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Citi India Economists have put together a set of updated presentations which give a quick overview of their current thoughts on the economy. As this is the last report for 2011, on behalf of Citigroup Economists, we would like to thank you all for your support and feedback….and here's wishing you and all at home a very happy holiday season and all the very best for 2012!!!
PRESENTATION: KEY POINTS -
· GDP – 12 Tough Tasks To Sustain Growth at ~7%
· FX Vulnerabilities Increase
· External Debt – Short-term Debt Worries; Redemption Pressures Key to Monitor
· BOP – Flows Lower, But RBI/MOF has tools to Increase Flows
· Fiscal – Fiscal Consolidation on the Backburner: Assessing Debt Concerns
· WPI Inflation – Determined by Interplay Between Currencies and Commodities
· Rates – Easing cycle likely to be advanced to 1Q 2012
· Politics – Will the Policy Gridlock Ease
Excerpts from the report can be attributed to Rohini Malkani, Economist, Citi India.
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