20 July 2012

Hero MotoCorp - “Positives are in the price” LKP Research



1Q FY13 results in line with expectations
Hero Motocorp (Hero)’s 1Q volumes were up by 7% yoy and 4% qoq. Net profits were up by 10.3% yoy and 2% qoq. The company took a price hike of Rs500-1000 in May to compensate for the rise in RM costs, the impact of which was not completely seen in Q1 FY13 as realizations were dampened due to adverse product mix. The company sold less number of scooter Pleasure on competition and promoting new scooter Maestro.   EBITDA grew by 16% to Rs 8.9bn, while margins improved by 20 bps qoq and 80 bps yoy to 14.5% due to softer RM prices and price hike despite Yen appreciation and adverse product mix. RM to sales declined yoy from 75.3% to 74.1%, while other expenses to sales ratio remained flattish. Other income remained flattish, due to which PAT came in slightly below our expectations. Tax rate came in at 16.3% which was down from 19.5% in Q4. Royalty expenses to Honda came in at Rs2.2 bn as Yen appreciated significantly (~7%) in Q1 v/s rupee. This brought the net profits down to Rs6.15bn, which was just 2% up sequentially.


No need to file income tax returns if your salary is less than Rs 5 lakh: ET

Salaried employees earning up to Rs 5 lakh a year need not file income tax returns from this year, the finance ministry said on Friday. The exemption from filing I-T returns is applicable only if "the total income of the employee does not exceed Rs 5 lakh ... (and) the annual interest earned from savings bank account is less than Rs 10,000" for assessment year 2012-13. Filing I-T returns is, however, necessary to claim refunds. The last date for filing tax returns is July 31. There are about 85 lakh salaried persons in the country whose yearly income, including earnings from other sources like bank deposits, does not exceed Rs 5 lakh. The exemption will be permitted only if the assessee has received a certificate of tax deduction in Form 16 from the employer. The employees have to report income from interest on savings bank account to the employer to become eligible for exemptions. Earlier, it was obligatory for all salaried persons to file income tax returns under the Income Tax Act, 1961. Meanwhile, the tax department said special counters will be set up in Delhi and 'tax kiosks' in various parts of Mumbai to assist people in filing income tax returns.



FII & DII trading activity across NSE and BSE 20-07-2012



 BuySellNet
ValueValueValue
FII1691.171513.06178.11
DII804.38868.78
-64.4

 


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FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS FOR 20-Jul-2012



FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS FOR 20-Jul-2012 
 BUYSELLOPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY 
 No. of contractsAmt in CroresNo. of contractsAmt in CroresNo. of contractsAmt in Crores 
INDEX FUTURES481431243.80573891451.2663675516043.66-207.46
INDEX OPTIONS47246112300.1444048911478.45173222245086.74821.69
STOCK FUTURES1064322771.101100042902.84103384627471.98-131.75
STOCK OPTIONS417901191.30425481225.12758592094.99-33.82
      Total448.67

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BSE, Bulk deals, 20/7/2012



Deal DateScrip CodeCompanyClient NameDeal Type *QuantityPrice **
20/7/2012524412Aarey DrugsLEADAGE TRADING PRIVATE LIMITEDS9790430.75
20/7/2012526347ACCLAIM INDGUNJAN GANPATDAS VAIDYAB5000030.25
20/7/2012526347ACCLAIM INDABHISHEK MEHTAS15125030.27
20/7/2012524760Arvind Intl-$ANIRUDH KHEMKAS14295714.73
20/7/2012531591Bampsl SecM D GUPTAS19736480.79
20/7/2012509011CHISELCOMFORT INTECH LIMITEDS611678.96
20/7/2012531367Dollex IndsANIL KUMAR BHAGATB2240213.99
20/7/2012531367Dollex IndsSHARDA MANOJ KASLIWALS2350003.99
20/7/2012531367Dollex IndsMANOJ KASLIWALS2650003.99
20/7/2012531820Finalysis CredDHARMENDRA HARILAL BHOJAKB4060066.00
20/7/2012531820Finalysis CredBHARATBHAI GORDHANBHAI KAKADIYAS6925066.00
20/7/2012533506Inventure GrowthJAYNEEL SECURITIES PRIVATE LIMITEDB12201029.79
20/7/2012506041Mahesh AgriUMESH PURUSHOTTAM CHAMDIAB655233.70
20/7/2012506041Mahesh AgriSONAL INTERNATIONAL LTDS500033.70
20/7/2012512489Oasis SecOAK TANSITON MANAGEMENT PRIVATE LTD.B15000100.79
20/7/2012512489Oasis SecRANGNATH SOMANIS12300100.80
20/7/2012505525Parichay InvestASHLESH GUNVANTBHAI SHAH HUFB10635251.77
20/7/2012531952Riba Textiles4A FINANCIALS SECURITIES PVT LTDS7535426.08
20/7/2012517447RS SoftwareCROSSEAS CAPITAL SERVICES PRIVATE LIMITEDB58471117.51
20/7/2012517447RS SoftwareCROSSEAS CAPITAL SERVICES PRIVATE LIMITEDS58471116.94
20/7/2012531695SHREYCHEMSEVARAM ANANDRAM TIRTHWANIB5500061.91
20/7/2012531695SHREYCHEMTOGADIYA HARESHBHAI MADHABHAIB3487563.00
20/7/2012531695SHREYCHEMTOGADIYA HARESHBHAI MADHABHAIS3451562.61
20/7/2012531695SHREYCHEMMAMTABEN SEVARAM TIRATHWANIS5506063.15
20/7/2012533228SKS MicrofinanceCROSSEAS CAPITAL SERVICES PRIVATE LIMITEDB42780891.21
20/7/2012533228SKS MicrofinanceCROSSEAS CAPITAL SERVICES PRIVATE LIMITEDS42780891.42
20/7/2012519586SMILAXSREE LAKSHMI MIKKILINENIB9200017.50
20/7/2012522209Yogi SungwonRT SUPER TECHNOLOGIES PRIVATE LIMITEDS13200015.00
* B - Buy, S - Sell
** = Weighted Average Trade Price / Trade Price



NSE, Bulk deals, 20-Jul-2012


DateSymbolSecurity NameClient NameBuy / SellQuantity TradedTrade Price /
Wght. Avg.
Price
Remarks
20-Jul-2012KFAKingfisher Airlines Ltd.TRANSGLOBAL SECURITIES LTD.BUY56,49,42910.51-
20-Jul-2012KFAKingfisher Airlines Ltd.TRANSGLOBAL SECURITIES LTD.SELL55,15,42910.51-
20-Jul-2012ORCHIDCHEMOrchid Chemicals Ltd.SERUM INSTITUTE OF INDIA LIMITBUY10,00,000127.10-
20-Jul-2012RSSOFTWARER. S. Software (I) Ltd.CROSSEAS CAPITAL SERVICES PVT. LTD.BUY58,471116.93-
20-Jul-2012RSSOFTWARER. S. Software (I) Ltd.CROSSEAS CAPITAL SERVICES PVT. LTD.SELL58,471117.60-
20-Jul-2012SKSMICROSKS Microfinance LtdCROSSEAS CAPITAL SERVICES PVT. LTD.BUY4,27,77791.32-
20-Jul-2012SKSMICROSKS Microfinance LtdCROSSEAS CAPITAL SERVICES PVT. LTD.SELL4,27,76291.19-
20-Jul-2012THOMASCOOKThomas Cook (India) LtdRATNABALI CAPITAL MARKETS LTD.SELL16,99,42264.95-



Category-Wise Turnover 20-Jul-12

Trade DateCategoryBuy Value in Rs.CroresSell Value in Rs.Crores
20-Jul-12Mutual Funds54.9879.92-24.94
20-Jul-12Proprietory Trades55893.8756116.23-222.36
20-Jul-12Others44656.6744858.03-201.36
Notes :
1.  Buy / Sell value at the end of day:
     Options Value (Buy/Sell) = Strike price * Qty
     Futures Value (Buy/Sell) = Traded Price * Qty
2. Others exclude FIIs, Mutual Funds, Proprietory Trades


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Dalmia Bharat Enterprises: Cement demand in South India to pick up: SKP Securities



Company Background
Dalmia Bharat Enterprises Ltd (DBEL) is a diversified group having
interests in cement, power and refractories. It has cement plants in
southern states of Tamil Nadu (Dalmiapuram and Ariyalur) and Andhra
Pradesh (Kadpa) with a total capacity of 8.2 million tonnes per annum
(mtpa) along with 72 MW captive power plants. It is a pioneer in super
specialty cements used for oil wells, railway sleepers and air strips.
Investment Rationale
One of the largest players in Southern India
DBEL is among the top six cement manufacturing groups by
capacity in Southern India, with an installed capacity of 8.2 mtpa. It
also holds 45.37 percent stake in OCL India Ltd (dominant player in
Eastern India), having an installed capacity of 5.4 mtpa along with
54 MW of captive power plants.


Axis Bank - Retail liabilities: the unsung success story ; company update; Buy :: Edelweiss, PDF link



Investor concern over asset quality seems to have glossed over significant strides made by Axis Bank towards fortifying its retail liabilities franchise.  Read across, saving statistics suggest that the bank has garnered a higher absolute SA in FY12 (INR108bn) over HDFC Bank (INR106bn)/ICICI Bank (INR92bn), despite branch strength being 40-50% lower. Also Axis sits at the top of the table in comparison across productivity ratios; SA and CASA per branch. Street’s concerns over the drop in daily average CASA of 7% over the last two years are unfounded as there is no let up in SA momentum. The drop is largely due to the CA moderation, an industry phenomenon. Another vindication of the improving liability franchise is the rising share of retail TDs. We believe that as the build up on retail assets and liabilities sustain momentum, the valuation gap with retail heavy banks like HDFC, Kotak, IIB should narrow.


Tata Power - conference call transcript-13-Jul-12 :Edelweiss PDF link



Please find enclosed the transcript of the conference call with Mr. Allan Redimerio Director & Analytical Manager and Mr. Rajiv Vishwanathan on “S&P revising Tata Power Co. Ltd. Outlook To Negative From Stable; 'BB-' Ratings Affirmed”  held on 13th July, 2012.
Regards,


Reliance Vision: Timely moves may boost performance :: Business Line




Telecom - Delhi musings: Smaller operators losing steam; sector update :Edelweiss, PDF link


Our recent interactions with industry players, including infrastructure providers, COAI and a couple of telecom experts in Delhi indicate that smaller operators are losing momentum. There is broad understanding that auctions will be held in October-November 2012 and the industry seems to have given up hopes of a reduction in reserve price of spectrum in ensuing auctions. There is consensus that tariffs will rise post auctions as it is a business imperative. Participation by foreign players in auctions is still uncertain. Overall, we believe smaller operators are losing momentum due to the uncertainty, which augurs well for larger players. We continue to prefer Bharti Airtel (Bharti).

Crompton Greaves: "One CG. Fast CG. Lean CG." :MOSL



"One CG. Fast CG. Lean CG."
FY12 Annual Report suggests several operational initiatives
 FY12 performance impacted by various cyclical and structural factors
 CG Global Overseas: Low cost locations witness revenue decline; Belgium / Canada /
Hungary report sharp profitability decline
 Key Growth Drivers: Renewables / turnkey projects, industry segment - integration
motors with drives and increased internationalization, expanding automation footprints.
 Valuation and view: We arrive at price target of INR154 (up 19% YoY), based on 12x
FY14 PER (standalone) and 8x EV/EBITDA FY14 (overseas). Maintain Neutral.


Buy CEBBCO (Commercial Engineers & Body Builders Company Ltd) report by ENAM



Poised to Grow
Company Background
CEBBCO is one of the leading designers and manufacturers of vehicle bodies
for the commercial vehicles industry in India. It also provides wagon
refurbishment and manufactures component for railway wagons and coaches.
Recently, CEBBCO has also forayed into wagon manufacturing.


Reduce exposure by selling shares in rallies :: Business Line



I am 54 years old and my wife is 49. My daughter is studying in sixth grade. My monthly income is Rs 75,000 and expenses are Rs 25,000.
I took two insurance policies last year, for which I need to pay premiums totalling Rs 3,50,000 for the next four years.
I took these policies without understanding their utility.
An endowment policy with sum insured of Rs 70,000, is maturing in 2013.
I have invested in fixed deposits worth Rs 12 lakh, which will mature next year. I have direct equity exposure of Rs 25 lakh. My MF portfolio is worth Rs 25 lakh with investments in 25 debt and equity schemes .
I have little time for monitoring fund performances. Please suggest debt oriented MF schemes. Through a portfolio management service (PMS), I have invested Rs 10 lakh.
I own a house in Coimbatore, which I have rented out.
This sum is deposited in my SB account and is lying unused. I have a plot worth few lakh of rupees. Post-retirement, I may settle down in Coimbatore.
I will have to meet my daughter’s higher education cost of Rs 20 lakh and her marriage expenses of Rs 10 lakh.
At retirement, I am eligible for fixed pension of Rs 20,000. At retirement, my PF balance will be Rs 40 lakh.
After factoring this, how much money would I need to meet my present standard of living.
— Sundaram (Name changed on request)


Five steps to reduce YOUR debt: Morning Star



Here are five steps to help you eliminate your debt and set yourself up to avoid problems in the future.
In recent times, factors like easy access to credit cards, personal loans and a 'willingness to splurge' have contributed to newfound lifestyles. Lifestyles that start out with debt and only get worse as time goes on, and spending pressures increase.
While some of us don't use credit cards or do pay our balances in full each month, debt can be a serious problem for those of us who rack it up. So, how do you get out of debt? Here are five steps to help you eliminate your debt and set yourself up to avoid problems in the future.




Syndicate Bank:: Target Price: ` 152 Buy ::Dolat Capital



Followings are key observations in Syndicate Bank’s financial
performance:
􀁺 Improvement in liability profile: In FY12, Syndicate Bank recorded
substantial improvement on deposit profile; whole-sale deposits & CDs
proportion declined by 470bps to 21% from 26% a year back and core retail
deposits increased by almost 430bps to 69%


UTI Opportunities: Invest :: Business Line




Real Estate - Maharashtra Housing Bill to drive transparency; sector update :Edelweiss PDF link


The Maharashtra Housing (Regulation and Development) Bill, 2012, has been passed by the Lower House of Maharashtra Legislature and now awaits nod of the Upper House and presidential assent; latter two approvals expected to be procedural in nature. The regulation is expected to provide greater transparency to both consumers and investors in terms of disclosures and greater control. However, costs for developers are likely to increase marginally, as besides compliance expenses, we expect cost of unorganised funding also to increase. We maintain ‘Overweight’ stance on the sector.

Edelweiss Technical Reflection (ETR) 19 July



Edelweiss Technical Reflection (ETR)
    Indian markets snapped the five session downtrend with a smart reversal gaining 0.45% to end above the 5200 mark. First half saw the index make yet another lower low of 5169, but bargain buying soon emerged to help the index rally into the second half and close near the highs of the day. Nifty has managed to close back above the 21-day EMA of 5211 as well as breach the 21-hourly EMA.Volumes continue to be tepid suggesting an overall lackluster mood. Market breadth was neutral and the volatility subsided to fresh lows of the year. Near-term momentum oscillators that had turned oversold, have managed to roll bullish suggesting some upside risk. With the 'bullish gap' remaining unfilled, we are likely to see the index retrace the fall from 5348 to 5169, at 5258 (50%) and 5280 (61.8%).
    Reversal in markers was visible in the sectoral moves today. High beta came back in favor with gains coming from Metals (+1.48%), Cap Goods (+1.07%) and Realty (+0.93%) indices. Shares from the Oil & Gas (-0.22%) and Healthcare (-0.22%) were the notable underperformers of the day. Trend among the broader market indices were mixed as the Mid-cap index gained 0.53% and the Small-cap index gained 0.29%.

    Bullish Setups: CNXBANK, BJAUT, MSIL, COAL, BHARTI
    Bearish Setups: TTMT, BOB, UNSP


J. Kumar Infraprojects -Urban infra play, lean balance sheet to support growth; Buy:: Anand Rathi



J. Kumar Infraprojects
Urban infra play, lean balance sheet to support growth; Buy
A management meet with J. Kumar indicates a positive outlook on its
growth strategy. Its planned focus on urban infra, on geographical
diversification and a lean balance sheet are key positives. Of its bid
pipeline of over `60bn, most have been placed outside its core area of
Maharashtra. It has recently bid for metro works in Delhi and Gujarat
and the Mumbai water transport project. Of these, it hopes to bag some
orders. Its current orderbook stands at `25bn. We maintain a Buy with
a target of `239.


Sangam Advisors IPO:: all the details



Issue Terms
 
Issue price / Floor Price (Rs)
22
Application per share (Rs)
22.00
Minimum investment amount (Rs)
132,000.00
Minimum bid (no of shares)
6000 shares and in multiple of 6000 thereafter
Maximum Shares for Retail
6000



Zee Entertainment Enterprise - Reaching for Stars :Edelweiss PDF link

Technical chart on Dish TV - Motilal Oswal



Dish TV – The scrip after forming a base at 56 a month back, has been consolidating in a narrow band of 67 - 71.5. This movement has led to formation of a continuation pattern which should breakout upward and may lead to a fresh leg of up-swing.

The media sector has been placed as Leader in the sector rotation chart which states that outperformance from the sector can continue. The scrip has a weight age of nearly 15% in CNX Media and can outperform both the broader market as well as its sector peers.

A minor hurdle is placed on the scrip at 72.5 and sustenance of the same may invite momentum on the upside. Short term base for the scrip is now placed at 67 and for strength to continue, it should sustain above the same.

A buy trade can be initiated on sustenance above 72.5 for its continuation pattern target of 82 and a stop below 67.


20 July: Morning News (click on link to read article) : IFCI Financial Services Limited



Morning News (click on link to read article)
Economic Times

Business Standard

Business Line

Mint

Financial Express

Financial Chronicle

 (Click on link to view article)
Thanks and Regards
IFIN: IFCI Financial Services Limited