12 February 2013

Union Bank of India - Reassuring confidence ::Karvy


Reassuring confidence
This is the second consecutive quarter of improvement in asset quality.
Slippages were contained within 1.4% as against 1.8% in Q2FY13 and 3.8%
in Q1FY13. As a result GNPA improved by 30bps sequentially to 3.4%.
Credit grew at a decent pace of 21% and NIMs are stable sequentially at
3%. They have provided heavily during the quarter, shoring up provision
coverage by 480bps sequentially to 66.2%.
 Healthy respite in asset quality: Slippages were contained within 1.4%
as against 1.8% in Q2FY13 and 3.8% in Q1FY13. As a result GNPA
improved by 30bps sequentially to 3.4%. GNPA has improved by 30 bps
sequentially to 3.4%. Despite lower slippages, it made a higher NPL
provision of Rs5.5bn shoring up provision coverage by 480bps to 66.2%.
Restructured assets were sequentially flat at 5.6% of loan book.
 Decent growth in balance sheet: Advances grew by 22%, whereas,
deposits managed growth of 17%. CASA has bounced back by 75bps
sequentially to 31.3%.
 Stable NIMs sequentially: NIMs are stable sequentially at 3% as yield
on asset as well as cost of funds were almost stable on a sequential basis.
NIMs were however lower by 36bps as against last year.
Outlook & Valuation
At the CMP, the stock trades at 4.6x & 3.9x FY14E & FY15E earnings, and at
0.9x & 0.8x P/ABV FY14E & FY15E, respectively. Based on 10% discount to its
historical mean valuation implying 1.0x P/ABV FY15E, we reiterate our
“BUY” recommendation on Union Bank of India with target price of Rs. 315
per share.

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