14 January 2012

KPIT CUMMINS:: Fairwealth Investment Ideas 2012

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KPIT CUMMINS


KPIT Cummins (KPIT) provides technology solutions partner for global

Manufacturing corporations with special focus on Automotive, Energy & Utilities,

Industrial Equipments, and Semiconductor industries. Highly focused approach

has helped company to pioneer innovative solutions and file 37 patents in the

Automotive and Semiconductor domains. Following the acquisition of Sparta,

KPIT’s revenue from its SAP-related ERP services doubled over the past two

years.

Investment Rationale

􀂾 KPIT Cummins has been experiencing strong demand environment due to

cyclical up-tick in its manufacturing vertical, positive structural changes in

Automotive clients, emerging economies growth and ramp ups from newly

acquired business (CPG, In2Soft and Sparta).

􀂾 We expect the robust growth to continue going ahead with strong Automotive

engineering demand, sustained IT spending by manufacturing clients being the

key growth drivers.

􀂾 KPIT has shown one of the strongest revenue growth performance within the

mid-cap space with revenue growth of 46% (40% organically) due to strong

demand up-tick in major verticals.

􀂾 KPIT acquired 50% stake in leading Oracle JDE enterprise service provider,

Systime, for ~Rs1.03bn in Q1 FY12 thus strengthening its Oracle offering

providing access to marquee clientele and un-penetrated geographies.

􀂾 KPIT registered strong deal wins during 2QFY12. Traction from top client has

also improved (36% yoy in 2QFY12). Moreover, it has also won a large deal from

its top client recently. In addition, we expect KPIT’s partnership with PACCAR to

ramp up by 1QFY13 and account for ~5% of employee base of KPIT. These

strong deal wins and PACCAR relationship improve medium term visibility on

revenue growth.

􀂾 Despite consolidation of lower-margin SYSTIME, we believe that due to

depreciating INR, KPIT will register a strong 250bps improvement in EBITDA

margins by 4QFY12.

Valuations

The stock is currently trading at 13.5x FY11P/E which appears to be cheap. We

assign BUY rating to the stock with a target price of Rs.185 indicating potential

upside of 27% from current levels.

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