Ipca Labs
Strong quarter, maintain Buy
Q2FY11 results. Ipca reported good Q2FY11 figures with yoy
growths of 20.5% in revenue and 13.1% in adjusted net profit.
Net profit growth was lower owing to the 90-bp drop in EBITDA
margin. (Q2FY10 had a high 23.7% margin owing to favourable
currency movements.)
Domestic formulations – key driver. Indian formulations grew
exceptionally well at 29.4% yoy (contributing ~40% of revenue)
fuelled by growth in most therapeutic areas. The anti-malarial
segment saw a 41% rise owing to substantial increase in the
incidence of malaria in most of the country.
Exports formulations – scaling up. This segment grew 27.1%
yoy (~30% of sales) led by Ipca’s continuing efforts to expand
into new areas, increase the number of products and >100%
growth in supplies to tenders for anti-malarial products. Approval
for the Indore SEZ plant from UKMHRA is expected by end-
Q3FY11 and from USFDA by end-Q4FY11.
Outlook. We expect the growth momentum to continue, driven
by higher-than-industry growth in domestic formulations,
continuous expansion in export formulations and expecting better
API business in H2FY11. We thus maintain our estimates.
Valuation. At CMP, Ipca trades at 14.8x FY11e and 11.7x FY12e
earnings. We retain our target price of `356 and re-iterate Buy.
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