10 September 2011

India's Troubled Neighborhood::Takeaways Motilal Oswal Annual Global Investor Conferences

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Key Takeaways
Core essence: There are is a complementary and reflexive relationship between national
security and economic development.
What is national security?
Unlike the past, modern-day countries are unlikely to wage war with other countries for
territorial expansion, as they will not be accepted by the "conquered" people. In this
context, national security has three implications -
1. It does not only mean defending territorial integrity and preserving the nation's
sovereignty;
2. It also means development of trade and commerce with the rest of the world; and
3. It is necessary to be an important actor in international affairs.
National security can be mainly analyzed as (1) External and (2) Internal.
India's external security position
 Geopolitically, India is bordered mainly by small nations ex China - Pakistan,
Afghanistan, Nepal, Bhutan, Bangladesh and Sri Lanka.
 Security equation with Pakistan: Pakistan has several major internal problems
on hand - economic, political, sectarian - and hence, in no position to wage any
major attack on India. So, the threat is mainly that of cross-border terrorism, which
may continue for some time. Still, the security equation is in India's favor and the
gap is only increasing.
 Security equation with China: Unlike Pakistan, the security equation with China
is increasing in the latter's favor. China has created more pressure points, both on
the ground and in international diplomacy. Also, it sells weapons to all neighboring
countries like Myanmar, Nepal, Sri Lanka, etc. However, one need not expect any
major war with China.
 Other nations: The other nations are too small to be of any security worry to
India. On the other hand, any security trouble in India will have repercussions for
these nations and the entire ASEAN region.
Internal security issues
In modern-day geopolitics, internal security assumes more importance than external.
The major issues here are -
1. Perception more adverse than reality: The popular perception is that internal
security in India is worsening e.g. rising spread Maoism in east and north-east
India. However, the reality is that casualties on account of internal hostilities are
actually coming down every successive year for the past several years

2. Police and Policy: A strong police is a key factor in maintaining internal law and order.
However, increasingly, the local policemen are being used for VVIP security. Also, police
human resources are underdeveloped ("the man behind the gun is more important than
the gun"). There is also need for significant improvement in the intelligence system. On
policy, there is a high correlation between governance and security. Poor governance is
likely to trigger civil disobedience movements (e.g. the ongoing protest by Anna Hazare
and his supporters), which anti-social elements can take advantage of and create threats
to security and law & order.
Other issues
 India's import dependence for weapons: 70% of India's weapons are imported.
This is not a healthy situation to be in, as in times of need, the required weapons may
not be available or may need to be procured at exorbitant cost. Hence, there is need to
create a level-playing field for the private sector in defense equipment business.
 Silo-ism at the Center: Various security-related arms of the government need to
work in closer co-ordination with each other.
The bottomline
Based on Genl Malik's experience at Kargil, he is convinced that the typical Indian soldier is
an extraordinary human being. And so long as he is there, Indians can rest assured that
there will be no major threat to national security.




General Ved Prakash Malik, a
recipient of the Ati Vishisht Seva
Medal (AVSM) and the Param Vishisht
Seva Medal (PVSM) is an alumnus of
the National Defense Academy,
Khadakvasla and the Indian Military
Academy, Dehradun.
He assumed charge of the Indian
Army, becoming the nineteenth
Chief of Army Staff on 1 October
1997. He became Chairman, Chiefs
of Staff Committee of India from 1
January 1999. He coordinated and
oversaw the planning and execution
of Operation Vijay to successfully
defeat Pakistan's attempted intrusion
in Kargil over May-July 1999.
He was commissioned to the Third
Sikh Light Infantry on 7 June 1959.
He commanded the Infantry Brigade
in Jammu & Kashmir, where he was
awarded the Ati Vishisht Seva Medal
(AVSM). In December 1989, he was
appointed General Officer
Commanding, Mountain Division and
in August 1992, he assumed
command of the Corps in Punjab,
where he oversaw anti-militancy
operations in the state. In July 1995,
he was appointed General Officer
Commanding-in-Chief Southern
Command before moving to Army
Headquarters as Vice Chief of Army
Staff in August 1996. He was
decorated with the Param Vishisht
Seva Medal (PVSM) in 1996.

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