27 June 2011

India Life Insurance Draft IPO guidelines: No major surprises:: JPMorgan

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 IRDA  has  made  public  the  draft  listing  guidelines  for  insurance
companies. The  draft  guidelines  are in line with  expectations  and we
expect  most  large  insurance  companies  (ICICI/HDFC/SBI/Kotak)  to
meet  the  financial  requirements  by  FY12.  Post  finalization  of  the
guidelines,  we  believe an increase  in  FDI  limits  to  49%  from  26%
currently  would  one  of  the  biggest  impediments  for  public  issue, as
most foreign JV partners already own a 26% stake. Key highlights:
 Public  issue  only  after  completion  of  10  years  of  operation: ICICI
Pru, HDFC insurance, SBI Life and Birla Life have completed 10 years
of operation. Reliance Life will complete  10 years of operation only by
Jan-12 and, according to the Reliance Capital management, it is awaiting
regulatory approval  for an  exception  for the Nippon deal. After the 4Q
FY11  Reliance  Capital  conference  call,  we  had  highlighted  that  there
could  be  delays  in  consummation  of  the  deal, which  we  see  as the
biggest potential catalyst for Reliance Capital’s stock performance.
 Embedded  value  at  least  twice  of  paid  up  capital: Apart  from  the
number  of  years  of  operation,  IRDA  has  introduced  the  financial
condition of EV being at least 2x paid up capital. IRDA is still to propose
specifics for EV calculations and also clarity is needed on whether paidup capital includes a  share premium or not. Our EV estimates based on
discounting past NBAP show that most large insurers (ex Reliance Life)
either  meet  that  threshold  currently  or  will meet  the  requirement  over
FY12  given limited  additional  capital  requirement  going  forward.  This
proposed  regulation  applies  to  listing  and would  not  be  applicable  to
strategic/financial stake sales including the Reliance-Nippon deal.
 Other  highlights:    (1)  Formal  approval  is  required  from  the  IRDA
before filing for the issue of share capital with SEBI. (2) EV and NBAP
disclosures would be required, but disclosure details on these two are yet
to  be  finalized  by  IRDA. (3)  The  applicant  must  have  maintained
required  solvency ratios  for  at  least  six  quarters preceding  the
application.

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