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JP Morgan has upgraded India to Overweight. The reason behind this upgrade are three macro drivers: Decline in headline inflation; Normalisation of the yield curve; and progress in passing legislation post 2010 corruption stalemate.The group has rated China as Neutral and downgraded Hong Kong to Neutral. They remain Underweight on Korea.Visit http://indiaer.blogspot.com/ for complete details �� ��
In its recent report JP Morgan analyses that Indian equities have started outperforming emerging markets after significant underperformace from October 2010.
Speaking about China, JP Morgan's Chief Asian and Emerging Equity Strategist Adrian Mowat had told CNBC-TV18 in an interview on March 15 that the GDP numbers may need to be downgraded in China based upon some of the loan growth data, the monetary aggregates and the PMIs. "The economic backdrop is deteriorating at the same time as issues such as the Japanese earthquake, unrest in the Middle East are coming to fore once more."
Continuing his optimism, Mowat says that the government appears to be committed to reforms. Though inflation is likely to peak out in July-August period, Mowat says that both inflation and growth concerns have already been price in. He elaborates, “If global conditions don't worsen, Indian market will show healthy returns driven by earnings.”
Stocks that JP Morgan added in its Asia EM portfolio:
Suzlon
Wipro
Tata Steel
Bharti Airtel
Power Grid
Unitech
Stocks that JP Morgan removed from its Asia EM portfolio:
Bajaj Auto, United Spirits, Bharat Petroleum
HDFC, Axis, SBI DLF, GAIL, NTPC
Crompton Greaves, Infosys, SAIL
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