10 February 2012

Karur Vysya Bank: TP: ` 434 Accumulate ::Dolat Capital

Please Share:: Bookmark and Share India Equity Research Reports, IPO and Stock News
Visit http://indiaer.blogspot.com/ for complete details �� ��


Core interest income, operating profit and net profit in-line with our
estimates supported by stable margin and asset quality
􀁊 In Q3 FY12, Karur Vysya Bank’s (KVB) net interest income (NII) grew
11.4% YoY to ` 2.3bn, slightly lesser than our estimates of ` 2.4bn. KVB’s
margin remains stable at 3.06% against 3.03% in Q2FY12. KVB’s operating
profit was at ` 1.89bn compared to our estimates of ` 1.93bn. Net profit
grew 10.3% YoY to ` 1.25bn (Dolat est: ` 1.21bn, Consensus est: ` 1.22bn).
􀁊 The bank’s core operation remains marginally better, contained liability
cost aided margin and it maintained its consistency in fee income growth.
􀁊 Asset quality remained healthy with flat gross NPAs at 1.45% and
reasonably high PCR at 80%. The bank’s asset quality remains under
control and management is confident of maintaining gross NPA at current
level of ` 3bn by the end-march’12. Overall result is in-line with stable
margin and asset quality.
􀁊 We expect KVB’s total business to grow by 31% CAGR on the back of
30.4% growth in deposits mobilization and 31.9% expansion in credit book.
We estimate margin to drift down by 30bps to 2.86% in FY12 and
subsequently by 12bps to 2.74% in FY13. In FY12-13, the bank would
report RoAA and RoAE in a range of 1.3%-1.5% and around 18-20%
respectively.
􀁊 We revise upward our FY12 and FY13 earnings estimates by 11% and 9%
respectively considering higher business growth and improvement in margin
and asset quality. We increase our target price by 5% to ` 434 at 1.8x
adjusted book value (ABV) FY13 and reiterate the stock rating as
Accumulate.

No comments:

Post a Comment