25 October 2011

Union Bank of India :: 2QFY2012 results review: Angel Broking

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Union Bank of India
For 2QFY2012, Union Bank of India posted a disappointing set of numbers, which
were far below our as well as street estimates, primarily due to the considerably
higher-than-expected provisioning expenses. Substantial deterioration in asset
quality was the key negative highlight of the results.
The bank’s business growth was muted, with advances growing marginally by
1.2% qoq and deposits declining by 1.8% qoq. Even CASA deposits base was
almost flat sequentially and grew by just 8% on a yoy basis. On the back of
improvement in CD ratio and yield on advances, the bank’s reported NIM
improved by 11bp qoq to 3.21%. On the asset-quality front, slippages ballooned
to `1,821cr (annualized slippage ratio of 4.8%) from an average quarterly run rate
of `640cr over the past 12 quarters. Management attributed a large part of the
rise in slippages to the completion of switchover to system-based NPA recognition
platform. Absolute amounts of gross and net NPAs rose sharply by 37.2% qoq and
56.3% qoq, respectively. Provision coverage ratio including technical write-offs
slipped sharply by 772bp qoq to 60.5%, as the bank chose to sacrifice on the
coverage and ensure profitability.
The stock is trading at 0.8x FY2013E P/ABV, which is considerably below its fiveyear
median of 1.3x. However, in light of the considerable stress in asset quality,
we keep the stock rating under review.

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