13 October 2011

Infosys - Beaten expectation, retain ‘BUY’ :Prabhudas Lilladher,

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Infosys reported Q2FY12 results better than our/consensus expectation in a quarter,
that had demand weakening headwinds, but currency tailwinds. However, the
marginally lowererd guidance for FY12 US$ revenue below our, but ahead of
consensus estimates. We see result as better than consensus expectation.
􀂄 Results ahead of our/consensus expectation: Infosys’ revenue grew by 8.2%
QoQ to Rs80.99bn for Q2FY12 (Guid.: Rs77.5bn, PLe: Rs80.4bn, Cons: Rs80.8bn)
in Indian rupee term, whereas revenue in USD term grew by 4.5% to US$1746m
(Guid.: $1743m, PLe: $1756m). The company reported an operating margin
expansion of 209bps QoQ to 28.2% (PLe: 27.0%, Cons: 28.7%) due to currency
tailwind of 3.6% in Q2FY12 (vs Q1FY12). The company reported EPS of Rs33.36
(Guid: Rs29.90, PLe: Rs31.40, Cons: Rs33.70), growth of 10.7% QoQ.
􀂄 Geography and segments – NA and BFSI shines, Europe and Retail disappoints:
Revenue for NA and Europe grew by 6.3% and 0.6% QoQ, respectively, whereas
in terms of vertical, BFSI and Retails grew by 4.2% and 1.2% QoQ, respectively.
IMS and PES grew by 12.2% and 11% QoQ.
􀂄 Pricing – pricing increase in‐line with expectation: The pricing improved by
0.5% QoQ (Onsite: -1.6%, Offshore: 3.1%). The company added 45 new clients.
􀂄 Outlook – marginal downward revision in US$ revenue, but significant upward
revision in rupee EPS guidance: Infosys has marginaly revised its USD revenue
growth for FY12 (17-19% YoY growth, PLe: 18-20%). Infosys has revised its rupee
EPS guidance by 11% to Rs143-145, a growth of 21% YoY. For Q3FY12, Infosys
guided for 4.3% QoQ revenue growth to US$1821 and EPS of Rs38.86.
􀂄 Valuations and Recommendation – See positive uptick today: We recommend
switch from TCS to Infosys due to lower exposure in Europe and Capital Market.
We may revisit our estimates post conference call.

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