06 February 2011

Kotak Sec, : Buy Sadbhav Engineering- Strong results; in line to meet full-year estimates.

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Sadbhav Engineering (SADE)
Construction
Strong results; in line to meet full-year estimates. Strong 3QFY11 revenue growth of
51% yoy was likely led by execution of 2 large BOT projects. Our full-year FY2011E estimates
imply a revenue growth requirement of about 41% in 4QFY11E and accommodate an 80 bps fall
in margins. Strong order backlog of Rs78 bn provides revenue visibility. Near-term construction
revenues are likely to be led by progress of execution of existing BOT projects. Reiterate BUY on
attractive valuations, likely strong near-term earnings growth and strong balance sheet.
Strong results continue led by execution of large orders
􀁠 Strong revenue growth, in line with estimates. Sadbhav Engg reported a strong revenue
growth of 51% yoy in 3QFY11 to Rs4.7 bn likely led by pick-up in execution of the two large
BOT road projects in the backlog. The revenues were in line with our estimates of Rs4.5 bn
􀁠 EBITDA expands 200 bps on lower construction expense; in line with estimates. EBITDA
margins expanded 200 bps to 11.1% in 3QFY11 due to lower construction cost as a percentage
of sales. The margins were in line with our estimates of 11%. The company reported a net PAT
of Rs264 mn, versus 3QFY10 PAT of Rs141 mn and our estimate of Rs231 mn.
􀁠 9MFY11 performance. In the nine months ending December 31, 2010, Sadbhav reported
revenues of Rs11.6 bn, up 45.4% yoy. Margins expanded by about 80 bps yoy to 11.6%
leading to a net PAT of Rs656 mn in 9MFY11, up 84% yoy from Rs357 mn in 9MFY10 .
In line to meet full-year estimates
Our revenue estimate of Rs18bn in FY2011E (growth of 43.7% yoy) and 11.3% margin implies a
revenue growth of 43.7% an EBITDA margin requirement of 10.7% (accommodates an 80 bps
fall in margins) for 4QFY11E.
Award of the NHAI order in 3QFY11 pumps up order backlog
Sadbhav won an EPC order worth Rs14 bn in Oct-10 from NHAI for the rehabilitation and upgradation
to 2-lane of Multai-Chhindwara-Sconi section in MP and Maharashtra. The management
indicated an order backlog of Rs77-78 bn in Dec-2010 comprised of 72-73% from road segment
(led by in-house development projects), 7-8% from irrigation segment and remaining from mining.
Retain estimates and target price of Rs175/share; reiterate BUY
We maintain our estimates of Rs62 and Rs84 for FY2011E and FY2012E. We reiterate BUY with a
target price of Rs175/share based on (1) attractive valuations, (2) strong order book, and (3)
positive outlook for infrastructural investments.


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