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Observation:
The smart upmove of the last three sessions seems to have ended today as Nifty reversed sharply from
the minor swing highs of around 8364 levels.
Nifty opened today with flat note and made an attempt to move up during morning session. It made a
swing high of around 8364 levels and slipped into sharp intraday decline during afternoon to the close of
today’s session.
The reversal of today’s session has occurred from near the key overhead resistance of around 8373
levels, which is 61.8% retracement of the high low range of 8626-7961 levels. This is going to be
interesting with regards to a short term uptrend of Nifty.
Today’s weakness is indicating a strong counter attack of bears from the higher levels and this reversal
pattern opens up the possibility of either new lower top of previous sharp decline or a process of forming
new higher bottom of the recent advance, in the next couple of sessions.
The daily short term momentum oscillator like 8 period ROC is in the process of turning down from near
the equilibrium line (middle line). This is signaling weakening of upside momentum for short term.
Conclusion & Strategy:
The underlying short term trend of Nifty seems to have reversed today from near the crucial overhead
resistance of around 8373 levels.
The crucial immediate supports are placed around 8205-8175 levels, which are going to be tested in the
next couple of sessions. However, the important resistance is placed around 8365-75 levels.
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