18 January 2011

Religare Research: Top 10 stocks: RELIANCE INDUSTRIES

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RELIANCE INDUSTRIES
CMP (Rs.): 1001.50 EPS (Rs.): 48.59 52 Week High : 1149.70
MCap (Rs. Cr.): 332280 Book Value(Rs.):392.22 52 Week Low : 915.00
Fundamental View :
 In NELP-IX blocks, Reliance has shown interest in The Kerala-Konkan basin off the
western coast. The natural gas production from Reliance Industries Ltd's East Coast
block has dropped by about 15 per cent to about 45-46 mmscmd from 53-54
mmscmd.
 However, its core petroleum refining and petrochemicals businesses have come
under pressure due to cyclical downturn and little help came from its diversification
efforts.
 The company has now decided to invest in shale gas in the US, broadband wireless
and power industries domestically while recently picking up a stake in East India
Hotels.

Outlook: While the new businesses won't contribute much in the short run, the company
may appear inexpensive at these levels.
Technical View:
In the daily charts the stock is below its 25 DMA which is at 1041.50. The 14 day RSI is 37.47,
MACD on daily charts is -5.16. The stock is below its 200 DMA which is at 1032.72.
Recommendations:
The stock has fallen more than 6% this week pressurizing broader indices as well and it has
broken down below its important moving averages too. On weekly graphs there is minor
support near 980-986 levels which may be tested before starting any up move.

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