24 December 2010

Emkay-Godrej Consumer Products- 24.12.10

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Godrej Consumer Products
Status Quo, Maintain Accumulate


ACCUMULATE

CMP: Rs 375                                       Target Price: Rs 447

n     We met the management of Godrej Consumer – foresee continuation of growth momentum and no change in growth assumptions and resultant earnings estimates
n     Much publicized cost pressures are restricted to Soaps segment alone – also productivity and efficiency gains would keep Ebidta margins unchanged at 18% for FY11E and FY12E
n     New growth drivers (recent acquisitions) are reporting some acceleration in growth momentum; erstwhile drivers like domestic business are heading for breather
n     17% price correction from Rs441/Share to Rs369/Share unwarranted - Maintain ‘ACCUMULATE’ rating with target price of Rs447/Share

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