30 October 2011

UBS: Patni Computer Systems 3 Q11 results beat estimates

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UBS Investment Research
Patni Computer Systems
3 Q11 results beat estimates
􀂄 Event: revenue and net profit ahead of estimates
Patni reported 3Q revenue of Rs9.4bn, 14% QoQ growth, 8% above our estimate.
The underlying dollar revenue was $191mn, (up 3.9% QoQ) higher than our
estimate of $188mn. Consolidated EBITDA margins were at 17.6% due to
favourable currency and lower operating expenses. Net profit was Rs835mn (vs
108mn in 2Q), ahead of our estimate led by lower tax rate of 11% vs. our estimate
of 27%.
􀂄 Impact: margin expansion due to absence of one-off costs in 3Q
Patni reported operating margin of 17.6% in 3Q versus 1.9% in the last quarter.
The increase was primarily due to absence of one-time costs such as stock based
compensation and severance expenses. Higher employee utilisation at 78% also
boosted the margin in 3Q.
􀂄 Action: corporate action likely to drive the share price
Successful completion of Patni-iGate merger is likely to provide near-term revenue
visibility for Patni. In addition, any corporate action clarity from iGate to delist the
company or reduce its stake in Patni to 75% (currently 82%) may act as a catalyst
in the near-term.
􀂄 Valuation: revisiting our estimates
We maintain Sell and price target of Rs250, which is derived from a DCF-based
methodology and explicitly forecast long-term valuation drivers using UBS’s
VCAM tool.
􀁑 Patni Computer Systems
Incorporated in 1978, Patni Computer Systems (Patni) is one of the leading
India-based providers of IT services. It has over 14,000 employees across 29
centres across the world. Patni offers services in application development and
maintenance, enterprise solutions and other IT-enabled services. It derives most
of its revenue from the US and the rest from EMEA and Asia. Its main verticals
are insurance, manufacturing and retail, and product engineering.
􀁑 Statement of Risk
A sharp decline in IT Services spending could result in downward revision of
our earnings estimates.

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