28 May 2012

Sintex Industries: 4QFY2012 Result Update -Angel Research


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For 4QFY2012, Sintex reported a 30.1% yoy decline in its net sales to `1,024cr.
The company’s EBITDA declined by 45% yoy to `160cr and its EBITDA margin
contracted by 415bp yoy to 15.6%. PAT came in at `91cr, down 46% yoy.
We maintain our Buy recommendation on the stock.
Lower monolithic segment’s revenue impacts earnings: Sintex’s consolidated net
sales declined by 30.1% yoy to `1,024cr during 4QFY2012, lower than our
expectation. The decline in revenue was mainly led by the monolithic segment,
which reported a dip of 54% yoy to `264cr; and flat performance by the storage
tanks segment at `59cr. The domestic custom moulding segment reported 22%
yoy growth to `266cr, while the overseas custom moulding reported a 71% yoy
decline in revenue to `91cr. Sintex’s 4QFY2012 consolidated EBITDA stood at
`160cr, down 45% yoy. OPM for the quarter stood at 15.6%, down 415bp yoy
(up 158bp qoq) on the back of margin expansion in all segments. During the
quarter, Sintex booked other income of `12cr (up 35% yoy). Consequently, PAT
came in at `91cr, down 46% yoy, significantly below expectation.
Outlook and valuation: We have downgraded our earnings estimates for
FY2013E and FY2014E on account of slowdown in the monolithic segment.
Sintex will have low net debt/equity of 0.7x, by FY2014E. The stock is currently
trading at 3.3x FY2014E EPS and 0.4x FY2014E P/BV only, which we feel is very
attractive. Over the last five years, Sintex has traded at an average one-year P/E
of 11.4x, which makes current valuations attractive. Moreover, further integration
of foreign subsidiaries and acquisition in the monolithic segment will act as key
catalysts for the stock. We maintain our Buy recommendation on the stock with a
target price of `79.

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