22 July 2013

Kotak Insti India Daily 19th July: Results - Axis Bank, DB Corp, Mindtree; Results, Change in Reco - TCS, Bajaj Finserv; Updates

Results
Axis Bank: Mixed performance continues
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No change in key metrics; asset quality stress rising steadily
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Strong capital, healthy liability profile driving our rating despite headwinds in business
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Headwinds remain: Loan impairment and pressure on revenue growth
DB Corp: The stars align
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1QFY14 results analysis: Whatever happens when all the stars are aligned
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Growing in strength: BUY with 12-month forward FV of Rs300 (Rs280 previously)
Mindtree: Good headline, internals could have been better
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Good headline numbers, excellent pick-up in revenue growth
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Internals could have been better; cash generation disappoints
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Consistent growth in IT services is impressive; we expect it to continue. Maintain ADD
Results, Change in Reco
TCS: Lack of alternatives, solid execution; upgrade to ADD
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Delivers yet again; cash flow generation not as good
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Good environment or bad, TCS delivers
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Rupee to the rescue, lack of alternatives could push up P/E multiple; upgrade to ADD
Bajaj Finserv: NBFC posts strong performance; upgrade to BUY
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Valuations attractive, upgrade to BUY
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General insurance: Higher earnings despite lower underwriting profits
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Stable earnings in life insurance, low conservation ratio is a concern
Company alerts
Larsen & Toubro: Cautious takeaways from AR2013
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EBITDA margin propped by provision reversals; FX loss buffer exists but may not benefit in FY2014
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Contracting customer advances raise execution concern; higher debtors further put Wcap. pressure
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Management sees a few bright spots in dull macro; focus on cash and current yield
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Subs: Weak toll collections, both for old and new projects; large loss taken in forging, shipbuilding
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Broadly maintain estimates; retain ADD on reasonable valuations
Godrej Consumer Products: AR analysis: Costly growth or platform for the long-haul?
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Domestic business steady, IBD revenue growth led by acquisitions
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Margins paint a different picture, significant spike in advertising and sales promotion
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Balance sheetRoE deterioration continues, FCF negative yet again
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We retain our REDUCE rating; choppy IBD margins, rich valuations are cause for concern
JSW Energy: Annual Report analysis: Commissioning complete, focus on operations
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Sharp improvement in operational performance yields three-fold jump in net income
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Capex commitments largely behind us, working capital increases by Rs11 bn
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We retain our ADD rating though highlight JSW Energy's vulnerability to Rupee depreciation
Sector alerts
Telecom: RCOM slashes 3G data pricing by 50%
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The event - RCOM announces 50% cut in 3G data pricing
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The nub - cut on expected lines, directionally, even as the extent is a bit of a surprise
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The impact - modest immediate negative if incumbents follow; we don't see RCOM gain much
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