07 August 2011

Hindustan Constructio :: ICICI Securities

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R i s i n g   i n t e r e s t   c o s t  e a t s   a w a y   b o t t o m l i n e …
Hindustan Construction’s (HCC) Q1FY12 operational performance was in
line with our expectation. However, PAT came at | 2.9 crore vs. our
estimates of | 6.1 crore due to lower other income and higher tax rate of
53.3% on account of disallowing of  interest expenses (~7%) made for
debt raised for subsidiary. The company has indicated slower execution
for FY12 and focus on operational efficiency such as reduction in working
capital. While EAC’s Lavasa phase I clearance (with certain preconditions) and equity dilution  at HCC concession at | 1650 crore
valuation is a positive development, we believe the key trigger for HCC’s
re-rating would be MoEF approval for Lavasa phase I approval and for the
entire project, which is getting delayed. On the other hand, Lavasa
continues to incur cash outflow of ~| 2 crore per day in terms of fixed
charges. Hence, we are keeping our recommendation under review till
the time it gets MoEF approval.
ƒ Q1FY12 bottomline falls sharply on rising interest expenses
HCC’s Q1FY12 net profit at | 2.9 crore declined sharply on account of
rising interest expenses. Interest expenses grew ~62% YoY to | 93.3
crore on the back of higher debt level and increased interest rates. There
was also higher tax rate of 53.3% on account of disallowing of interest
expenses (~7%) u/s 14 (a) for debt raised by HCC for its subsidiaries.
ƒ Dilution of 14.5% stake in HCC Concessions
HCC has announced that it will raise | 240 crore by diluting 14.5% in its
step-down subsidiary HCC Concessions  to private equity player (Xander
Group). We highlight that the transaction values HCC’s concession the
BOT project at ~ | 1650 crore, significantly higher than our as well as
Street expectation.
V a l u a t i o n
At  the  CMP,  the  stock  is  trading  at  3.9x  FY13E  EPS  (after  adjusting  for
subsidiaries valuation)  and 1.2x FY13E P/BV. We  highlight that although
EAC clearance for Lavasa and stake sale in HCC Concessions is a positive
development, we believe a re-rating of the stock will be possible after
MoEF approval on Lavasa, which is getting delayed. Till the time, we are
keeping our recommendation under review

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