Key highlights
IndusInd Bank reported a PAT of INR2.36bn, marginally higher than our
estimate of INR2.29bn (Street est. of INR2.31bn) on the back of higherthan-
expected other income. Key highlights from the quarter include:
Loan book growth remained strong (up 31% y/y), primarily driven by
48% increase in consumer finance loans, while the corporate book
increased at 20% y/y. While NII was below our estimates, strong fee
income of 42% y/y and trading gains of INR0.5bn (vs our estimate of
INR 0.27bn) supported the earnings beat.
Margins declined 7bps sequentially to 3.22% due to 35bps q/q
increase in cost of funds vs 28bps q/q increase in yield on assets.
Deposits grew at 28% y/y with savings deposits continuing to be strong,
growing 9.5% q/q leading to 56bps improvement in the CASA ratio at
27.9%.
Asset quality was largely stable with sequentially flat GNPL and NNPL
ratios at 0.97% and 0.27%, respectively. The bank did not add any
restructured loan during the quarter (the restructured book stands at
0.24% of the loan book). However, higher slippage of INR1.09bn vs
our forecast of INR0.83bn led to LLPs of 50bps vs our estimate of
37bps.
Total CAR was at 13.4% (including full-year profits) with Tier-I CAR at
11.2% (including full-year profits).
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Outlook and key takeaways from management call
Slippage was higher than expected as one mid-sized gems & jewellery
account slipped to NPL leading to higher LLPs. Management expects
to recover 50-60% of the amount within 3-6 months.
IIB expects to cross 500 branches by FY13 end and 650 by FY14 end
(currently at 421 branches). New branches opened last year average
around INR70-80mn SA per branch vs INR220-230mn for matured
branches. Management expects to end FY13 with INR170-180mn of
SA per branch. We are budgeting in INR125mn SA per branch by
FY13 end.
Third-party fee income growth was tepid as the bank has stopped
recognising commission on non life insurance as a part of their income
for the last six months. Management guides for fee income growth to
be higher than balance sheet growth for FY13.
Management guides towards LLPs of around 50bps for FY13. We are
building in LLPs of 56bps for FY13F.
The bank expects to grow its loan book in the range of 25-30% vs our
current estimate of 25%.
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