14 October 2010

Religare: buy Sintex-, Monolithic and textile segments lead growth

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Sintex Industries Ltd
Results in line, Monolithic and textile segments lead growth
Sintex Industries (SINT) has reported strong Q2FY11 results with topline growth
of 28.7% YoY to Rs 9.2bn and PAT growth of 49% YoY to Rs 950mn. The
company registered an all-round performance as revenues from the building
material and custom moulding businesses grew at 37% and 24% respectively.
We expect the buoyancy to continue in H2FY11 as the busy construction season
sets in. We introduce our FY13 estimates and roll forward our target P/E
multiple of 13x, giving us a revised December ’11 target price of Rs 540 (from
Rs 490 earlier). We maintain a BUY rating on the stock.
Monolithic, foreign subsidiaries and textile recovery lead revenue growth: SINT
reported strong topline growth of 28.7% YoY to Rs 9.2bn for the quarter, driven
by its monolithic and textile businesses which grew at 108% and 24%
respectively. Its various subsidiaries, namely Nief, Bright Autoplast and
Wausakee, also reported a strong performance, with revenues increasing by
24%, 50% and 29% respectively during the quarter. The company is likely to
continue its buoyant run in H2FY11 with the onset of the busy construction
season. It has a Rs 26bn order book in the monolithic segment which will drive
growth over the next 20 months.
EBITDA margins up 15bps YoY, 360bps QoQ: SINT reported EBITDA margin
expansion of 15bps YoY to 18.4%, driven by a strong recovery in textile margins.
Although reported PAT stood at Rs 1bn (versus our estimate of Rs 890mn), after
adjusting for a one-time foreign exchange gain of Rs 160mn, one-time interest
cost of Rs 40mn to ONGC, and Rs 70mn in prior year taxes, the adjusted PAT
stands at Rs 950mn.
Balance sheet concerns addressed; working capital management the key: In
response to concerns over higher investments and the status of funds under
loans & advances, the management indicated that the fresh investments of
Rs 1.4bn were parked in mutual funds and that loan & advances still include
Rs 3.5bn–4bn in escrow account which will be utilised for further acquisitions.
We believe working capital management will be a key issue for the management
to address going forward coupled with investment in non-core businesses.
Maintain BUY: We introduce our FY13 estimates and roll forward our target P/E
multiple of 13x, giving us a revised December ’11 target price of Rs 540.
Continued strength in the monolithic business and a sustained revival in the
prefabricated and textile businesses are likely to further drive stock momentum
going forward. We maintain our BUY rating on the stock.

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