 per cent, is among the highest in the industry and far ahead of most mid- and small-tier IT and BPO companies.
Healthy business mix
The company has seen dependence on its top clients decline steadily over the last couple of years, as it adds newer customers.
The top five clients now account for 71 per cent of eClerx’s overall revenues, compared with nearly 90 per cent a couple of years ago. Revenues from emerging customers have been growing at 33-40 per cent over the past four-five quarters.
This trend has also gained momentum after the company made a significant acquisition in Agilyst, a US-based KPO player, a couple of years ago. In addition to helping it penetrate the US market, this acquisition added significantly to eClerx’s client base.
The focus on adding new customers, rather than depending heavily on a few older clients, has held the company in good stead. Many small offshore players fell off the radar when large IT spenders reduced the number of vendors they dealt with. But eClerx bucked this trend and has staved off client attrition.
Over the past four quarters, the company has, in fact, added 15 new customers, taking its number of clients to 65. eClerx has maintained its utilisation rates at 64-66 per cent in the past, though it dipped to 61 per cent in the recent quarter.
The company has indicated that this figure would significantly improve over the rest of the fiscal. It is likely to compare favourably with the figures reported by many mid-tier IT companies.
Cost control
The company has also kept costs under check. Its selling and distribution costs are under control, at 12-14 per cent of revenues, even as it seeks to woo new customers. Employee costs too have been contained to less than 35 per cent of revenues in the previous two fiscals.
The company has a healthy geographic mix, with the US contributing to 73 per cent of its overall revenues and Europe pitching in with about 22 per cent. This is a healthy blend as the US is still the largest market for outsourcing of BPO and KPO services, even as an under-penetrated Europe market continues to grow at a healthy pace.
Another key advantage for eClerx is that almost its entire workforce, is based out of India, thus optimising costs. Attrition, although reduced from the levels over 30 per cent, is still quite high at 24.6 per cent. Sharp wage hikes to stem this may affect the company’s margins.

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25 January 2014

Revising to Hold on expensive valuations - eClerx :: Centrum

Revising to Hold on expensive valuations
eClerx delivered revenue growth slightly ahead of our expectations with strong
growth across both non-top-5 and top-5 clients. Though EBITDA margins at 40.5%
were 342bps below our expectations, investments in Selling & Distribution were
responsible for 206bps margin decline while G&A increase took away another
53bps. We think only better than expected traction can provide upside to our
estimates and given the sharp run-up since we initiated coverage, we urge new
investors to wait for a better entry point. We revise our rating downward to Hold,
but maintain our 1-year target price of Rs1,260.
Revenue ahead of expectations with some pull-in of projects from 4QFY14:
Though revenue growth was slightly ahead of expectations, this was the effect of a
budget-flush like situation with some clients, where planned activity for 4QFY14
was moved up to 3QFY14. Management suggested that almost 25% of the growth
this quarter could be due to this reason. We note that top-5 and non-top-5 growth
was strong with incremental revenue from both categories at USD0.8Mn (third
successive quarter where incremental revenue from non-top-5 has met or exceeded
top-5 contribution) thereby lowering top-5 client concentration further to 74%.
Investing more in Sales and Marketing to drive non-top-5 growth: Sales and
distribution (S&D) costs jumped 18.1% QoQ due to both addition in headcount as
well as provisioning for bonuses. Even excluding the reclassification of some
employees deputed from India as part of onsite sales, there has been an uptick in
sales headcount. We hope that sales investments to mine the non-top-5 financial
services clients will improve the non-top-5 growth even further.
Growth trajectory to remain unchanged despite client budget uptick for IT:
Since eClerx’s services mostly cater to operations, they do not expect a material
improvement to their growth trajectory even in the event of improved client
spending on IT. We think that there is potentially more work for eClerx as increased
spending on new systems creates more short-term projects such as data cleansing.
However, we think that these services may already be a significant portion of the
portfolio in the top-5 clients and improving traction might need closer alignment to
clients outside the non-top-5 and await results of the new sales strategy.
Downgrading to Hold given expensive valuation after recent sharp run up: We
retain our revenue estimates (awaiting clear signs of an improved growth trajectory
from sales investments) and reduce our margin estimates on account of sharp
increases in S&D costs. eClerx is currently trading at 12.2x 1-Year forward EPS. Given
concerns on client concentration and long-term scalability, we retain our target
multiple of 11x (and note that our target multiple for HCL Tech and Wipro is only
14x) and maintain our 1-Year TP of Rs1,260. Key upside risk to our call is from better
than expected revenue traction (which will mean EPS estimate upgrades) while the
key downside risk comes from significant rupee appreciation.

29 October 2013

eClerx, :: Centrum

Revenue pop postponed, net-income surprises positively
We revise our estimates for eClerx’ revenues and EBITDA margins marginally but
increase our Net Income expectations anticipating lower forex losses than earlier.
We maintain Buy with a new Sep’14 TP of Rs1,105 (Vs earlier Sep’14 TP of Rs 1,068).
Though eClerx’s 2QFY14 revenues were somewhat below our expectations, up only
3.3%/14.4% QoQ/YoY in USD terms (vs. our estimate of 5.6% QoQ), we remain
optimistic about a very strong quarter in the near horizon given more optimism
about the Fin. Svcs. segment and continued sales investments. With better than
expected G&A control and stable pricing, we expect EBITDA margins to be around
the 39% mark for FY14-FY16.

01 February 2013

ECLERX SERVICES Healthy results in uncertain times :: Edelweiss


eClerx’s Q3FY13 revenues at USD31.3mn (QoQ growth of 5%) were higher
than the Street estimate of USD31.0mn. PAT at INR490mn was significantly
higher than our estimate of INR433mn, largely due to higher operating
profits and lower tax rate (16.3% vs. 25.3% in Q2FY13). The management
reiterated organic growth would remain soft owing to regulatory changes
that are impacting clients’ businesses. Even as organic growth remains soft
in near term, we believe the long term story remains intact for eClerx
owing to its cost‐focused business model. At P/E of 8.6x FY14E, we
maintain ‘BUY’.
Good show in uncertain times
eClerx posted revenues of USD31.3mn, growth of 5.0% on a consolidated basis.
However, ~50% of this growth was driven by short term projects which have been
completed during the quarter. EBIT margin saw an expansion of 240bps QoQ to 34.8%
due to short term projects as these resulted in a higher utilisation. North America
posted a growth of 5.0% (12.0% growth in Q2FY13). Europe continues to witness
pressure and declined 0.5% QoQ. Contribution by top 5 clients declined by 100bps QoQ
to 78%.
Organic growth to remain soft
The management reiterated organic business to stay soft. However, probable short
term projects could cause a greater QoQ volatility in the medium term. The slow
organic growth in future is due to ongoing regulatory changes, particularly in the
financial services, that are driving clients to move towards low risk businesses, thus
requiring changes in processes which could impact growth. On the positive side, short
term projects coming up due to these changes could aid growth, although these could
be lumpy in nature.
Outlook and valuations: Attractive; maintain ‘BUY’
We are revising downwards our FY14E USD revenue growth to 20% from 22%, however
revision of USD/INR rate to INR54 from INR52 earlier enables to maintain our EPS at
INR73. Even as organic growth remains soft in the near term, the long term story
remains intact due to its cost‐focused business model and we like it for its high ROE
and dividend payout. At 8.6x FY14E EPS we maintain ‘BUY/SO’ with a TP of INR880.

eClerx Services Inline show, inexpensive valuations drive upgrade:: Emkay


n eClerx’s Dec’12 qtr operating performance was inline with
expectations with a 5% QoQ US$ rev growth and ~190 bps
sequential increase in EBITDA margins to 39.1%
n Profits at Rs 490 mn (+94% QoQ) beat exp a tad (Emkay est
of Rs 464 mn) led by lower taxes. Strong traction in emerging
accounts continues, albeit on a low base
n Management indicates softness in co wide revenue growth
as client concentration related sluggishness continues to
daunt overall performance
n Moderate our rev est (16% growth V/s 19% earlier for FY14),
FY13/14E EPS remain unchanged. Inexpensive valuations at
~11/9x FY13/14E P/E drive ratings upgrade albeit BUY case
remains contingent on uptick in revenue growth trajectory
Inline operating performance, profit beat driven by lower taxes
eClerx reported revenues at US$ 31.3 mn (+5%QoQ) , inline with est (Emkay est US$
31.1 mn) with margins expanding by ~190 bps sequentially to 39.1% (V/s est of ~140
bps increase). However profits at Rs 490 mn (+94% QoQ) beat expectations (Emkay est
Rs 464 mn) driven largely by lower than expected taxes (16% V/s est of 22%).
Management indicated that strong revenue growth during the qtr was aided by certain
short term projects during the quarter with emerging accounts growing strongly by ~10%
QoQ (albeit on a low base). Headcount addition was weak at a net addition of 77 people
during the quarter and the lowest since Mar’09 quarter.
Management cites softness in revenue growth in near/medium term, high
client concentration/ challenges in some top clients impacting co
performance
eClerx management continues to guide for a soft revenue growth in the
near/medium term driven by challenges in at least a couple of top 5 clients in our
view. While eClerx has made the necessary sales investments through the past 12-
18 months to drive greater traction in the emerging accounts which has yielded
some positive results, the high client concentration and the related sluggishness
continues to impact overall revenue growth. In this context, it is worth highlighting
that the top 5 clients have grown by ~12% YoY in Dec’12 qtr V/s an impressive
30%+ until Dec’11 qtr.
Moderate FY14 rev est, inexpensive valuations drive ratings upgrade
While we moderate our revenue estimates for FY14 (build in a 16% US$ revenue growth
V/s 19% earlier), our FY13/14E earnings remain largely unchanged at ~Rs 56/69 driven
by Dec’12 qtr beat and higher other income in FY14. While an up tick in revenue
growth trajectory remains paramount to building in a strong BUY case,
inexpensive valuations at 11.4x/9.2x FY13/14E P/E along with 4% dividend yield
limit any case for sharp absolute downside in our view. Thereby, we upgrade our
ratings to ACCUMULATE (V/s HOLD earlier) with an unchanged TP of Rs 720 and
would recommend buying into any further stock weakness.

31 January 2013

Eclerx Services: TP: ` 770 Buy: Dolat Capital


View: Eclerx has reported Q3FY13 numbers slightly better than our estimates
but the growth in the revenues were largely driven by strong momentum in short
term projects. Weak rampup in the BFS segment (as indicated in commentary),
likely onsite delivery inclusion and unfavorable captive-third party business
preposition remains a risk and would result in revenue/earnings growth moderation
in FY14/15. We maintain our underperform rating on the stock.
Financial Services to remain volatile: It expect volatility in the BFS revenues
as the regulatory driven demand (Dodd Frank, Anti-money laundering, Capital
Adequacy and others approaching deadline) are getting fragmented to small
size projects as clients are nervous on their mid-to-long term plans and are
thus restricting on co-processing on RTB opportunity.
Cable & Telco to drive traction: It expects sustained growth moderation in
its traditional business lines (both in Financial and S&M services) and is relying
heavily on the acquired business line in the Cable & Telco segment. It is
expecting strong growth over its USD 15mn revenue run rate of CY12. We
anticipates risk here owing to weak spending patterns in this verticals and
incremental spend to be largely dependent on RTB (cost cutting) opportunities.
Contemplating onsite: It is also contemplating a thought of an onsite delivery
presence in anticipation of pooling of demand for near-shore delivery by the
clients to avert on country risk. The demand currently is very soft (10-12 seat)
but would change the overall operating metrics is view of lower onsite margins
and the transition/setting up costs, and thus remains the risk to the stock.
Q3 results – What has changed?: We largely maintain our estimates with
Sales/EBIT CAGR of about 18%/13% over FY13-15E modeling for lower revenue
growth anticipation owing to challenging captive/third party business preposition
and likely OPM dilution due to changed revenue mix post inclusion of new
Telecom & Cable business segment (OPM in mid 20% versus over 35% overall).

11 September 2012

ECLERX SERVICES Outlook improving ::Edelweiss


We recently interacted with eClerx Services’ (eClerx) management to get
a business update and outlook going forward. Our key inference was that
demand is on an uptick and the pipeline is better than it was a quarter
ago; hence, the company expects growth to pick up in the organic
business in Q2FY13, and expects H2FY13 to be better than H1FY13. The
improving outlook and robust growth from Agilyst give us the confidence
to build in 24%/22% USD revenue growth for FY13E/FY14E, respectively.
At 12x FY14E EPS we maintain ‘BUY’ with a revised TP of INR915.

26 July 2012

eClerx's Q1FY13 result was in-line with our expectations::SPA



eClerx's Q1FY13 result was in-line with our expectations. The company reported revenues of $28.1mn
(SPAe: 28.4mn) of which $2.3mn (90% of the incremental) contribution came from Agilyst. Organically revenue
grew 1% sequentially to $25.8mn and EBITDA Margins expanded by 40bps on the back of INR depreciation to
38.6%. The company also added 8 new clients. Thus, on the back of strong growth and higher than industry
margin profile, we continue to recommend BUY with a 2-year target price of INR 874.0.


12 June 2012

eClerx Services - Near-term pain, long-term gain; visit note; Buy : Edelweiss, PDF link


We recently met the eClerx Services (eClerx) management for a business update and outlook going forward. While it stated that growth in H1FY13 could moderate due to delays in decision making, discussions with clients over longer time horizon indicate momentum will continue and growth is will pick up in H2FY13. We continue to prefer eClerx for its cost focused business model and expect it to post revenue CAGR of 20% over FY12-14E along with high ROE (over 40%) and a dividend payout of 50%. At P/E of 8.6x FY14E. Maintain BUY.   

23 April 2012

Buy eClerx Services; Target :Rs 820 ::ICICI Securities, PDF link

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http://www.icicidirect.com/mailimages/ICICIdirect_eClerx_EventUpdate.pdf


A p t   s t e p s   t o   a d d r e s s   c l i e n t   c o n c e n t r a t i o n   r i s k …
Last week, eClerx announced the acquisition of Agilyst Inc, an operational
and analytic support service provider to the US media & telecom industry,
in an all cash deal. The investment was routed through eClerx’ wholly
owned subsidiary, eClerx Investments Ltd. Though the company held an
analyst conference call on Friday, April 13, 2012, financial details of the
transaction would be shared on deal closure and financial consolidation.
Below, we highlight the key takeaways from the call:
ƒ Agilyst- A niche operational and analytics company
Agilyst is a five year old $10 million revenue run-rate (FY12) US
based knowledge process outsourcing service provider with a
delivery centre in  Chandigarh. With ~1,000 employees (99%
offshore), the company provides error identification, customer
experience analysis and end-user support services. The typical
engagement size is similar to eClerx (small – four or five employees,
large 40-50) while the revenue/employee is likely lower than eClerx
(30,000-33,000/employees).
ƒ We estimate likely payoffs of $14-17 million in cash
The management suggested than Agilyst grew faster than eClerx,
which itself grew ~40% CAGR during FY08-11. Agilyst EBITDA
margins could likely be lower (25-30% range) than eClerx (~39% in
FY11) given higher proportion of first level managers, longer training
time than eClerx and unavailability of requisite skill manpower.
Given its healthy cash balance of ~| 200 crore, eClerx would fund
the deal through internal accruals. Payment structure includes earnouts based on future performance. Assuming Mcap/revenue metric
of 1.4-1.7x yields a deal value of ~$14-17 million for Agilyst and
translates  to an  EV/EBITDA multiple range of  5.6-6.8x assuming
25% EBITDA margins.
V a l u a t i o n
eClerx is trading at 12.9x and 11.5x our FY12E and FY13E diluted EPS
estimate of | 56.8 and | 63.6, respectively. We model revenue/earnings to
grow at 29%/25% CAGR during FY11-13E and continue to value ESL at
| 820 i.e. at 12.9x our FY13E EPS estimate and maintain our BUY rating
with a target price of | 820.