ITC has test launched 64mm cigarettes (Capstan at INR2.0/stick, Gold Flake at INR2.5/stick) in UP and Bihar; an expected move due to the ~40% tax differential between 64mm and 69mm categories. Though we perceive this as positive, we expect limited volumes (1-2% of total cigarette volumes) due to high price differential (INR2/stick against INR1/stick) with smuggled contraband cigarettes (~INR18bn market; ~10% of industry). Competitors like VST are also testing this category in Chhattisgarh and Andhra Pradesh. ITC has recently hiked prices of its Sunfeast biscuits (Dark Fantasy by 10%, Bourbon by ~18%) and soaps (Vivel 90gm soap by 5%). Although FY13 cigarette volumes are expected to be flattish, we are positive on cigarette business’ earnings growth due to margin expansion and turnaround of FMCG business. Maintain ‘BUY’.
20 June 2012
ITC - Testing waters with 64mm cigarettes :Edelweiss PDF link
ITC has test launched 64mm cigarettes (Capstan at INR2.0/stick, Gold Flake at INR2.5/stick) in UP and Bihar; an expected move due to the ~40% tax differential between 64mm and 69mm categories. Though we perceive this as positive, we expect limited volumes (1-2% of total cigarette volumes) due to high price differential (INR2/stick against INR1/stick) with smuggled contraband cigarettes (~INR18bn market; ~10% of industry). Competitors like VST are also testing this category in Chhattisgarh and Andhra Pradesh. ITC has recently hiked prices of its Sunfeast biscuits (Dark Fantasy by 10%, Bourbon by ~18%) and soaps (Vivel 90gm soap by 5%). Although FY13 cigarette volumes are expected to be flattish, we are positive on cigarette business’ earnings growth due to margin expansion and turnaround of FMCG business. Maintain ‘BUY’.
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When should you EXIT your MF investment? 5 POINTERS :Morning Star
Should you exit if your mutual fund has had a manager change? Ask these five questionsto help you decide.
If you own a fund that has recently had a manager change, the good news is that you can take your time to size up the situation; the value of the fund's basket of holdings won't be affected overnight. That stands in contrast with publicly traded stocks, where the departure of a high-profile CEO has the potential to shake up the share price immediately.
Thus, the first piece of advice to investors in this situation is to take time to evaluate the implications of the manager change -- for the fund's positioning, performance, and its role in your portfolio.
The following questions will help you frame your thinking.
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Edelweiss Technical Reflection (ETR) 20 June
After Monday’s large down day, the indices exhibited a rebound rally that helped Nifty scale back above the 5100 mark. Overshadowing the daily close near the high of the day was the extreme volatility witnessed intraday with wild swings in either direction. Such a move is associated with rebound rallies within a downtrend and we are within a very near-term corrective phase. Nifty has moved back above the 21 and 50 hourly EMAs that will provide support till 5077. Volumes in yesterday’s session were marginally lower than average and the breadth was absolutely flat. Volatility dipped further down to 21.43 as compared to 22.66 on the India VIX.Momentum oscillators have been whipsawing along with the price on the daily chart but broadly remain in favour on an upside and underline the short-term bullish strength. We however continue to maintain our view of a 50% retracement of the two-week up move risking 5155 and targeting 4980.Only a sustained move above 5155 will negate our corrective bias and put the Nifty back in upward trending mode that could go on to test 5300 i.e. the 61.8% retracement of the Feb-Jun downmove.
Barring the mild weakness in IT index (-0.09%), all other sectoral indices ended the day in the green. Gains were led by stocks from Oil & Gas (+2.14%), FMCG (+1.58%) and Healthcare (+1.13%) indices. The broader market Mid-cap and Small-cap indices ended mixed with 0.17% and -0.01% respectively.
Bullish Setups: TATA, HUVR, BJAUT, PWGR
Bearish Setups: ONGC, DLF, HCLT, SESA
Regards,
Edelweiss Research
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20 June: Stocks in News: Edelweiss
Stocks in News
Cement cos may face INR 30 bn fine for cartel (ET)
HPCL resumes fuel supply to KFA after payments (ET)
RBI to infuse INR 120 bn into the market on June22 (ET)
Bharat light, Mytrah in race to acquire DLF’s wind power biz; Deal value pegged at around INR 10 bn (ET)
Jindal steel may exit race to buy Aussie co Rocklands (ET)
Sesa Goa investors vote on Vedanta merger (ET)
ONGC Videsh Ltd (OVL), the overseas arm of state-owned ONGC is looking at selling 50% stake in its Cuban offshore blocks (DNA)
Cipla Ltd has got tentative approval of the US FDA for its branded oral solution of a combination of antiretroviral drugs lamivudine and zidovudine. (DNA)
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FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS FOR 20-Jun-2012
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS FOR 20-Jun-2012 | |||||||
BUY | SELL | OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY | |||||
No. of contracts | Amt in Crores | No. of contracts | Amt in Crores | No. of contracts | Amt in Crores | ||
INDEX FUTURES | 44354 | 1097.25 | 36034 | 911.27 | 485412 | 12067.67 | 185.98 |
INDEX OPTIONS | 569305 | 14402.01 | 552992 | 13947.60 | 1853815 | 47430.25 | 454.41 |
STOCK FUTURES | 69060 | 1724.83 | 68313 | 1732.33 | 973966 | 23674.07 | -7.50 |
STOCK OPTIONS | 33145 | 858.10 | 33536 | 866.36 | 53026 | 1373.07 | -8.26 |
Total | 624.64 | ||||||
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FII & DII trading activity across NSE and BSE 20-06-2012
Category | Buy | Sell | Net |
Value | Value | Value | |
FII | 1971.61 | 1852.03 | 119.58 |
DII | 1013.08 | 969.52 | 43.56 |
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Derivatives Info Kit [For June 20, 2012] Sharekhan PDF link
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Click here to read report: Derivatives Info Kit
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BSE, Bulk deals, 20/6/2012
Deal Date | Scrip Code | Company | Client Name | Deal Type * | Quantity | Price ** | ||||
20/6/2012 | 530027 | Aadi Inds | MANSI RUSHABH SHAH | B | 50000 | 8.52 | ||||
20/6/2012 | 503675 | Agarwal Hold | AASHISH DEVELOPER | B | 337500 | 63.80 | ||||
20/6/2012 | 533163 | Arss Infra Proj | IFCI LTD. | S | 396203 | 40.34 | ||||
20/6/2012 | 506027 | Bhoruka Alum | MANAV NARESHBHAI PATEL | B | 338331 | 1.79 | ||||
20/6/2012 | 506027 | Bhoruka Alum | MANAV NARESHBHAI PATEL | S | 338331 | 1.94 | ||||
20/6/2012 | 531270 | Dazzel Conf | SHOBHANA NARENDRAKUMAR SHAH | B | 800000 | 1.95 | ||||
20/6/2012 | 531270 | Dazzel Conf | SARWANKUMAR DEVIDUTT SARAF | B | 1500000 | 1.95 | ||||
20/6/2012 | 531270 | Dazzel Conf | NARESHKUMAR KISHANLAL SARAF | B | 1500000 | 1.95 | ||||
20/6/2012 | 531270 | Dazzel Conf | HEENA RAMESHBHAI PATEL | S | 2010000 | 1.95 | ||||
20/6/2012 | 531270 | Dazzel Conf | PARMAR SURESHBHAI P | S | 1000000 | 1.95 | ||||
20/6/2012 | 531270 | Dazzel Conf | BRIJESH ASHOKBHAI HALARI | S | 1426272 | 1.98 | ||||
20/6/2012 | 505526 | Dolat Invest | Shilpa Sunil Modi | B | 918001 | 2.59 | ||||
20/6/2012 | 531470 | EMPORIS | JHAVERI SANJEEV BURMAN | B | 160754 | 55.21 | ||||
20/6/2012 | 531820 | Finalysis Cred | RAJESHRIBA LALIT JADEJA | B | 30500 | 57.34 | ||||
20/6/2012 | 531820 | Finalysis Cred | PANKAJ JAYANTILAL DAVE | B | 35851 | 59.80 | ||||
20/6/2012 | 533333 | Fineotex Chem | ARCADIA SHARE & STOCK BROKERS PVT. LTD | B | 92000 | 39.00 | ||||
20/6/2012 | 533333 | Fineotex Chem | PERSISTENT INFOTECH PRIVATE LIMITED | S | 65000 | 39.00 | ||||
20/6/2012 | 514394 | Gee El Woollens | UTKARSH PRINTING PRESS PRIVATE LIMITED | B | 60000 | 33.24 | ||||
20/6/2012 | 514394 | Gee El Woollens | SORUS POWER PRIVATE LIMITED | B | 49800 | 33.35 | ||||
20/6/2012 | 514394 | Gee El Woollens | MAHENDRA MITHALAL MEHTA HUF | S | 40600 | 33.40 | ||||
20/6/2012 | 511682 | IFL Promoters | JITENDER KUMAR TOKAS | B | 50000 | 5.24 | ||||
20/6/2012 | 511682 | IFL Promoters | ADVANCE INDIA SHARES AND SECURITIES PRIVATE LIMITED | B | 55000 | 5.24 | ||||
20/6/2012 | 511682 | IFL Promoters | NORTH INDIA SECURITIES PVT LTD | S | 105302 | 5.24 | ||||
20/6/2012 | 506128 | Krishna Deep | ALOK FINANCE PVT. LTD. | B | 50000 | 45.85 | ||||
20/6/2012 | 511638 | Madhur Capital | SHALIN VINITBHAI PARIKH | S | 62000 | 8.48 | ||||
20/6/2012 | 590117 | Mahaveer Infoway-$ | SANGITA SANDEEP MERCHANT | S | 29591 | 13.47 | ||||
20/6/2012 | 530497 | Marvel Capital | GANESH ANANT GHADGE | B | 39600 | 17.20 | ||||
20/6/2012 | 511688 | Mathew Easow | USHITA TRADING AND AGENCIES LIMITED | B | 35000 | 81.00 | ||||
20/6/2012 | 531727 | Menon Pistons | YOGESHKUMAR RASIKLAL DOSHI | S | 27778 | 95.03 | ||||
20/6/2012 | 533220 | Midfield Industries | HAKIMKASIMMEHDI | B | 88289 | 34.00 | ||||
20/6/2012 | 530557 | NCL Research | GCM SECURITIES LTD | S | 24150 | 313.61 | ||||
20/6/2012 | 531855 | Prabhav Inds | ARISTO MEDIA AND ENTERTAINMENT PRIVATE LIMITED | B | 260000 | 2.73 | ||||
20/6/2012 | 531855 | Prabhav Inds | DILIP G PAWAR | S | 247001 | 2.75 | ||||
20/6/2012 | 531694 | Rainbow Found | WOODLAND RETAILS PRIVATE LIMITED | B | 36300 | 16.73 | ||||
20/6/2012 | 531694 | Rainbow Found | SURABHI DEALMARK PRIVATE LIMITED | B | 37625 | 16.73 | ||||
20/6/2012 | 531694 | Rainbow Found | NARENDRA KUMAR BOTHRA D | S | 46300 | 16.73 | ||||
20/6/2012 | 523030 | Rajdhani Leas | ANJANA GUPTA | S | 8439 | 59.94 | ||||
20/6/2012 | 533285 | RDB Realty & Infra | MANISHA PINCHA | B | 79748 | 38.18 | ||||
20/6/2012 | 531893 | Sawaca Bsns | HIRA LAL KHATRI | B | 100000 | 117.85 | ||||
20/6/2012 | 531893 | Sawaca Bsns | ATMA RAM | B | 100000 | 117.85 | ||||
20/6/2012 | 524540 | Secunderabad Health | NASEEN TRADELINK PRIVATE LIMITED | S | 410422 | 10.85 | ||||
20/6/2012 | 531695 | SHREYCHEM | RAMESHBHAI TEJABHAI MALA | S | 49176 | 60.38 | ||||
20/6/2012 | 526951 | STYLAMIND | USHA SINGAL | S | 40000 | 24.25 | ||||
20/6/2012 | 530867 | Suryanagri Fin | LAHOTI INDIA LIMITED | B | 46275 | 23.80 | ||||
20/6/2012 | 530867 | Suryanagri Fin | ALOK FINANCE PVT. LTD. | B | 27500 | 23.80 | ||||
20/6/2012 | 530867 | Suryanagri Fin | NIRAJ REALTORS & SHARES PVT. LTD. | B | 27500 | 23.80 | ||||
20/6/2012 | 530867 | Suryanagri Fin | MANISHA SANJAY AGRAWAL | S | 55000 | 23.80 | ||||
20/6/2012 | 590111 | VAISHNAVI | D KONDAIAH | B | 122007 | 5.03 | ||||
* B - Buy, S - Sell | ||||||||||
** = Weighted Average Trade Price / Trade Price | ||||||||||
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NSE, Bulk deals, 20-Jun-2012
Date | Symbol | Client Name | Buy / Sell | Quantity Traded | Wght. Avg. Price | Remarks | |
ARSSINFRA | ARSS Infra Proj. Ltd | IFCI LTD. | SELL | 5,34,459 | 40.19 | - | |
EDUCOMP | Educomp Solutions Limited | ASHOKA FLOWERING TREE MAURITIUS | BUY | 7,85,000 | 146.20 | - | |
EDUCOMP | Educomp Solutions Limited | GENUINE STOCK BROKERS PVT LTD | BUY | 8,12,655 | 150.33 | - | |
EDUCOMP | Educomp Solutions Limited | GENUINE STOCK BROKERS PVT LTD | SELL | 8,12,655 | 150.44 | - | |
EDUCOMP | Educomp Solutions Limited | JANUS CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC A/C JANUS INVESTMENT FUND-A/C J | SELL | 6,90,502 | 146.00 | - | |
KFA | Kingfisher Airlines Ltd. | TRANSGLOBAL SECURITIES LTD. | BUY | 36,11,887 | 13.73 | - | |
KFA | Kingfisher Airlines Ltd. | TRANSGLOBAL SECURITIES LTD. | SELL | 35,76,887 | 13.75 | - | |
SHOPERSTOP | Shoppers Stop Limited | RELIANCE CAPITAL ASSET MANAGEMENT LIMITED A/C REGULAR SAVING | BUY | 10,00,000 | 295.00 | - | |
SHOPERSTOP | Shoppers Stop Limited | RELIANCE CAPITAL TRUSTEE CO. LTD A/C RELIANCE EQUITY OPPORTU | BUY | 7,40,500 | 295.00 | - | |
SHOPERSTOP | Shoppers Stop Limited | SMALL CAP WORLD FUND INC | SELL | 19,85,925 | 295.00 | - |
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