02 February 2011

BNP Paribas: Stock picks: Mid-caps- IRB Infrastructure

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IRB Infrastructure
􀂃 Integrated road developer with an in-house construction arm; current operations
provide stable cash flow (construction and BOT revenue).
􀂃 Macro: We estimate NHAI project awards of INR160b in FY11, INR750-900b in
FY12.
􀂃 IRB has bid for projects worth INR490b; we estimate project wins of INR88b over
FY11, FY12.
􀂃 We are building in an equity dilution of INR12b in FY12 to finance future project
wins (may not be required if capex is postponed by 1-2 quarters).
􀂃 Valuation: Highway BOT Portfolio INR119 (DCF based), Construction business
INR72 (6x FY12 EV/EBITDA), Real estate INR22 (NAV based), New project wins
INR88 (1.5x estimated equity).

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