24 April 2011

buy ING Vysya Bank: Impressive Performance With Strong Set Of Nos:: Enam

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IMPRESSIVE PERFORMANCE WITH STRONG SET OF NOS
ING Vysya Bank’s (ING) PAT grew 91% YoY to Rs 913 mn, which was
above our estimates. Improvement in NIMs (3.3% in Q4FY11, up 20 bps
QoQ); strong growth in CASA balances (34.6% in Q4FY11, up 116 bps
QoQ) along with improved asset quality (Gross NPA at 2.3% in Q4FY11,
down 36 bps QoQ) drove this robust operating performance. Decline in
provision expenses (down 96% YoY) provided traction to PAT growth.

Key highlights
􀂉 NIMs grew 20 bps to 3.3% in Q4FY11 led by yield on advances
improving to 10.69% (up 56 bps QoQ) along with an improvement in
CASA ratio. Cost of deposits rose to 6% (up 56 bps QoQ).
􀂉 Advances grew 28% YoY to Rs 236 bn buoyed by a 43% YoY rise in
biz banking. CASA ratio improved to 34.6% (up 120 bps QoQ) with
current a/c balance up 25% YoY & savings a/c balance up 23% YoY.
􀂉 High staff expenses (up 54% YoY) led to 13% QoQ increase in costto-
income (C-I) ratio to 67%. ING has fully provided for: (a) the entire
Gratuity liability (of Rs 207.4 mn), (b) Additional liability of pension
for retired employees (of Rs 287.3 mn), and (c) 1/5th of Pension
costs for existing employees (of Rs 186 mn). Only Pension cost on
existing employees will be repeated going forward.
􀂉 Asset Quality improved as gross NPAs and Net NPAs declined by 5%
QoQ and 33% QoQ to Rs 5.5 bn and Rs 0.9 bn respectively. Provision
coverage improved further to 83%.
Maintain BUY, with unchanged TP of Rs 434 (29% upside)
ING is expected to witness substantial improvement in C-I ratio as some
of the one-off items will not be repeated, which will help ING achieve
over 1% RoA in FY12E (vs. 0.9% in FY11). Higher-than-mandated PCR
will help in normalizing earnings in bad qtrs. With asset quality issues
behind & with opening of new branches, ING’s focus will be on growth
which will augur well for return ratios. We have revised our earnings
upwards by 7% to factor in improved operational performance. At CMP
of Rs 336, ING is trading at 11xFY12E EPS of Rs 30 & 1.3xFY12E ABV of
Rs 253. We retain our BUY rating with an unchanged TP at Rs 434.

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