Showing posts with label Mindtree. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Mindtree. Show all posts

15 February 2011

MINDTREE:: IDFC Emerging Stars Conference

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• MindTree is a mid-tier Indian IT services company providing offshore-based services to global organizations in BFSI,
manufacturing, transportation and hi-tech industries. It is one of the youngest companies to cross the US$250m mark
and has a complete suite of technology services, including IT services, offshore product development and R&D
services. The company is one of the preferred Tier2 IT services vendors.
• IT services business to show traction: MindTree’s core IT services business is highly levered to discretionary IT
spending and is expected to show strong revenue traction on the back of improving macroeconomic environment. This
segment reported volume-led revenue growth of ~8% qoq in Q3FY11, driven by growth in the BFSI and manufacturing
verticals. For 9MFY11, this business segment has grown 30% yoy in USD terms – ahead of other two segments.
• OPD and R&D services: The OPD business USD revenue has grown ~9% yoy in 9M FY11 and is expected to show
healthy growth in FY12. R&D services USD revenues have grown ~5% yoy in 9M FY11 organically. Including Kyocera
acquisition, USD revenues from R&D services have shown 28% yoy growth. Management expects this segment to
remain slightly constrained in the coming few quarters. The company, however, has won a deal with a Japanese
semiconductor company in the R&D space, which should boost growth in the long term.
• Chairman’s resignation not a business concern: The management commented that Mr. Soota had resigned for
personal reasons; but coming just two months before his expected transition from executive chairman to nonexecutive
chairman role, the decision came as a surprise to the management. At the time of resignation, Ashok Soota
had only the strategy function reporting to him. The other four business functions (sales, delivery, finance and HR)
were reporting to the CEO, Krishnakumar Natarajan. The transition of responsibilities (reporting lines) had been
happening over past few years. Initially, only sales and delivery reported to Krishnakumar and the other three were
reporting to Soota. In 2007-08, HR and finance started reporting to the CEO. Because of this gradual transition, the
management said the resignation would not affect the business at large.
• Margins to rebound in FY12: MindTree’s operating margins have declined from 18%+ levels to ~11% in the past three
quarters, while services margins were ~15%. With product business closure costs behind, the management expects a
rebound in margins in FY12.
• Hedges: As of December 2010, the company had outstanding hedges of US$157m at a weighted average rate of Rs45/US$.
• Our view: Levered to discretionary spending, MindTree’s USD revenues should expand by ~24% CAGR over FY11-
13E. We see value in the MindTree’s services business, which is currently trading at ~9x FY12E EPS. We have an
Outperformer rating on the stock with a 12-month price target of Rs650, based on 14x FY12E EPS.

03 February 2011

MindTree -Executive Chairman exits: Anand Rathi

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MindTree
Executive Chairman exits
Ashok Sootha, Executive Chairman & Co-Founder of MindTree,
has announced his exit from the company, effective 31 Mar ’11. He
plans to start his own business venture, post his exit. He has been
instrumental in establishing MindTree with eight other founder
members. Prior to co-founding the company, he was President of
Wipro Infotech during 1984-1999. Under his leadership, Wipro’s
IT business grew to US$500m in 1999 from US$2m in 1984.

01 February 2011

Sell Mindtree: Co-founder and Chairman announces intent to quit: JP Morgan

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MindTree Ltd. Underweight
MINT.BO, MTCL IN
Co-founder and Chairman announces intent to quit the company and chairmanship of its board; timing is unfortunate for MindTree


• Event: Mr. Ashok Soota has announced intent to quit MindTree (the company
he co-founded just over 10 years ago) and resign from the chairmanship from
the company's board effective April 2011. He intends to start a new venture.
Mr. Soota has been synonymous with MindTree ever since its founding.

31 January 2011

Morgan Stanley Research: Short MindTree Ltd. (MINT.BO) Research Tactical Idea

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MindTree Ltd. (MINT.BO)  
Research Tactical Idea 
We believe the share price will fall relative to the country index over the next 60 days.
This is because of a change in management. Ashok Soota, founder and executive chairman of MindTree, seeks to leave
the company by 31 March 2011 and pursue something new outside MindTree. The board will decide on the transition plan
in the coming week. We believe this is an unexpected development and the stock could underperform due to the surprise.
We estimate that there is about an 80%+ or "highly likely" probability for the scenario.
Estimated probabilities are illustrative and assigned subjectively based on our assessment of the likelihood of the
scenario.
Stock Rating: Equal-weight
Industry View: In-Line

21 January 2011

Sell MindTree Flat volume growth, one-offs save the day; Anand Rathi

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MindTree
Flat volume growth, one-offs save the day; maintain Sell
MindTree’s 3QFY11 revenue grew 0.1% qoq (rupee terms) and
3.5% qoq (US dollars). Volume growth was flat, and pricing
growth was 3.7% qoq due to license fee of US$.6m. Net profit
rose 30.7% qoq (albeit down 42.5% yoy) led by one-off gains.

MindTree -Flat volume growth, one-offs save the day; Sell:: Anand Rathi

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MindTree
Flat volume growth, one-offs save the day; maintain Sell
MindTree’s 3QFY11 revenue grew 0.1% qoq (rupee terms) and
3.5% qoq (US dollars). Volume growth was flat, and pricing
growth was 3.7% qoq due to license fee of US$.6m. Net profit
rose 30.7% qoq (albeit down 42.5% yoy) led by one-off gains.

20 January 2011

MindTree: Revenues/attrition disappoint :: Kotak Securities

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Mindtree (MTCL)
Technology
Revenues/attrition disappoint. Even as higher-than-expected other income and
lower-than-expected ETR aided core net income beat, sub-par rev growth, weak
outlook for the R&D services business, and sustained high attrition keep us Cautious on
FY2012E growth outlook for MindTree. High attrition (35%+ quarterly annualized) will
likely make the twin target of robust revenue growth and meaningful margin expansion
challenging in FY2012E. We broadly maintain our estimates. Reiterate REDUCE.

Credit Suisse:: Mindtree: Waiting for a clear strategy to emerge

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Credit  Suisse:: Mindtree: Waiting for a clear strategy to emerge 



● Mindtree reported 3.5% QoQ revenue growth (US$ terms), in line
with our expectations. A positive surprise on tax rates led to EPS
beating our estimates by 13%.
● EBIT margins in the quarter were negatively impacted by the
restructuring costs of US$3.7 mn pertaining to the product
business. Excluding these costs, EBIT margins could have been
close to 10.7% (versus reported margins of 6.3%).
● Over the past five years, Mindtree has more than tripled its topline, but there has been no positive scale effect on its margins.
Due to lack of margin leverage, and significantly higher volatility
associated with its business model, we remain cautious.
● Further, post the failure of the recent venture in telecom product,
we also await some clarity on future strategy from management.
● The stock is not expensive at a P/E of 11x FY3/12; however, a
lack of clear strategy from management prevents us from being
more constructive. We thus reiterate our UNDERPERFORM rating
and target price of Rs525

19 January 2011

CLSA:: MindTree -3QFY11 results Under perform!

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3QFY11 results
With the set-back from failed telecom investments already priced in, the
street was looking for improvement  in Mindtree’s core business metrics
for the next stock trigger. However, 3QFY11 results failed to provide the
much needed respite with 3.5%QQ $-revenue growth and 15.4% Ebitda
margin in the core business much below expectations. Mindtree’s weak
3Q11 revenue and margin performance sets the roadmap for rest of 2011
for Tier-2 companies – higher than 2010 revenue growth with eroding
margins. In our view, the steep valuation discount of Mindtree and other
Tier-2 Indian techs to Tier-1s is reflective of their inability to convert the
strong demand environment into earnings growth. Underperform stays.

Citi: MindTree- Sell: Quarter below Expectations

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MindTree (MINT.BO) 
Sell: Quarter below Expectations 

 Muted quarter — QoQ volumes were flat with onsite down 2.1% qoq (offshore up
0.2% qoq). Management attributed this to the lower number of billing days and
higher leave taken by employees in 3Q. Realizations improved qoq (onsite 1.6%;
offshore 5.2%) – management commented that this was partly due to $600K of
licensing revenue. This led to $-term revenue growth of 3.5% qoq ($85.3m; CIRA
$88.1m). EBITDA margins were down 40bps qoq – however, this includes $3.2m
of restructuring charges for the closure of the Products business.

Morgan Stanley: MindTree -Dec-10 results: Hangover of product business removed

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MindTree Ltd.  
Dec-10 results: Hangover of product business removed; Focus moves to revenue  growth 

Quick Comment: MindTree revenue growth was below
our expectations. It also incurred US$3.7mn of costs
related to its product initiative during the quarter.
Management expects revenue growth to return in both
services and R&D and indicated that it aspires to grow
MindTree faster than the industry in FY12.

29 December 2010

MindTree: Product business restructuring costs lower: Kotak Sec

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Mindtree (MTCL)
Technology
Product business restructuring costs lower than earlier indicated. MindTree has
announced that the restructuring costs for the closure of its wireless products business
will be in the range of US$3.6-3.9 mn, substantially lower than the US$12-14 mn
indicated in 2QFY11 earnings call and even lower than the US$5-6 mn communicated
in recent management meetings. Nonetheless, the focus should now be on the core
business outlook, which looks challenging to us. We reiterate REDUCE.

18 December 2010

MindTree: Good news, bad news: Kotak Sec

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Good news – product (3G handset) investment write-off is
likely to be lower at US$5-7 mn versus earlier indicated US$12-14 mn. Bad news –
revenue momentum continues to be weaker than the Tier-I players with R&D business
still a drag on overall growth. Even as the management remains confident of margin
revival to 18-20% levels for FY2012E, we see the same challenging if revenue growth
lags peers. We reiterate our REDUCE rating on the stock with a TP of Rs450/share

25 October 2010

Mindtree Limited - REDUCE -Droid bites A strong 2QFY11 :: IIFL

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Droid bites
A strong 2QFY11 was overshadowed by a costly exit from its Android
handset development business. After having spent ~US$4.5m on it,
Mindtree is ‘converting’ its Mindtree Wireless subsidiary to a services
business. However, the exit is costing Mindtree another US$12m-
14m (more than its initial estimate on the total cost of handset
development itself). On the other hand, while growth in its services
business has picked up, we continue to remain worried over margins
for mid-cap IT vendors. During 2QFY11, attrition increased to ~35%
at Mindtree and could lead to further cost escalation. We retain
REDUCE.
Robust growth in IT services: On the back of a strong growth in app.
maintenance and testing services, revenue growth was robust at ~7%
QoQ US$. BFSI and manufacturing continued to lead growth at 12% and
10.2% QoQ revenue growth, respectively. EBITDA margins, despite the
salary hikes and further losses in its Mindtree Wireless subsidiary fell only
100bps QoQ.
Exit from IP licensing and Android handsets: Earlier plans of selling
white-labeled Android mobile handsets have been shelved. While we
have been reiterating that with little differentiation, Mindtree’s chances of
success were slim, the high working-capital requirements have increased
risks to its Android foray. However, due to prior commitments with its
suppliers, asset write-offs and layoff costs, management indicated that
exit costs are likely to be rather large at US$12m-14m.
Further cost escalation: Despite salary hikes in 1QFY11, attrition (qaa)
has increased to ~36% in 3QFY11. While management indicated that has
already started showing signs of decline, the high attrition makes it
difficult to contain costs and could result in further cost escalations. We
are revising down our FY11 EPS by ~30% and revising up our FY12/13
EPS by 7-12%.