15 May 2011

UBS Key Calls - Asia C hanges to Key Calls :: Lanco Infra and Shriram Transport from India

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UBS Key Calls - Asia
C hanges to Key Calls
􀂄 Add KEPCO
We believe KEPCO is the beneficiary of a structural change in the Korean
electricity market, which could lead to more stable ROE, lower cost of capital and
a shift in investor perception of the stock. The Korean government announced on
Thursday that it will implement a fuel cost pass-through scheme starting on 1 July.
We view this as positive because 1) it adds visibility to KEPCO's earning, which
could lead to a lower cost of equity (beta is 1.0 now versus the regional average at
0.7); and 2) it signals a desire from the government to rationalise the market, which
could structurally lift KEPCO's ROE. Separately, we are also confident that
KEPCO will be able to raise its tariff by 4-5% ahead of July which will be a nearterm
catalyst. We think these developments could lead to significant upside to the
share price, currently trading at 0.45x PB. Our price target at Won40,000 has
incorporated a 5% tariff hike and is 36% above the current price, and a lower beta
at 0.8 could add another Won5,000 to our fair value.
􀂄 Eleven live Key Calls
We have 11 live Asia Key Calls— Bank of Ayudhya, Cheung Kong Infrastructure
(CKI), China Unicom-H, Genting Singapore, ICBC-H, KEPCO, Lanco Infratech,
LG Display, OCBC, Shriram Transport Finance, and Sun Hung Kai P (SHKP). All
are rated Buy.

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