Presidential Elections - Congress: Up against the weight of numbers ::Edelweiss PDF link

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After Congress’ poor performance in the recent state elections, the forthcoming presidential election is likely to be the next battleground for the ruling party. Our Electoral College calculations suggest that on its own the party will not be able to garner more than 30% votes, not enough to push its candidate successfully. Ergo, India’s grand old ruling party will have to either agree to a consensus candidate, in which case it loses influence during political crisis, or it risks losing the presidential election altogether, a big loss of face for the embattled party. In any case, the election is likely to unleash heightened political uncertainty, with the attendant possibility of mid-term polls.

Presidential Elections - Congress: Up against the weight of numbers