06 May 2012

Monsoon - Eye on sky : Edelweiss, PDF link

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We attended the conference - “Monsoon 2012 prospects and challenges” - organized by SKYMET, a private weather forecasting agency. The key takeaways are: monsoon is likely to be 95% of LPA, not very far from 99% predicted by the IMD. Temporally, Jun-Jul rainfall is likely to be normal which should help the sowing season, though there is a likelihood of unfavourable El Niño conditions developing during Aug-Sept period. This may lead to the emergence of moisture stress. However, full clarity on El Niño is likely to materialize by the end of May.
Regards,

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