11 November 2010

Apollo Tyres Ltd. Margins yet to bottom out, HOLD:: Emkay

Bookmark and Share
Visit http://indiaer.blogspot.com/ for complete details �� ��


Apollo Tyres Ltd.
Margins yet to bottom out, Lower rating to HOLD


HOLD

CMP: Rs70                                        Target Price: Rs70

n     Q2 cons. performance below est. Standalone results in line due to inventory increase (12.5% of sales), Europe disappoints on (sales and margins), South Africa reports loss due to strike
n     Impact of rubber prices (~Rs 200/kg) to have impact on performance in 2H. Price hike eminent across regions. Assumed sequential price increase 5% in 2H
n     Demand structurally strong, expect price hikes in India. Concerned with pricing action in Europe. Expect stock to underperform in the short term
n     Lower our FY11/FY12 EPS to Rs 6.0/Rs 8.3. Lower our TP to Rs 70 and rating to HOLD.  Key negative risk to our HOLD rating is lack of pricing action

Eicher Motors- Expensive, post stock rally: BofA ML

Bookmark and Share
Visit http://indiaer.blogspot.com/ for complete details �� ��


Eicher Motors
Expensive, post stock rally
􀂄 Raise PO, Downgrade rating
Following a 117% YTD stock rally well ahead of expectations, we downgrade our
rating to Underperform from Buy. This is driven by (1) cut in EPS forecasts by 5%-
10% over CY10-11E, on weak Q3, and (2) expensive valuations. Our revised PO
at Rs 1,312 (up from earlier Rs1,160) is on similar imputed multiples for core
business, but recognizes cash at face value as well as the contribution from the
engine business.


Bharti Airtel: 2QFY11 weak but elasticity exists in Africa: HSBC

Bookmark and Share
Visit http://indiaer.blogspot.com/ for complete details �� ��


Bharti Airtel (BHARTI IN)
N(V): 2QFY11 weak but elasticity exists in Africa
 2QFY11 lower than our estimates, driven by seasonality
 Africa reflects early signs of usage elasticity; MOUs up by 9%
 N(V) with TP of INR 370


Tata Motors OUTPERFORM Price target: Rs1,502: Standard Chartered

Bookmark and Share
Visit http://indiaer.blogspot.com/ for complete details �� ��


Tata Motors
OUTPERFORM (unchanged) Price target: Rs1,502


Summary
Consolidated results surpassed expectations with JLR reporting a strong margin of 16.6%. Standalone margin,
however, disappointed with a 360bps yoy decline to 9.7%. Post strong 2Q results, we raise our fully-diluted
consolidated EPS estimates by 7.2% to Rs123.5 for FY11E (Rs115.2 earlier) and by 0.4% to Rs134.9 for FY12E
(Rs134.3 earlier). We also raise the price target to Rs1,502 (Rs1,452 earlier) and reiterate OUTPERFORM

RBI hikes policy rates; pause on the horizon: HSBC

Bookmark and Share
Visit http://indiaer.blogspot.com/ for complete details �� ��


India Financials
RBI hikes policy rates; pause on the horizon
 RBI hikes policy rates 25bps, surprising street as well as
banks
 Home loan lending norms tightened, banks may go slow
 Preferred plays continue to be smaller private banks – YES
and IIB

BHEL: REDUCE with a PT of INR2,210:: Nomura

Bookmark and Share
Visit http://indiaer.blogspot.com/ for complete details �� ��


 Action
We kick off a short series of research highlighting structural changes in BHEL’s
business outlook that have so far been ignored by the street. In this first note, we
highlight that near-term earnings strength is a myth, as is evident from the negative
operating cashflow in 1H FY11. We also highlight, contrary to market perception,
that pricing in the recent NTPC bulk tender implies substantial risk to BHEL’s
margins if it were to match L1 pricing. Reaffirm REDUCE and INR2,210 PT.


Tata DoCoMo’s 3G plans seem rational; R Com top pick:: UBS

Bookmark and Share
Visit http://indiaer.blogspot.com/ for complete details �� ��


UBS Investment Research
India Mobile Sector
Tata DoCoMo’s 3G plans seem rational
􀂄 Tata DoCoMo launches 3G plans in nine service areas from November 10
According to various media reports, Tata DoCoMo’s 3G plan for prepaid
subscribers is priced at Rs350 per month and offers 500 minutes of local and/or
NLD usage and 150MB data download free. Post-paid plans for mobile phones
(3G life tariff plan) range from Rs500-2,000/month and offer 750-5,000 minutes of
local and/or NLD usage and 250MB-2GB data download free. The high-speed data
plans (worry free unlimited plans) on post-paid range from Rs1,000 to Rs2,000 and
offer 5GB-15GB of data download at speeds of 3.6-21.1 Mbps.



Tata Motors-2QFY11: JLR EBITDA Beat : Citi

Bookmark and Share
Visit http://indiaer.blogspot.com/ for complete details �� ��


Tata Motors (TTM)
2QFY11: JLR EBITDA Beat Offsets Disappointing Parent Results

 2Q parent results disappointed on margins — 2Q EBITDA margins at 9.7% were
down 160bps Q/Q, 50bps below expectations. Slippage attributed to hardening
material costs and SGA ahead of expectations (v. similar to 4QFY10). Mgmt noted
in the con call that margins should improve sequentially as price hikes effected in
Oct positively impact results. EBITDA forecasts unchanged in parent business.


FII & DII trading activity on NSE and BSE as on 11-Nov-2010

Bookmark and Share
Visit http://indiaer.blogspot.com/ for complete details �� ��



FII trading activity on NSE and BSE on Capital Market Segment
The following is combined FII trading data across NSE and BSE collated on the basis of trades executed by FIIs on 11-Nov-2010.
FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII11-Nov-20103042.743103.16-60.42

 

Domestic Institutional Investors trading activity on NSE and BSE on Capital Market Segment
The following is combined Domestic Institutional Investors trading data across NSE and BSE collated on the basis of trades executed by Banks, DFIs, Insurance, MFs and New Pension System on 11-Nov-2010.
DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII11-Nov-20101071.581341.27-269.69
 

Time to cash in…BPCL the best pick: Macquarie

Bookmark and Share
Visit http://indiaer.blogspot.com/ for complete details �� ��



Bharat Petroleum
Time to cash in…BPCL the best pick
Event
􀂃 BPCL reversed its Q1FY11 losses by announcing a PAT of Rs 21.4bn, due to
allocation of Govt cash subsidy of Rs29bn. We reiterate Outperform on BPCL,
maintain our TP of Rs909, and recommend a switch from HPCL/IOCL.


GMR Infrastructure-Start-up losses impacts 2QFY11 results: BofA ML

Bookmark and Share
Visit http://indiaer.blogspot.com/ for complete details �� ��



GMR Infrastructure Ltd.
Start-up losses impacts
2QFY11 results
􀂄 Exceptionals offset poor performance, Underperform
GMR Infra had a consol recurring loss of Rs692mn (-229%yoy) on account of
higher fixed costs at DIAL (start of T3) and Turkey airports, lower PLF at Chennai
/ Kakinada plants and lower merchant tariff (-40%yoy). An exceptional gain of
Rs1.4bn in Singapore subs, due to reversal of an impairment loss, led to reported
PAT of Rs711mn. Maintain our Underperform on looming losses at DIAL on full
capitalization of T3 and Turkey airports, losses in road assets and rich valuation.


Power Finance- Stable quarter: UBS

Bookmark and Share
Visit http://indiaer.blogspot.com/ for complete details �� ��


UBS Investment Research
Power Finance
Stable quarter
􀂄 Profits slightly above UBS estimates
Power Finance corporation (PFC) reported a net profit of Rs 7bn (+10% y/y) in
2QFY11, slightly ahead of UBS-e of Rs 6.8bn primarily due to forex gains on
borrowings of Rs 515mn. Net interest income stood at Rs8.9 bn (+24% y/y). The
company posted a loan growth of Rs 879bn (+28% y/y) ahead of UBS-e of +25%.
Other income declined 13% Y/Y due to low interest on tax refund.


Grey Market Premium Prices for India IPO: 11th Nov, 2010

Bookmark and Share
Visit http://indiaer.blogspot.com/ for complete details �� ��




Company Name
Offer Price
Premium
(Rs.)
(Rs.)
Gravita India
 125 (upper band)
56 to 58
Power Grid FPO
85 to 90 (+ 5% retail discount)
6 to 8

Hathway Cable- Good 2QF11 Results; Morgan Stanley

Bookmark and Share
Visit http://indiaer.blogspot.com/ for complete details �� ��


Hathway Cable and
Datacom Ltd.
Good 2QF11 Results;
Conference Call Highlights
Impact on our views: We remain OW on Hathway
since we feel it is likely to be a major beneficiary, over
the medium term, of the ongoing digitalization of Indian
pay TV market as it strives to consolidate its position as
a leading MSO. Near term catalysts may however be
lacking.


Bharti Airtel - 2QFY11 results: Largely in-line: UBS

Bookmark and Share
Visit http://indiaer.blogspot.com/ for complete details �� ��


UBS Investment Research
Bharti Airtel Ltd.
2QFY11 results: Largely in-line

􀂄 Consolidated revenue and net profit marginally ahead of UBS-e
Bharti reported consolidated 2QFY11 results: Revenues came at Rs152,150m vs.
UBS-e Rs150,767m. EBITDA came at Rs51,212m vs. UBS-e of Rs51,157m. Net
profit came at Rs16,612m vs. UBS-e Rs16,014m. Bharti has achieved 48% of our
FY11 EBITDA estimate in 1HFY11. 2QFY11 results are not comparable to 1Q as
Bharti consolidated Zain Africa for three months vs. 23 days in the last quarter.


Apply for Power Grid FPO at Cut Off: MS Advisory and PMS

Bookmark and Share
Visit http://indiaer.blogspot.com/ for complete details �� ��


Apply for Power Grid FPO for listing gain as well as long term


  • QIB portion subscribed 18.5x
  • Gray market premium of Rs 8 (+ retail discount of Rs 4.50); retail will get at least 15% gains
  • Good growth prospects


Apply for IPO

Power Grid Corporation of India Limited - Over subscription details : Nov 11, 2010







Total Issue Size841768246
Total Bids Received8184169500
Total Bids Received at Cut-off Price131433445
No. of times issue is subscribed9.72



Sr.No.CategoryNo.of shares offered/reservedNo. of shares bid forNo. of times of total meant for the category
1Qualified Institutional Buyers (QIBs)419189323776516052018.52
1(a)Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs)4558978125
1(b)Domestic Financial Institutions(Banks/ Financial Institutions(FIs)/ Insurance Companies)2728251565
1(c)Mutual Funds467197640
1(d)Others10733190
2Non Institutional Investors1257567972053918101.63
2(a)Corporates118665040
2(b)Individuals (Other than RIIs)77168390
2(c)Others9558380
3Retail Individual Investors (RIIs)2934325262123599400.72
3(a)Cut Off130442650
3(b)Price Bids81917290
4Employee Reservation338960012572300.37
4(a)Cut Off990795
4(b)Price Bids266435

Updated as on 11 November 2010 at 1700 hrs

Forthcoming Results F2Q 2011 (Sept 2010 quarter) 12-Nov-10

Bookmark and Share
Visit http://indiaer.blogspot.com/ for complete details �� ��


12-Nov-10
Company
Company
Company
Company
Company
Abee Info
DIL
Inwinex Pharma
Pee Cee Cosma
Softsol India
Abirami Fin
DJS Stock
Ispat Inds
Pentokey Org
Solix Tech
Aftek
DQ Entert Intl
Jaysynth Dye
Pharmaids Phar
Spanco
Agio Paper
Dynamatic Tech
Jeet Machine
PIPAVAVSHIP
Spenta Intl
AIA Engineering
Dynamic Port
Jhaveri Flexo
Plethico Pharma
Spice Islands
Akanksha Fin
Educomp Sol
Jindal Photo
Pokarna
SPICEMOBIL
Alfa Trans
Elder Pharma
JK Lakshmi Cem
Polson
Sri Adhikari Bro
Alka India
Elder Projects
JK Sugar
Prakash Inds
Sri Malini Spinn
Alka Securities
Emami Infrastructure
JMD Telefilms
Prakash Steelage
Steel Exchange
Allcargo Glob
Emmsons Intl
Joindre Cap
Precision Wires
Sterling Bio
Almondz Cap
Entegra
Kaashyap Tech
Prime Textiles
Sterling Hol Res
Alpine Housing
Escorts Fin
Kalpena Inds
Puneet Resins
STI India
Amulya Leas
Everlon Syn
Kilburn Engr
PVP Vent
Suave Hotels
Ankit Metal
Falcon Tyres
Kilitch Drugs
Rainbow Found
Subway Finance
Apis India
Federal Mogul
KIRLOSKAR EL
Raj Packaging
Sun Granite
Aplab
Fenoplast
Kriti Inds
Rajoo Engineers
Super Forgings
Apple Finance
Filatex India
KRITI NUTRI
Rajshree Sug
Supreme Tex
Arcee Inds
Four Soft
Lakshmi Over
Rama Vision
Surya Roshni
Ashiana Ispat
Galaxy Entert
LCC Infotech
Ramsons Proj
Suryodaya Plast
Asian Star
Gallantt Metal
Lincoln Pharma
Rasi Electrodes
SVC RES
Asit C Mehta Fin
Gammon India
Lok Housing
Reliance Infra
Synthiko Foils
Autoline Inds
Garware Poly
LS Inds
Reliance Power
Syschem India
B&A Packaging
Gayatri Proj
Lumax Inds
Rico Auto
Talbros Auto
Baba Arts
Genus Power
Magnum Ventures
Rishiroop Rub
Tasty Bite
Bagalkot Udyog
GG Dandekar
Mahamaya Steel
Rohit Ferro
Tata Power
Bala Tech Global
Gillanders Arb
Maharashtra Poly
Rollatainers
Tata Steel
Bang Overseas
Global Capital
Man Inds
Rotam Comm
Telephoto Ent
BCL Forgings
GLOBUS SPR
Mangalam Drugs
RS Software
Tilak Finance
BEML
Golden Sec
Manjushree Techno
SAAG RR Infra
Time Techno
Best & Crompton
Goldstone Infra
Mavi Inds
Saamya Biotech
Tirumala Seung
Bhartiya Intl
Govindji Trik
Mega Corp
Sai Capital
Todays Writing
Birla Power
Greycells Edu
Millennium Beer
Sai Inds
Towa Sokki
Birla Shloka
Gufic Bio
Modern Steel
Sampada Chem
Transfreight Co
Blue Circle
Gupta Syn
Moldtek Tech
Sanghi Inds
Tulip Telecom
Bombay Rayon
Hariyana Ship
Money Matters
Sanghvi Movers
Tuni Textile
Bombay Swad
Hathway Bhawani
Mount Shivalik
Sanraa Media
Twentyfirst Cent Mgt
BRAHMANAND
Helios & Matheson
Mysore Petro
Sarda Plywood
Unisys Soft
Brahmaputra Infra
Hella India
Nagreeka Cap
Sathavahana Isp
United Credit
Camson Bio
Himadri Chem
NCJ Intl
Sayaji Hotels
Unity Infra
Capman Fin
Himalaya Gran
NDA Securities
Seasons Furn
Universal Star
Carol Info
Hindustan Conti
Net 4 India
Seasons Tex
Usher Agro
Ceenik Expo
Hit Kit Global
Networth Stock
Selan Expl
Valecha Engr
Celebrity Fash
HPCL
Nile
Shardul Sec
Vegepro Foods
Century Extr
IL&FS TRANS
Northgate Tech
Sheetal Diam
VGuard Inds
CFL Capital
Incon Engineers
Nuchem
Shirpur Gold
Vidhi Dyestuffs
Chandni Tex
India Cements
OIL INDIA
Shiv Vani Oil
Vijay Textiles
Cinevistaas
Indian Extr
Olympic Mgmt
Shiva Suitings
VIRGOGLOBAL
Citiport Fin
Indo Amines
Orissa Minerals Development
Shree Ganesh Forg
VR Woodart
Classic Diam
Indo Tech Transf
Oscar Global
Shree Global Trd
Wallfort Fin
Consolidated Sec
Indo Zinc
Oswal Agro
Shree Nath Comm
Warner Multi
Credence Sound
Indosolar
Page Inds
Shree Raj Syntex
Wockhardt
Crimson Metal Engineering
Indraprastha Gas
Panama Petro
Shri Bajrang
Zandu Rlty
CRONIMET
Inducto Steel
Paragon Fin
SIEL Financial
Zenith Expo
Cupid Trades
Infronics Systems
Paramount Cosm
Simplex Infra
Deepak Spin
Innovative Tech
Parsvnath Dev
Simplex Proj
DEN NETWORK
Intellvisions
Pasupati Acry
Softpro Sys