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Hero MotoCorp Ltd.
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Strong show, Upgrade to Accumulate
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ACCUMULATE
CMP: Rs 1,985 Target Price: Rs 2,250
n Results above est. with EBIDTA at 7.1bn (est of Rs 6.8bn) and APAT of Rs 6bn (est. of Rs 5.7bn). Surprised by high treasury income despite a 25% drop in treasury book
n Demand outlook remains robust. Revise our FY12/13 EPS est. upwards by 5%/5% to 123/145 due to higher volumes. Upgrade FY12/FY13 by volumes by 2% to 6.35mn/7.1mn units
n Factoring in full capacity utilization for 2HFY12 (~13% volume growth in 2H). Capacity ramp up can result in further volume upgrades for FY12
n Upgrade rating to ACCUMULATE and revise our TP to Rs2,250 (FY13 PER 15.5x). Continue to have concerns with concentrated product portfolio/ lack of clarity on R&D
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