Showing posts with label Symphony. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Symphony. Show all posts

28 January 2015

Symphony Ltd - Strong Quarter…Consistent Performer; Result Update Q2FY15 :: Edelweiss

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21 January 2015

Beats estimates… • Symphony :: ICICI Securities

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17 October 2014

Symphony Ltd - Strong Quarter Should Be Bought; Result Update Q1FY15 :: Edelweiss PDF report link

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BUY Symphony, :: ICICI Securities, PDF link

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06 May 2012

Technicals: Sundram Fasteners, Gammon Infrastructure, Bajaj Hindusthan, S.E. Investments, Symphony, JM Financial, Dewan Housing, :Business Line

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I am holding shares of Dewan Housing Finance bought at Rs 275 and JM Financial bought at Rs 35. Should I continue to hold or sell at current price?
Pragdas Mathuradas
Dewan Housing Finance Corporation (Rs 218.5): Dewan Housing still appears to be on strong foundation. It has key long-term support at Rs 155 and the stock bounced off the low at Rs 176 last December. Investors with long-term perspective can continue to hold the stock as long as it trades above this level.
If it manages to hold above Rs 176 in the upcoming months, investors can look forward to a rally to the previous peak at Rs 347 or even higher over the long term.
The near-term prospects for the stock are, however, under a cloud. Medium-term resistance for the stock is at Rs 280. Since the stock is reversing lower from this level, it can decline to Rs 175 or Rs 155 in the upcoming months. If your investment horizon is short-term, then exit the stock on a close below Rs 210.
JM Financial (Rs 13.5): This stock is in a vicious downtrend and it is advisable to switch over to some other stock. JM Financial recorded its long-term trough around Rs 19 in March 2009.
This trough was breached last September, and the stock is currently trading below this level. Since the stock is currently close to its multi-year low, it is hard to predict where the downward spiral can halt.
Immediate support for the stock is at Rs 11.6. If this level is breached, it may fall to Rs 5.1. Medium-term resistances will be at Rs 32, Rs 45 and Rs 65.
Please advise on the outlook for Symphony and S.E. Investments. Are these stocks worth holding?
Rakesh Duggal
Symphony (Rs 250.8): This stock moved out of wilderness, below Rs 20, in 2010 to move to the peak of Rs 334 in April 2011. Since then, the stock is moving sideways in a broad band between Rs 200 and Rs 300.
Long-term outlook is positive for the stock and investors can hold with stop at Rs 190. If the stock holds above this level, it will open the possibility of break out to Rs 400 over the next two years.
That said, breach of the support at Rs 190 will drag the stock down to Rs 168 or Rs 130. Therefore, investors should divest their holding on fall below Rs 190.
The medium-term trend in the stock is, however, sideways.
It could continue to oscillate in the band between Rs 200 and Rs 300. Investors with a shorter investment horizon should, therefore, exit the stock close to Rs 300 and look for buying opportunities near the floor of the current range.
S.E. Investments (Rs 319.9): This is an extremely volatile stock recommended only for the brave-heart. It is currently close to its long-term resistance between Rs 350 and Rs 400. S.E. Investments has reversed sharply from this band twice in the last two years.
Since the reversals can be very sharp giving little opportunity to investors to exit, it would be best to take some money off the table, if you have some in front of you.
Hold the rest with stop at Rs 285.
What is the long-term view on Bajaj Hindusthan?
R.N.B. Rao
Bajaj Hindusthan (Rs 29.2): Bajaj Hindusthan is hardly in a sweet spot, wallowing close to eight-year low. Needless to add that the long-term view on the stock is currently down.
Decline below the December 2011 low at Rs 24 will take the stock below the Rs 10 mark.
The stock needs to do a lot of work before it moves to a position of relative stability. The first requirement would be a strong close above Rs 60.
Investors with lower risk-taking ability should exit the stock at current juncture and consider re-investing on a strong close above Rs 60. Subsequent medium-term targets would be Rs 93 and Rs 136.
Long-term outlook for the stock will turn positive only on weekly close above Rs 200. Inability to move beyond this level will keep the stock in the Rs 25-200 band for a few more years.
I am holding shares of Gammon India purchased at Rs 123. Please advise on the prospects of this stock.
P.M. Rao
Gammon India (Rs 44.4): Gammon India has given up all the gains recorded in the 2009 rally and is currently trading near its 2009 trough. The trend across time frames — long, medium and short — are currently down for this stock.
Investors can hold the stock with stop at Rs 40. But given the fact that many stocks are currently trading well below their 2009 lows, the stock can head lower to Rs 33 or Rs 19 in the upcoming months.
Resistances in the upcoming months will be at Rs 130, Rs 180 and Rs 271. The long-term trend will, however, turn positive only if the stock manages a close above Rs 270.
Please advise on the future outlook of Sundram Fasteners.
Sajahan
Sundram Fasteners (Rs 53): Sundram Fasteners faces strong long-term resistance in the zone between Rs 65 and Rs 75.
The rally from 2009 lows halted in this zone and the stock is currently consolidating in the band between Rs 45 and Rs 65. Key long-term supports for the stock are at Rs 44 and Rs 36.
If the stock manages to hold above Rs 44, it will denote the propensity to break out higher to Rs 85 or Rs 94 in the next couple of years.

18 October 2011

Buy Symphony- A cool play:: IDBI capital


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Symphony Ltd. is one of the leading domestic players in the air cooler market with a ~20% market share of the total
domestic air cooler market and ~45% market share of the organized market. Its main competitors are Kenstar, Bajaj
and Usha. Symphony PAT had a CAGR of 110% during FY07-11 and will witness a CAGR of 32% during FY11-13E.
Symphony has an asset light business model, low working capital requirement, generates free cash flow and has high
return ratios. It trades at a PER of 10.1x FY13. We initiate with a BUY and a target price of Rs1,522.
Investment Highlights
 Increasing temperatures & growing availability of power to boost demand
As per INCCA, the mean average temperature has increased by 0.51C/100 years during the period 1901-2007
and is expected to further increase by 1.7 to 2C by 2030. The rising mean temperatures will result in increased
demand for air coolers/conditioners. Also growing availability of power (India plans to add ~0.1 mn MW of power
in the 12th plan) will increase the demand for cooling equipments.
 Rising income + growing middle class + lower cost of purchase / maintenance = high demand
Air coolers will have a strong demand due to rising temperatures, increasing income and growing middle class in
the country. Also, as the cost of acquisition (~50% lower) and maintenance of an air cooler is lower as compared
to the air conditioner it will see increased off take from the mass market.
 Strong brand name with wide spread distributor network
Symphony is one of the largest air cooler producers in the country and has a strong brand name in this product
category. It has a widespread distribution network of ~550 dealers and ~10,000 retailers spread across the
country. The company plans to double its dealer and distribution network over the next 2-3 years which will result
in high growth.
 Asset light model + High OPM + low working capital = High Return ratios
Symphony outsources the production of air coolers to OEMs whereby capital expenditure is low. Also, it has high
OPM due to strong branding and lower cost of production. Symphony derives ~65% of revenues from traditional
distributors to whom it sells on cash basis whereby working capital requirement is negligible. Due to an asset
light business, low working capital requirement and high OPM the company has high return ratios. Symphony is
expected to have ROCE/ROE of ~37% in FY13.
 Revenues/ PAT CAGR of ~27%/32% during FY11-13
Symphony is expected to witness a Revenue/PAT CAGR of ~27%/32% during FY11-13E. The growth in
revenues will come from both domestic/export markets. Domestic market is expected to witness a CAGR of 32%
during FY11-13 due to increased demand and further widening of the distribution network. Export market will
have a CAGR of 25% during FY11-13 due to addition of newer geographies.
 Attractive Valuations: BUY with a price target of Rs1,522
Symphony is one of the leaders in the domestic air cooler industry and has enormous growth potential. It has
over the past decade built a strong brand name and a wide distribution network and is now in a position to see
high sustained growth over the next few years. Also an asset light business model with negligible working capital
requirement and high return ratios makes the company attractive. Symphony currently trades at a PER of 10.1x
FY13, which is a significant discount to its listed comparable electronic and consumption peers. We believe given
the growth prospects and superior return ratios the stock can trade at similar multiples to its peers. However we
have been conservative and have valued the company at ~40% discount to its peers. We initiate with a BUY and
a target price of Rs1,522 (12x PER FY13).


read core thesis and other company covered: click link below

Consumption - A play on the evergreen, resilient theme: IDBI Cap

28 January 2011

Buy Symphony: target of Rs1485:: MF Global

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Consumer Durable

Symphony

SYML IN: Buy
Symphony was incorporated in 1988 and is primarily an air cooler company. The company was the first to introduce cooler as a life style product and launched plastic body coolers compared to then available metal coolers.