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Apollo Tyres Ltd. |
Margins yet to bottom out, Lower rating to HOLD |
HOLD
CMP: Rs70 Target Price: Rs70
n Q2 cons. performance below est. Standalone results in line due to inventory increase (12.5% of sales), Europe disappoints on (sales and margins), South Africa reports loss due to strike
n Impact of rubber prices (~Rs 200/kg) to have impact on performance in 2H. Price hike eminent across regions. Assumed sequential price increase 5% in 2H
n Demand structurally strong, expect price hikes in India. Concerned with pricing action in Europe. Expect stock to underperform in the short term
n Lower our FY11/FY12 EPS to Rs 6.0/Rs 8.3. Lower our TP to Rs 70 and rating to HOLD. Key negative risk to our HOLD rating is lack of pricing action