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Essel Propack
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Our prognosis of Ebidta margin not played out
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BUY
CMP: Rs43 Target Price: Rs63
n Essel Propack (EPL) Q1 FY12 was below expectations - Revenues up 8.4% yoy at Rs 3.6bn, EBIDTA up 2.3% at Rs 576mn and APAT up 9% at Rs 94mn.
n Ebidta margins decline 90 bps yoy to 16% - being impacted by reduction in gross margins – our prognosis for Ebidta margin expansion has not played out.
n Europe continues to report Ebit loss at Rs50 mn and Americas fails to report improvement in capacity utilization, thereby impacting overall performance.
n Revise Ebidta margins assumptions and thereby revise earnings downwards by -24.6% and -16.5% for FY12E and FY13E - Retain BUY with revised target price of Rs63/Share.
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