19 June 2012

Eagle Eye (equities) [For June 19, 2012] Sharekhan


Eagle Eye (equities)
[For June 19, 2012]
 Summary of Contents
 
PUNTER'S CALL
Above 40-DMAThe Nifty has closed in the negative today and is now expected to head higher till 5150 with support around 5042 in the short term...

SMART CHART CALLS
 


MOMENTUM CALLS
 

Click here to read report: EagleEye
 



Too much of advice bringing in poorer returns for HNIs:: Economic Times,



Some time ago the Association of Mutual Funds In India (Amfi) released data on the investment patterns in mutual funds as it stood at the end of the 2011-12 financial year.

The data comprises of the breakup of the amount invested in funds, sliced according to the type of mutual funds, the type of investors as well as the age of investments. The funds are classified across liquid & money market, gilt, debt-oriented, equity-oriented, balanced, gold ETF, other ETFs, and funds investing overseas.

The types of investors are broken up across corporates, banks/FIs, FIIs, high networth individuals (HNIs) and retail. Of course, HNIs are also retail, but Amfi classifies them as those with single transactions of more than 5 lakh. The time periods along which the data are broken up into periods with the boundaries at three months, six months, one year and two years.



Stocks in News :19 June:: Edelweiss




 Stocks in News
TatasSterliteAdani & others under CBI lens (ET)
ONGC China’s CNPC to renew exploration pact (ET)
ONGC-led group likely to scrap bid for UK’s cove (ET)
TDSAT sends notice to DoT on Tata Tele’s spectrum plea (ET)
Domestic airlines agree to slash fares by up to 20% (ET)
Govt plans to sell stake in 15 PSUs this fiscal (ET)

Edelweiss Technical Reflection (ETR) : 19 June



Edelweiss Technical Reflection (ETR)
The week has begun on a strongly negative note with Indian markets falling by ~1.5% as the RBI failed to acknowledge the bulls on the street.Earlier in the day, Nifty opened with a gap up tracking gains among the Asian peers, but close to the crucial 5200 resistance, it printed an intraday high of 5190 and started to witness strong profit taking.  The index fell by >100 points after the RBI announcement breaking below the 21- hourly EMA, but eventually went down to breach the 200 DMA support of 5072 and managed to close lower. A large ‘bearish engulfing candlestick / k ey reversal’ bar has formed on the daily chart suggesting further weakness with a reversal set above yesterday’s high of 5190. Volumes remained at an average level and the market breadth slipped strongly in favour of declines. Volatility crashed down to 22.66 from 25.54 on the Indian VIX index as the event has passed by. Near-term momentum has rolled bearish along with hourly momentum oscillators in sell mode suggest Nifty is vulnerable to further sell-off and is expected to retrace the two-week up move. A 50% retracement comes in at 4980 which also coincides with the 20 day SMA and is the most likely target on the downside. One should use rallies to 5100 to initiate trading shorts with a stop-loss above 5150.
All the sectoral indices ended the day in the red led by losses in Banking (-3.16%), Realty (-2.78%), and FMCG (-1.68%) indexes. Minor outperformance was seen in stocks from Auto (-0.64%) and Healthcare (-0.69%) sectors. The broader market Mid-cap and Small-cap indices managed to outperform the frontline index at -1.06% and -0.70% respectively.
Bullish Setups: TATA, HUVR, BJAUT, PWGR
Bearish Setups: ONGC, DLF, HCLT, SESA

Regards,
Edelweiss Research


FII & DII trading activity across NSE and BSE 19-06-2012



CategoryBuySellNet
ValueValueValue
FII1668.251761.55-93.3
DII725.481004.18
-278.7

 


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Daring Derivatives [For June 19, 2012] Sharekhan



Daring Derivatives
[For June 19, 2012]
 Summary of Contents
 
DARING DERIVATIVES
Derivatives Summary
  • Nifty (June) futures have turned into a discount to spot Nifty by 5.45 points from a premium of 8.65 points.
  • Total open interest in the market was Rs121,061 crore and Rs1,177 crore was reduced in open interest.
  • Nifty call options added 19.95 lakh shares in open interest whereas put options underwent a reduction by 15.48 lakh shares in open interest.

Click here to read report: Daring Derivatives

 


Angel Broking, RBI, Mid-Quarter Monetary Policy Review :pdf link



Mid-Quarter Monetary Policy Review.

Status quo on repo rate and CRR

Key High lights

1.Keeps SLR and CRR unchanged at 24.0% and 4.75%, respectively

2.Holds on to key policy rates (Repo: 8.0%, Reverse Repo: 7.0% and MSF: 9.0%)

Monetary policy maintains status quo as against consensus expectation of easing: The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) in its mid-quarterly monetary policy review has kept both CRR and repo rate unchanged, as against street’s expectation of a monetary stimulus.


Eagle Eye (equities) [For June 18, 2012] Sharekhan


Eagle Eye (equities)
[For June 18, 2012]
 Summary of Contents
 
PUNTER'S CALL
5041 CrucialThe Nifty has closed in the positive today and is now expected to head higher till 5200 with support around 5104 in the short term...

SMART CHART CALLS
 


MOMENTUM CALLS
 

Click here to read report: 
EagleEye



FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS FOR 19-Jun-2012



FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS FOR 19-Jun-2012 
 BUYSELLOPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY 
 No. of contractsAmt in CroresNo. of contractsAmt in CroresNo. of contractsAmt in Crores 
INDEX FUTURES684881665.31770221919.3047018611674.43-253.99
INDEX OPTIONS111932028181.33108726327337.79180122245937.86843.54
STOCK FUTURES706001681.60714891692.2996493323257.45-10.68
STOCK OPTIONS622451604.38651021685.06529511351.50-80.68
      Total498.19

 


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BSE, Bulk deals, 19/6/2012


Deal DateScrip CodeCompanyClient NameDeal Type *QuantityPrice **
19/6/2012590114Arunjyoti EnterprisesANUPAM NARAIN GUPTAS2600018.12
19/6/2012506027Bhoruka AlumMANAV NARESHBHAI PATELB2903252.61
19/6/2012506027Bhoruka AlumMANAV NARESHBHAI PATELS2903252.42
19/6/2012506027Bhoruka AlumHITEN CHANDRAKANTBHAI PARMARS2755882.13
19/6/2012500067Blue StarSAIF INDIA IV FII HOLDINGS LIMITEDB958714174.93
19/6/2012500067Blue StarEQUINOX PARTNERS LPS947321175.00
19/6/2012531820Finalysis CredDHARMENDRA HARILAL BHOJAKB5009457.95
19/6/2012526598Gujarat Narm FlyKAILASH FICOM LIMITEDB7500045.03
19/6/2012532659IDFCMACQUARIE BANK LIMITEDS8000000127.55
19/6/2012511682IFL PromotersNORTH INDIA SECURITIES PVT LTDS500015.52
19/6/2012514312Jaihind SynDINESH JAYNTALAL DOSHIB4307514.55
19/6/2012506128Krishna DeepALOK FINANCE PVT. LTD.B6000042.25
19/6/2012511638Madhur CapitalSHALIN VINITBHAI PARIKHS500008.03
19/6/2012590117Mahaveer Infoway-$SANGITA SANDEEP MERCHANTB3775513.02
19/6/2012506041Mahesh AgriMURLIDHAR GANPAT JADHAVS35009.72
19/6/2012531207Raymed LabsUTKARSH PRINTING PRESS PRIVATE LIMITEDB6199922.30
19/6/2012530867Suryanagri FinALOK FINANCE PVT. LTD.B2250024.20
19/6/2012530867Suryanagri FinNIRAJ REALTORS & SHARES PVT. LTD.B2250024.20
19/6/2012530867Suryanagri FinMANISHA SANJAY AGRAWALS9000024.20
19/6/2012531499Sybly Inds-$BAMPSL SECURITIES LTDB22001000.53
19/6/2012531874Venus Power VenturesDHANA ENERGY PRIVATE LIMITEDB11000024.26
* B - Buy, S - Sell
** = Weighted Average Trade Price / Trade Price



NSE, Bulk deals, 19-Jun-2012


DateSymbolSecurity NameClient NameBuy / SellQuantity TradedTrade Price /
Wght. Avg.
Price
Remarks
19-Jun-2012JAMNAAUTOJamna Auto Ind LtdCLEARWATER CAPITAL PARTNERS SINGAPORE FUND III PVT LTDBUY2,50,000157.96-
19-Jun-2012SHRIRAMEPCShriram EPC LimitedIFCI FACTORS LTDSELL8,00,00058.06-
19-Jun-2012SHRIRAMEPCShriram EPC LimitedINSPIRE MANGEMT CONST PVT LTDBUY4,00,00058.87-
19-Jun-2012SHRIRAMEPCShriram EPC LimitedNISSAN MANGMT CONSULT PVT LTDBUY4,00,00057.26-


HDFC - Annual report: Non-retail NPLs rise, lower BV accretion; company update; Hold::Edelweiss PDF link



HDFC (HDFC IN, INR 6 44, Hold)
Our analysis of HDFCs FY12 annual report highlights the well known fact about lower book value accretion (refer our report, HDFC: Demystifying forex equation, dated January 19, 12) due to utilization of reserves for standard asset provisioning (INR3.5bn) and interest on zero coupon bonds (INR4.8bn) equivalent to 20% of earnings. However, knock due to ZCB interest was lower than expectation due to tax benefit on the same (absent in FY11). Key observations include: 1) gross NPLs more than doubled in non-individual category and 2) sell downs to HDFC Bank contributing 4-5% to net interest income. Repricing of dual rate home loans (INR223bn) w.e.f. April and warrant conversion by August, 12, will support NIMs and reversal of standard provisioning on dual rate loans will aid net worth in FY14. Our SOTP fair value is INR672/share (FY13E), valuing the core book at 4.2x. We maintainHOLD’.