14 January 2012

SHASUN PHARMA:: Fairwealth Investment Ideas 2012

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SHASUN PHARMA


Shasun Pharma (Shasun) is engaged in manufacturing active pharmaceutical

ingredients (APIs), their intermediates and enteric coating excipients with a

significant presence in some key generics. Shasun has created a strong product

portfolio, building on its R & D Expertise, regulatory capabilities and multi scale

production capacities. Today, Shasun is one of the largest producers of Ibuprofen

worldwide. The company offers derivatives of Ibuprofen like Ibuprofen Sodium,

Ibuprofen Lysinate and S+Ibuprofen. It is also one of the major producers of

Ranitidine and Nizatidine in the world. Its products are exported to countries

across North America, Europe, Asia and Latin America.

Investment Rationale

􀂾 We expect that Rhodias performance will improve significantly on back of

incremental supplies to Vertex over the next few quarters as the volume ramp up

starts for Incivek and batch supplies get replaced with bulk orders.

􀂾 Incivek commands more than 70% market share with one of the strongest

launches within Pharma industry. Shasun Pharma stands to gain significantly as it

has an assured contract from Vertex (Marketing rights for North America) for

70% of its global requirement of API. We think the strong set of revenue of drug

would reflect in subsequent quarter earnings for Shasun UK.

􀂾 Management has recently highlights strong growth prospects with 40-50%

revenue growth and profitability to triple in FY12. The company plans to reduce

its debt from 330 Cr to 220 Cr with majority of it being repaid through internal

accruals by the end of this financial year.Further the improvement in business

fundamentals led by series of initiatives like expansion of capacities and launch of

new products augur well for the future.

􀂾 We maintain a positive outlook on the stock due to supplies for telaprevir to

vertex, increased focus on high margin APIs and various expansion drives.

Valuations

The stock has come under pressure due to steep rupee depreciation which would

lead to Market to market losses on company’s forward contract We believe going

forward the company is a candidate for re-rating due to high potential growth with

majority of earning accruing from UK subsidiary. At the CMP the stock is trading

at 8.4x for FY11P/E. We recommend BUY with a target price of Rs 90.

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