14 October 2011

Derivative Report - 14 Oct 2011 -Angel Broking,

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Comments
 The Nifty futures’ open interest decreased by 3.16% while
Minifty futures’ open interest decreased by 3.90% as
market closed at 5077.85 levels.
 The Nifty Oct. future closed at a Discount of 3.80 point
against a Premium of 13.45 points. The November
Series closed at a Premium of 11.50 points.
 The Implied Volatility of at the money options is
decreased from 25.97% to 25.76%.
 The PCR-OI has decreased from 1.56 to 1.48 points.
 The total OI of the market is `1,21,953.10cr. And the
stock futures OI are `29,018/-cr.
 Stocks where cost of carry is positive are GLAXO,
STRTECH, HOTELEELA, JSWISPAT and NHPC.


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 Cash base buying is now slowly and steadily picking
up the steam from FII’s. Again there was unwinding
in index futures mainly shorts and buying of index
options but quantum has reduced.
 4600 put saw significant amount of unwinding in
open interest. We believe these are put buyers who
are now squaring off their positions as market
unlikely to go to those levels in this expiry. 5100-
5300 calls witnessed substantial addition in OI.
 ITC has witnessed some unwinding at higher levels.
Huge long positions were formed at lower levels. We
are anticipating further long unwinding but would
recommend buying 200 put with stop loss of `1/-
and target of `6/-.
 POLARIS has been consolidating in the broader
range of `125-135. We are not witnessing rising
volume with rising open interest. We anticipate
break-out from current range and hence recommend
going long with target price of `154 and stop loss of
`123.
Historical Volatility
SCRIP HV
HOTELEELA 51.55
KFA 90.35
ADANIPOWER 58.43
MCDOWELL-N 55.85
HINDPETRO 31.57

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