16 February 2011

Buy GMR Infrastructure- Airport regulations the key;: Anand Rathi

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GMR Infrastructure
Airport regulations the key; project execution in focus; Buy
 3QFY11 results. GMR’s consol. revenues grew to `13.6bn, up 27%
yoy (17% more than estimated) due to higher airport revenues and
consolidation of Male airport and Homeland Energy. Consol.
EBITDA grew 10% yoy to `3.8bn. It was 5% less than estimated due
to higher opex of `400m related to CoD of T3. Net loss was `223m
after recognizing a deferred tax asset of `1bn in GHIAL. Adjusted net
loss was `1.3bn, as estimated.

 T3 impacts airport profitability; Power subdued; Roads steady.
Airport revenues grew 66% yoy to `6.2bn on account of 26% yoy rise
in DIAL revenues and inclusion of Male airport. EBITDA grew 19%
yoy to `1.7bn. Lower EBITDA growth was due to higher opex of T3
and weak traffic growth at SGIA. Higher depreciation and interest
costs due to balance T3 capitalization led to a pre-tax loss of `1.6bn.
GHIAL reported profits for the first time, of `740m in 3Q. Power
posted a subdued performance due to: i) lower gas supply from RIL
impacting PLFs, ii) 10% qoq drop in merchant tariffs, iii) EBITDA loss
of `190m in Homeland Energy. Road segment revenue and EBITDA
grew 8% yoy and 7% yoy respectively, in line with estimates.
 Other updates. An agreement was signed with the Huaneng Group,
China for sale of 51% equity in Intergen for US$1.2bn. Completion of
the sale in Mar’11 would lead to cash of US$200m to GMR. Financial
closure was achieved for Male airport, Chattisgarh power project and
Hungud-Hospet toll-road project. GMR signed an agreement to
subscribe to 51% equity stake in Kakinada SEZ and entered into an
MoU with the govt. of Madhya Pradesh to set up a 1,980MW plant.
 Maintain our estimates and rating. We retain our Jun’11 sum-ofparts
target of `75. Catalysts are: 1) regulatory approval for higher user
charges (e.g. UDF) to recover regulated revenues in DIAL, 2) gas
allocation by the EGOM and 3) timely project execution.

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