25 August 2011

India IT Services The myth of the benefits of the "mega account" - JPMorgan,

Please Share:: Bookmark and Share India Equity Research Reports, IPO and Stock News
Visit http://indiaer.blogspot.com/ for complete details �� ��


India IT Services
The myth of the benefits of the "mega account" - mega
accounts may not necessarily bring in mega benefits


 US$100MM+ account sizes are becoming mainstream in Indian IT: Indian
IT companies  such as TCS/Infosys/Cognizant have  demonstrated the ability to
notch up US$100MM+ running accounts on the back of  (a) better relationship
management  and  domain  depth  (Cognizant),  (b)  proper  account  management
structures  that  emphasize  multi-tiered  relationships  (Infosys),  and  (c)  fullservice selling (TCS). Infosys leads the sector in this respect, in our view.
 The idea  of cultivating  “mega-accounts” has  therefore  acquired enhanced
appeal: Clearly, the game now moves to developing “mega  accounts”, which
we define as account sizes exceeding US$250MM annually. On the face of it, a
US$250MM+ account is a  strategic relationship in which the  vendor is tied in
with the  client at the  upper  echelons across  divisions,  e.g. COO, CMO, CFO,
CRO (chief  risk  officer),  in  addition  to  the  CEO.  It  amounts  to  a  critical
partnership  that  exercises  leverage  due  to  its  (a)  reference value  and  critical
domain  depth,  (b)  favorable  client  economics  with  size/scale,  and  (c)  scale
allowing much great offshoreability than the company average (20:80 by onsite:
offshore effort versus co. average of 30:70).
 Yet,  mega  accounts  have their  issues  and  limitations: A  US$250MM p.a
relationship  substantially  offshore  is  the  equivalent  of  a  legacy  annual
US$700MM contract (which has not moved offshore). We find that there are not
too  many  global  IT  services relationships  of  that  size, even  for the  likes  of
Accenture and IBM.
 Of three mega accounts > US$450MM in  Indian  IT, two accrue  for  reasons  of
ownership  (BT  for  Tech  Mahindra  and  HP  for  Mphasis)  while  the third  (Citi
with TCS) has  become a mega account thanks to TCS’s  buyout  of Citi’s  India
BPO  captive  (eServe).  Also,  clients’ reluctance to  depend  too  much  on  any
single  vendor  as  well  as multi-vendor  sourcing  strategies  naturally  limit  the
development  of  mega-accounts.  Apart  from  the  problem  of  revenue
concentration for  the vendor, few mega accounts can organically scale upwards
of US$250MM. The return on endeavoring to organically cultivate accounts of
such  a  size  does  not  seem  high  enough.  Vendors  might be  investing
disproportionately in terms of time and resources to achieve this. More so, this is
true of emerging markets where account scale is lower than in US/Europe.
 Indian  IT  firms  must  find  the  right  balance  between  “hunting”  (new
business or scaling up sub-scale accounts) and mega account development:
It is  not  surprising that Cognizant/TCS, who lead  on  revenue  growth, manage
this  balance the  best without leaning too much  on  farming (as  Infosys tends to
do)  or hunting  (HCLT). Accounts that are hunted today  (new)  or are  sub-scale
are  those that  are  prime  for  farming  tomorrow.  Business  from  new  clients is
typically only 3-4% of revenues in a year – this can grow four-fold to 12-15% in
3-4  years’  time.  Likewise,  new  clients  over  a  four-year  period  cumulatively
contribute  to  as  much  as  30-35%  of  revenues  in  year  five, underscoring  the
importance  of  solid hunting  for the  future. Also,  with  some  of  the  largest
accounts  in  Indian  IT  under  potential  pressure  (BT,  Citi),  an  excessivel y
farming-focused strategy is less  productive in the  long  term.  Conversely,
HCLT’s undue hunting  emphasis limits its  sustainable  profitability.  In  short, a
mega account-driven strategy does not necessarily bring mega benefits. Getting
the balance right is critical, in our view.


No comments:

Post a Comment