16 October 2011

Preview of Shriram Transport Finance; Q2FY12 Results Banking Sector Oct 2011 ::Way2Wealth

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Shriram Transport Finance
We expect a healthy growth in the of the firm on a yoy basis. However, growth will be
subdued on a sequential basis.
􀂙 Margins would be subdued with Q1FY12. However, on an absolute value terms, we expect NII to
improve by ~6% sequentially.
􀂙 We expect NPA’s to rise on account of the recent ban on mining in the Bellary & Goa region.
Though the effect will not be felt completely in this quarter, but it will be seen in Q3FY12. We also
expect normal NPA’s to continue.
􀂙 We expect provisions to be in line with the sequential number.
􀂙 Thus, we expect the profits to marginally rise by 1.5% qoq.
􀂙 Currently, the stock is available at a P/ABV of ~1.7x FY13E.

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