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Key Takeaways
Ad revenue growth relatively strong, despite weakness in education sector
HT Media is witnessing relatively strong ad revenue growth. The company has not
seen deceleration in growth v/s 1QFY12 levels (~17% YoY).
Print ad revenue has faced some pressure this year largely due to weak education
sector; growth in education has declined from 25-30% last year to ~12%.
All major print genres like Hindi, English (NCR), and English (Mumbai) are doing
well and could grow 16-25% in terms of ad revenue.
There is room for yield improvement in markets like Mumbai, UP, and Bihar.
Newsprint prices have likely peaked-out
Newsprint price inflation has been a cause of concern for the print companies.
However, there are early indications of softening newsprint prices, given some
reduction in scrap paper prices.
Other highlights
The radio segment remains strong and could witness revenue growth of 25-30% in
FY12.
EBITDA losses for digital business (mainly shine.com) are expected to continue;
EBITDA breakeven likely only in FY13.
Valuation and view
The stock trades at P/E of 16.7x FY12E and 13.1x FY13E EPS. Neutral.
Visit http://indiaer.blogspot.com/ for complete details �� ��
Key Takeaways
Ad revenue growth relatively strong, despite weakness in education sector
HT Media is witnessing relatively strong ad revenue growth. The company has not
seen deceleration in growth v/s 1QFY12 levels (~17% YoY).
Print ad revenue has faced some pressure this year largely due to weak education
sector; growth in education has declined from 25-30% last year to ~12%.
All major print genres like Hindi, English (NCR), and English (Mumbai) are doing
well and could grow 16-25% in terms of ad revenue.
There is room for yield improvement in markets like Mumbai, UP, and Bihar.
Newsprint prices have likely peaked-out
Newsprint price inflation has been a cause of concern for the print companies.
However, there are early indications of softening newsprint prices, given some
reduction in scrap paper prices.
Other highlights
The radio segment remains strong and could witness revenue growth of 25-30% in
FY12.
EBITDA losses for digital business (mainly shine.com) are expected to continue;
EBITDA breakeven likely only in FY13.
Valuation and view
The stock trades at P/E of 16.7x FY12E and 13.1x FY13E EPS. Neutral.
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