Showing posts with label Jyothy Laboratories. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Jyothy Laboratories. Show all posts
01 February 2015
30 January 2015
Jyothy Laboratories: Another 'hit and miss' quarter :: Kotak Sec, report
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Another ‘hit and miss’ quarter. Jyothy Labs’ (JYL) 3QFY15 results disappointed us, on balance, despite a couple of bright spots. Headline revenues, EBITDA and adjusted PAT came in 4-7% below our expectations as strong performance in Maxo and Henko proved inadequate to make up for the subdued performance of Ujala, Margo and smaller brands. We continue to value JYL on fundamentals, i.e. without baking in probabilistic upside from the potential stake sale to Henkel. The stock remains expensive on fundamentals and we retain our REDUCE rating with an unchanged TP of `250.
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Another ‘hit and miss’ quarter. Jyothy Labs’ (JYL) 3QFY15 results disappointed us, on balance, despite a couple of bright spots. Headline revenues, EBITDA and adjusted PAT came in 4-7% below our expectations as strong performance in Maxo and Henko proved inadequate to make up for the subdued performance of Ujala, Margo and smaller brands. We continue to value JYL on fundamentals, i.e. without baking in probabilistic upside from the potential stake sale to Henkel. The stock remains expensive on fundamentals and we retain our REDUCE rating with an unchanged TP of `250.
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Kotak Sec
14 November 2014
Higher A&P spend takes toll on margins… • Jyothy Lab :: ICICI Securities, PDF link
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16 June 2014
J.P. Morgan - Jyothy Laboratories
| Jyothy Laboratories (JYL IN; NC) Analyst meet takeaways | ||
Jyothy Laboratories (JYL IN, Not Covered) hosted its annual analyst meet in Mumbai. Mr. S Raghunandan, CEO and his team (including Mr. Rajnikanth – Head Sales & Marketing) discussed the company’s growth outlook and various initiatives that are underway to drive growth across the six power brands: The company has come a long way consolidating the categories, strengthening sales & distribution network to now focus more on brand innovation (focus on the core and extend into adjacent segments) and improve margin profile (as most of the initiatives are margin accretive in nature). There is greater portfolio clarity and sharper brand communication with lot of innovation on cards (most to hit the market over next 4-8 weeks).
JYL met most of the goals set for FY14 (shared a year ago) barring marginally lower margins (given weak markets which was not anticipated a year ago) and below par performance of the detergent business. For FY14 Net sales grew 23% (led by vol growth of 15%). For FY15 it has set targets of – Sales growth of 20-25% and EBITDA margin of 14%.
Key takeaways from the meeting:
Product innovation – a key focus area for FY15. JYL has planned many new launches/re-launches over 1HFY15 to step up the growth rates across the six power brands. It is optimistic of healthy 20-25% growth rates despite slowing growth for the overall FMCG market.
Brand investments to be significantly higher. In a market that is subdued, mgmt believes product innovation would be critical and marketing initiatives for core brands would be necessary. This would imply higher brand investments and A&P/Sales for the company is likely to rise to 12-13% in FY15 (from ~11% in FY14) as per mgmt. The spends will be on a national basis to grow ahead of the industry.
Non-south business growing faster. JYL has been consistently focusing on Non-south markets where its brand shares are lower and brands are underinvested. As a result of these efforts, the share of Non-south business has grown to 56% in FY14 (vs 52% in FY13). Mgmt aims to take the share of South region down to 25-28% (from 44% currently) over the next five years as it focuses on making its brands national.
Fabric care – Expanding usage, sachet launch, focus on post wash and grow laundry share in South. Ujala brand sales grew 43% in FY14: in a category which is stagnant. The strong growth was aided by share gains (from counterfeits) owing to new packaging and marketing communication and price hike. The Non-south business for Ujala grew 47%. This brand growth is critical to generate healthy cash flows which may be utilized for investing in other brands.
For FY15 there are strong plans to grow this brand further. Three key focus areas for this brand: a) Expand usage via getting new consumers, take share from unorganized players (low cost competition), and offering low cost Re1 sachet to tap into bottom of the pyramid, b) Tap into adjacent categories post wash via Stiff & Shine brand where a re-launch is likely over Nov’14, c) Invest and scale up the Ujala detergent powder in Kerala with a re-launch planned in July’14.
Dish wash – Play the full portfolio. JYL has two brands in the dish wash segment. Aim is to grow share in the bar segment by converting proxies (alternatives, local players etc) and to convert more users to liquids. Focus on product innovation remains high – A Pril re-launch is planned for July’14 which would focus on superior and faster de-greasing solution and a fresh campaign forExo is planned for June’14 highlighting the relevance of anti bacterial efficacy of the brand. Plans are also underway to tap more into the scrubber sub-segment (estimated market size Rs2.7bn growing at ~15%) with launch of first anti bacterial scrubber in July’14.
Exo brand registered growth of 29% with Non-south business growing 74%. Exo which has been a regional brand so far (South share of ~22% vs national share of ~4-5%) and various initiatives are being taken to enhance its penetration beyond South. Prilbrand grew 26% with Non-South business growing 29%.
Household Insecticide – Innovation led growth strategy. The biggest challenge is profitability in this segment and hence the focus is on driving growth for liquids. Liquids now contribute 25% of brand (vs 10% share two years ago). The liquid vaporizer product registered 95% growth in FY14 led by the new product – fits all machines which has worked well supported by aggressive marketing communication. Though Maxo is No.4 in liquids category, it is the fastest growing brand (off a small base) and mgmt is aiming to grow its contribution to ~40% of brand revenue over the medium term.
JYL is looking to introduce Maxo Genius Next Generation Liquid Vaporiser in July’14 which would help to grow in premium segment as per mgmt – this comes with differentiated positioning. Within coils, low smoke coils (launch in JQ’14) should aid growth.
Personal wash – Building on the differentiated positioning. Margo brand grew 28% in FY14 (vs de-growth in overall soaps category). The growth drivers would be expanding geographical reach (making it more pan India), product innovation (recent successful launch of Glycerin variant) and leveraging beyond core into adjacent segments like face washes (in JQ’14).
Laundry – Re-launch should help growth. This is one category where JYL did not do much in FY14. The re-launch of Henkogot delayed and is now expected to happen over the next month. This brand still grew 17% (Non-south at 28%). Mgmt hopes to revive this brand in a significant manner in FY15.
Fa brand removed from power brand list. JYL has decided not to put many resources behind the Fa brand owing to various competitive reasons, though this brand has grown well. As a result it has been removed from power brand list and now it is focused on six power brands – Henko, Ujala, Maxo, Margo, Exo and Pril.
Debt levels come down. As of FY14 Net debt stood at Rs4bn vs Rs6bn in FY13.
ESOP scheme – to lead to ~3% dilution (maximum) over next three years.
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Jyothy Laboratories
02 June 2013
06 May 2013
07 July 2012
Jyothy Laboratories: Better Earning Visibility; Boosts Confidence: Karvy
Better Earning Visibility; Boosts Confidence
Jyothy Laboratories (Jyothy) has come out well from the phase marked
with tremendous pressure in terms of acquisition of Henkel India
(Henkel), slower growth of core business due to distribution restructuring
and liability of interest payment. Jyothy’s H2FY12 performance was way
ahead of H1FY12 performance with improved visibility in business, which
it lost previously. Hence, the stock has run up by 45% in past 3 months.
With a view to getting Jyothy’s outlook, we recently met the Management
of the Company. We observed that still there is enough scope for the stock,
as better performance in ensuing quarters would drive the stock further
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karvy
29 May 2012
27 May 2012
24 May 2012
Jyothy Laboratories Ltd. New CEO – a right step: IDBI cap
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JYL’s Q4FY12 revenue was ahead of estimates led by better than expected performance from Maxo, which led to EBITDA beat as higher revenue led to almost break even for Maxo vs. PBIT loss of 9.7% in Q3. However, cost pressures (rising crude prices, guar gum prices and depreciating INR) were clearly visible with gross margin at 39.5% lowest since it listed in Dec’07. PAT was largely in line led by higher than expected interest expense at Rs134 mn (interest on loan taken from Axis Bank) vs. IDBIe Rs26 mn and Rs23 mn in Q3. Management indicated that sales momentum across brands in core business has improved QoQ and operations have largely stabilized as large part of distribution realignment is completed. Volume growth in both Fabric care and Exo (84% value growth, 75% volume growth) aided revenue growth. Even Maxo was strong at xx%, thereby showing early signs of revival in the growth trajectory. Management expects volume traction in Fabric care and Exo to continue led by ongoing brand building exercise, strong brand equity and completion of distribution realignment. In case of Maxo, mgt’s focus on liquids as also new TV commercial (to be telecast soon) will likely boost volumes, with growth rate aided by lower base (~1% growth in FY12). Management expects volume growth of 20-25% in JYL in FY13 (we factor in 15.4% growth). Henkel India (HIL) continues its improved performance with EBITDA margin at 13.4% in Q4FY12 from -6.8% in Q4FY11 (JYL took over HIL in Mar’11). Moreover, with Karaikkal strike (where Henko Champion is manufactured) being resolved on Dec 26, 2011 (strike resulted in revenue/EBITDA loss of Rs270 mn/Rs70 mn, with EBITDA to 3.1%), revenue is back to quarterly run rate in excess of Rs1 bn and EBITDA margin at >14%. Management expects 25-40% vol. growth in FY13 with EBITDA margin sustainable at ~15%, led by price hike of 8-12% across brands in Apr’12; however, arrested by uptick in A&P spends (TV commercials on Margo and Pril to be telecast soon). We raise FY13 revenue estimates by 4% (to factor in strong volume performance, especially in Maxo) and up EBITDA margin estimate by 30bps to 13.8% (mgt estimates ~16% OPM as sustainable; however, we are conservative led by crude/INR related cost pressures). However, our interest estimate goes up, resulting in earnings maintained at Rs10.9. Introduce FY14 estimates with revenue/EBITDA/EPS at Rs8.9 bn/Rs1.3 bn/Rs10.2 – up 16%/19%/down 6%. EPS is estimated to be down 6% as we estimate full tax from FY14 onwards (MAT credit available till FY13). Key takeaway from Q4 results was the appointment of Mr. S Raghunandan as the Chief Executive Officer and Whole Time Director of the company. Mr. Raghunandan has served as Managing Director with Reckitt Benckiser India and also worked at senior mgt level at leading FMCG companies like Paras Pharma, Dabur India and HUL, etc. We believe this is a step in the right direction and was much needed considering the large bouquet of brands under JYL + Henkel. In our view, this move should start reaping benefits in HIL over next 3-6 months. Reiterate BUY with SOTP valuation at Rs241 – JYL’s core business at Rs190; 84% stake in HIL at Rs36 (16x CY13E EPS of Rs2.2) and NPV of tax benefits on HIL’s accumulated losses of >Rs5 bn at Rs15. Management has categorically denied any near term possibility of stake dilution as also asset monetization, which will keep debt at elevated levels.
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JYL’s Q4FY12 revenue was ahead of estimates led by better than expected performance from Maxo, which led to EBITDA beat as higher revenue led to almost break even for Maxo vs. PBIT loss of 9.7% in Q3. However, cost pressures (rising crude prices, guar gum prices and depreciating INR) were clearly visible with gross margin at 39.5% lowest since it listed in Dec’07. PAT was largely in line led by higher than expected interest expense at Rs134 mn (interest on loan taken from Axis Bank) vs. IDBIe Rs26 mn and Rs23 mn in Q3. Management indicated that sales momentum across brands in core business has improved QoQ and operations have largely stabilized as large part of distribution realignment is completed. Volume growth in both Fabric care and Exo (84% value growth, 75% volume growth) aided revenue growth. Even Maxo was strong at xx%, thereby showing early signs of revival in the growth trajectory. Management expects volume traction in Fabric care and Exo to continue led by ongoing brand building exercise, strong brand equity and completion of distribution realignment. In case of Maxo, mgt’s focus on liquids as also new TV commercial (to be telecast soon) will likely boost volumes, with growth rate aided by lower base (~1% growth in FY12). Management expects volume growth of 20-25% in JYL in FY13 (we factor in 15.4% growth). Henkel India (HIL) continues its improved performance with EBITDA margin at 13.4% in Q4FY12 from -6.8% in Q4FY11 (JYL took over HIL in Mar’11). Moreover, with Karaikkal strike (where Henko Champion is manufactured) being resolved on Dec 26, 2011 (strike resulted in revenue/EBITDA loss of Rs270 mn/Rs70 mn, with EBITDA to 3.1%), revenue is back to quarterly run rate in excess of Rs1 bn and EBITDA margin at >14%. Management expects 25-40% vol. growth in FY13 with EBITDA margin sustainable at ~15%, led by price hike of 8-12% across brands in Apr’12; however, arrested by uptick in A&P spends (TV commercials on Margo and Pril to be telecast soon). We raise FY13 revenue estimates by 4% (to factor in strong volume performance, especially in Maxo) and up EBITDA margin estimate by 30bps to 13.8% (mgt estimates ~16% OPM as sustainable; however, we are conservative led by crude/INR related cost pressures). However, our interest estimate goes up, resulting in earnings maintained at Rs10.9. Introduce FY14 estimates with revenue/EBITDA/EPS at Rs8.9 bn/Rs1.3 bn/Rs10.2 – up 16%/19%/down 6%. EPS is estimated to be down 6% as we estimate full tax from FY14 onwards (MAT credit available till FY13). Key takeaway from Q4 results was the appointment of Mr. S Raghunandan as the Chief Executive Officer and Whole Time Director of the company. Mr. Raghunandan has served as Managing Director with Reckitt Benckiser India and also worked at senior mgt level at leading FMCG companies like Paras Pharma, Dabur India and HUL, etc. We believe this is a step in the right direction and was much needed considering the large bouquet of brands under JYL + Henkel. In our view, this move should start reaping benefits in HIL over next 3-6 months. Reiterate BUY with SOTP valuation at Rs241 – JYL’s core business at Rs190; 84% stake in HIL at Rs36 (16x CY13E EPS of Rs2.2) and NPV of tax benefits on HIL’s accumulated losses of >Rs5 bn at Rs15. Management has categorically denied any near term possibility of stake dilution as also asset monetization, which will keep debt at elevated levels.
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Jyothy Laboratories
09 April 2012
Jyothy Laboratories -Exploring new opportunities with Henkel’s acquisition: Angel Broking
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Jyothy Laboratories Ltd. (JLL), a company having three brands, is set to transform
into a multi-brand company with the acquisition of an 83.7% stake in Henkel
India (Henkel), which owns seven brands. As a result of this synergy, we expect
JLL’s consolidated revenue to post a CAGR of 35% to `1,627cr and profit to post
a CAGR of 36% to `166cr over FY2011-14E. We initiate coverage on JLL with a
Buy recommendation and a target price of `248, based on SOTP valuation.
Investment rationale
Turnaround of Henkel – A bright future for JLL
JLL acquired an 83.7% stake in Henkel in August 2011. Management is now
planning various turnaround strategies for Henkel, such as a new management,
revamping of all its brands and shifting its manufacturing to JLL’s units. We expect
Henkel’s turnaround to result in profit of `19cr in FY2014E.
Jyothy Fabricare Services Ltd. (JFSL) – A long-term growth driver
We expect JFSL, JLL’s subsidiary engaged in the laundry business, to post a
102.4% CAGR in its revenue to `193cr over FY2012E-14E with an operating
margin of 26.1% in FY2014E. Further, JFSL is expected to reach its breakeven
and start yielding profit from FY2013E, registering a profit of `30cr in FY2014E.
Outlook and valuation
We expect JLL’s consolidated revenue to post a CAGR of 35% to `1,627cr and
profit to post a CAGR of 36% to `166cr over FY2011-14E. We initiate coverage
on JLL with a Buy rating view and an SOTP target price of `248.
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Jyothy Laboratories Ltd. (JLL), a company having three brands, is set to transform
into a multi-brand company with the acquisition of an 83.7% stake in Henkel
India (Henkel), which owns seven brands. As a result of this synergy, we expect
JLL’s consolidated revenue to post a CAGR of 35% to `1,627cr and profit to post
a CAGR of 36% to `166cr over FY2011-14E. We initiate coverage on JLL with a
Buy recommendation and a target price of `248, based on SOTP valuation.
Investment rationale
Turnaround of Henkel – A bright future for JLL
JLL acquired an 83.7% stake in Henkel in August 2011. Management is now
planning various turnaround strategies for Henkel, such as a new management,
revamping of all its brands and shifting its manufacturing to JLL’s units. We expect
Henkel’s turnaround to result in profit of `19cr in FY2014E.
Jyothy Fabricare Services Ltd. (JFSL) – A long-term growth driver
We expect JFSL, JLL’s subsidiary engaged in the laundry business, to post a
102.4% CAGR in its revenue to `193cr over FY2012E-14E with an operating
margin of 26.1% in FY2014E. Further, JFSL is expected to reach its breakeven
and start yielding profit from FY2013E, registering a profit of `30cr in FY2014E.
Outlook and valuation
We expect JLL’s consolidated revenue to post a CAGR of 35% to `1,627cr and
profit to post a CAGR of 36% to `166cr over FY2011-14E. We initiate coverage
on JLL with a Buy rating view and an SOTP target price of `248.
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Angel Broking,
Jyothy Laboratories
28 March 2012
Angel Broking - Initiating Coverage - Jyothy Laboratories
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Initiating Coverage on Jyothy Laboratories with a Buy recommendation and a Target Price of `248 (12 months).
Exploring new opportunities with Henkel’s acquisition
Jyothy Laboratories Ltd. (JLL), a company having three brands, is set to transform into a multi-brand company with the acquisition of an 83.7% stake in Henkel India (Henkel), which owns seven brands. As a result of this synergy, we expect JLL’s consolidated revenue to post a CAGR of 35% to`1,627cr and profit to post a CAGR of 36% to `166cr over FY2011-14E. We initiate coverage on JLL with a Buy recommendation and a target price of `248, based on SOTP valuation.
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Jyothy Laboratories
02 February 2012
Hold Jyothy Laboratories; Target :Rs 170 ::ICICI Securities
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U j a l a , E x o g r o w s w e l l, M a x o s t i l l a d r a g …
Jyothy Laboratories posted robust Q3FY12 results with net profit growth
by 72%. Net sales grew by 12% led by ~7% volume growth and ~5%
price rise across categories. The strong volume growth can be attributed
to 10% volume growth in fabric whiteners and almost 38% growth in the
dishwashing segment. EBITDA margins improved from 11.3% in Q3FY11
to 16.8% in Q3FY12 on the back of a considerable reduction in
advertisement & promotion expenditure. The company reduced
advertisement expenditure as percentage of sales from 10.3% in Q3FY11
to 4% in Q3FY12. Improved EBITDA and higher other income resulted in
net profit growth of 72% to | 29.1 crore.
Segmental performance
The company has witnessed 14% growth in the fabric whitener
segment led by 10% volume growth and 4% price hikes.
Simultaneously, the dish washing business witnessed 44% growth
in sales led by 38% volume growth and 6% price hikes. However,
mosquito repellent sales contracted by 18%. The company has
taken various steps to re-align the cost structure by reducing adspend and improving the working capital cycle.
V a l u a t i o n
At the CMP, the stock is trading at 19.5x and 17.8x its FY12E and FY13E
EPS of | 8.6 and | 9.4, respectively. The company has taken price
increases (~7%) across all its SKUs from October, 2011 onwards, which
contributed 5% in the current quarter. However, the full impact of the
price hike would be visible from the March 2012 quarter. We believe the
further topline growth and margin improvement would be visible in the
coming quarters. However, the stock is fairly valued considering
standalone FY13E numbers. We still remain cautious on Henkel’s
performance. Hence, we have valued the stock at 18x its FY13E
standalone EPS of | 9.4 with a target price of | 170/ share.
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U j a l a , E x o g r o w s w e l l, M a x o s t i l l a d r a g …
Jyothy Laboratories posted robust Q3FY12 results with net profit growth
by 72%. Net sales grew by 12% led by ~7% volume growth and ~5%
price rise across categories. The strong volume growth can be attributed
to 10% volume growth in fabric whiteners and almost 38% growth in the
dishwashing segment. EBITDA margins improved from 11.3% in Q3FY11
to 16.8% in Q3FY12 on the back of a considerable reduction in
advertisement & promotion expenditure. The company reduced
advertisement expenditure as percentage of sales from 10.3% in Q3FY11
to 4% in Q3FY12. Improved EBITDA and higher other income resulted in
net profit growth of 72% to | 29.1 crore.
Segmental performance
The company has witnessed 14% growth in the fabric whitener
segment led by 10% volume growth and 4% price hikes.
Simultaneously, the dish washing business witnessed 44% growth
in sales led by 38% volume growth and 6% price hikes. However,
mosquito repellent sales contracted by 18%. The company has
taken various steps to re-align the cost structure by reducing adspend and improving the working capital cycle.
V a l u a t i o n
At the CMP, the stock is trading at 19.5x and 17.8x its FY12E and FY13E
EPS of | 8.6 and | 9.4, respectively. The company has taken price
increases (~7%) across all its SKUs from October, 2011 onwards, which
contributed 5% in the current quarter. However, the full impact of the
price hike would be visible from the March 2012 quarter. We believe the
further topline growth and margin improvement would be visible in the
coming quarters. However, the stock is fairly valued considering
standalone FY13E numbers. We still remain cautious on Henkel’s
performance. Hence, we have valued the stock at 18x its FY13E
standalone EPS of | 9.4 with a target price of | 170/ share.
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Jyothy Laboratories
19 November 2011
Jyothy Laboratories: Early signs of turnaround visible :: Kotak Sec
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Jyothy Laboratories (JYL)
Consumer products
Early signs of turnaround visible. 2QFY12—while JYL’s standalone results were
disappointing, benefits of cost reduction measures were visible in HIL profitability. We
keenly watch for consumer acceptance of the recent price hike of 7% in JYL products.
We remain believers in the JYL story in the long term; however, we continue to expect
significant challenges in JYL’s existing portfolio and integration with HIL. However, most
of the negatives are in the price, in our view. ADD. TP Rs200 (Rs220 earlier).
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Jyothy Laboratories (JYL)
Consumer products
Early signs of turnaround visible. 2QFY12—while JYL’s standalone results were
disappointing, benefits of cost reduction measures were visible in HIL profitability. We
keenly watch for consumer acceptance of the recent price hike of 7% in JYL products.
We remain believers in the JYL story in the long term; however, we continue to expect
significant challenges in JYL’s existing portfolio and integration with HIL. However, most
of the negatives are in the price, in our view. ADD. TP Rs200 (Rs220 earlier).
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Jyothy Laboratories,
Kotak Sec
17 November 2011
Hold Jyothy Laboratories; Target :Rs 136 ::ICICI Securities
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M a r g i n s s u f f e r a s i g n i f i c a n t b l o w …
Jyothy Laboratories (JLL) in Q2FY12 reported a moderate growth of 6.8%
in its revenues that stood at | 154.6 crore against | 144.8 crore in
Q2FY11. Margins for the quarter slid significantly by ~578 bps to 5.0%
from 10.8% in Q2FY11. The pressure on margins was on account of
higher raw material costs and employee expenses. Raw material
expenses in Q2FY12 jumped to 58.1% of net sales compared to 52.9% in
the corresponding quarter last year. Employee expenses were higher by
~135 bps and stood at 13.4% during the quarter. In spite of higher sales,
a sharp decline in the EBITDA pulled down the earnings of the company
to | 12.5 crore against | 15.4 crore in Q2FY11. The company reported
other income of | 14.8 crore during the quarter on account of interest
income charged from Henkel India for the loan granted to it by JLL.
Segmental performance
JLL has reported an increase in sales in soaps & detergents and
homecare segments, by 7.2% to | 97.0 crore and 5.1% to | 57.5
crore, respectively. However, the earnings in both segments
remained subdued. The reported profit before interest and tax (PBIT)
in soaps & detergents stood lower at | 15.7 crore in Q2FY12 from |
16.8 crore in Q2FY11. The homecare segment reported a PBIT loss
of | 6.6 crore in Q2FY12 against a profit of | 4.0 crore in Q2FY11.
V a l u a t i o n
At the CMP, the stock is trading at 20.4x and 19.8x its FY12E and FY13E
EPS of | 7 and | 7.2, respectively. The company has taken price increases
(~7%) across all its SKUs from October, 2011 onwards. They believe this
would help them to ward off the impact of inflationary cost pressures.
However, we remain wary of the volume growth that could be impacted.
With the company’s sales growth remaining moderate and its inability to
maintain margins, we remain cautious on the stock. We value the stock at
19x its FY13E EPS, assigning it a target price of | 136 with a HOLD rating.
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M a r g i n s s u f f e r a s i g n i f i c a n t b l o w …
Jyothy Laboratories (JLL) in Q2FY12 reported a moderate growth of 6.8%
in its revenues that stood at | 154.6 crore against | 144.8 crore in
Q2FY11. Margins for the quarter slid significantly by ~578 bps to 5.0%
from 10.8% in Q2FY11. The pressure on margins was on account of
higher raw material costs and employee expenses. Raw material
expenses in Q2FY12 jumped to 58.1% of net sales compared to 52.9% in
the corresponding quarter last year. Employee expenses were higher by
~135 bps and stood at 13.4% during the quarter. In spite of higher sales,
a sharp decline in the EBITDA pulled down the earnings of the company
to | 12.5 crore against | 15.4 crore in Q2FY11. The company reported
other income of | 14.8 crore during the quarter on account of interest
income charged from Henkel India for the loan granted to it by JLL.
Segmental performance
JLL has reported an increase in sales in soaps & detergents and
homecare segments, by 7.2% to | 97.0 crore and 5.1% to | 57.5
crore, respectively. However, the earnings in both segments
remained subdued. The reported profit before interest and tax (PBIT)
in soaps & detergents stood lower at | 15.7 crore in Q2FY12 from |
16.8 crore in Q2FY11. The homecare segment reported a PBIT loss
of | 6.6 crore in Q2FY12 against a profit of | 4.0 crore in Q2FY11.
V a l u a t i o n
At the CMP, the stock is trading at 20.4x and 19.8x its FY12E and FY13E
EPS of | 7 and | 7.2, respectively. The company has taken price increases
(~7%) across all its SKUs from October, 2011 onwards. They believe this
would help them to ward off the impact of inflationary cost pressures.
However, we remain wary of the volume growth that could be impacted.
With the company’s sales growth remaining moderate and its inability to
maintain margins, we remain cautious on the stock. We value the stock at
19x its FY13E EPS, assigning it a target price of | 136 with a HOLD rating.
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Jyothy Laboratories
27 October 2011
Jyothy Laboratories :: Diwali Picks 2011: GEPL Capital
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Jyothy Laboratories Ltd.
Summary
Jyothy Laboratories Ltd (JLL) has moved to the next orbit post acquisition of Henkel India which
has positioned JLL as a multi-brand company, operating in multiple categories like fabric care,
laundry, dish wash, mosquito repellants and personal care. Further acquisition has widened its
distribution reach in urban modern retail and canteen sales. The synergies between both the
companies are likely to benefit JLL, creating value for JLL. However, high interest cost,
integration and restructuring in distribution channel has impacted short term performance of
JLL. Return of growth momentum in core business and improvement in performance of Henkel
India are the key catalyst for the stock
JLL to benefit from likely multi-level synergies with Henkel India in long-term
Henkel India acquisition likely to position JLL as a multi-brand FMCG Company (10 brands now
v/s 3 pre-acquisition) while leaving a significant opportunity to exploit synergies to increase
revenues and margins. JLL, in our view, will be able to achieve these synergies through 1)
operational cost synergies and 2) broadening its distribution reach in modern retail, canteen
sales along with its current strong rural distribution. Apart from these, the other key benefits to
JLL, in our view includes : 1) reduce its dependence on the Ujala brand, 2) entry into personal
care category with Fa, Margo and Neem brands (v/s currently in homecare, laundry and
dishwashing categories) and 3) tax benefits from accumulated losses of Henkel India.
Expect steady state growth in core business
We expect JLL’s core business to grow at a normal pace and model 11% revenue CAGR through
FY14 driven by (1) Ujala – revival of growth in Ujala Supreme and contribution from detergent
portfolio; (2) Maxo - growth driven by liquid vaporizer coupled with launch of outdoor variant
and (3) Exo - extending footprint to national level.
laundry business still in expansion mode
We expect JLL’s laundry business (JLL’s 75%subsidiary) to report 140% revenue CAGR (from 94mn
in FY11 to `1,312mn in FY14) through FY14 driven by – 1) Growth in its current operation in 4
cities, 2) Planned expansion in 2 more cities by the end of FY12 and 3) Favourable change in
business mix
Valuation
The stock has witnessed more than 50% correction in last one year as against 18% correction on
the Sensex as a result of concerns owing to competition in operating segments and acquisition of
Henkel India. In the near term we remain cautious on the financial performance led by higher
interest outflow and macro factors. However, we believe, earlier than expected growth
momentum will be positive surprise for the stock. We believe acquisition of Henkel India will be
value accretive over the longer term. We are positive on the JLL’s long term growth potential.
We value JLL on PE basis at `181 with target multiple of 20x on FY13 EPS of `9.1
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Diwali Picks 2011: GEPL Capital
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30 September 2011
Jyothy Laboratories - A Long Term Play…:: GEPL
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Summary
Jyothy Laboratories Ltd (JLL) has moved to the next orbit post acquisition of Henkel India which
has positioned JLL as a multi-brand company, operating in multiple categories like fabric care,
laundry, dish wash, mosquito repellants and personal care. Further acquisition has widened its
distribution reach in urban modern retail and canteen sales. The synergies between both the
companies are likely to benefit JLL, creating value for JLL. However, high interest cost,
integration and restructuring in distribution channel has impacted short term performance of
JLL. Return of growth momentum in core business and improvement in performance of Henkel
India are the key catalyst for the stock.
We initiate coverage with a ‘ACCUMULATE’ rating with a target price of `181 implying a 10%
upside from current level.
Investment Rationale
JLL to benefit from likely multi-level synergies with Henkel India in long-term
Henkel India acquisition likely to position JLL as a multi-brand FMCG Company (10 brands now
v/s 3 pre-acquisition) while leaving a significant opportunity to exploit synergies to increase
revenues and margins. JLL, in our view, will be able to achieve these synergies through
1) operational cost synergies and 2) broadening its distribution reach in modern retail, canteen
sales along with its current strong rural distribution. Apart from these, the other key benefits to
JLL, in our view includes : 1) reduce its dependence on the Ujala brand, 2) entry into personal
care category with Fa, Margo and Neem brands (v/s currently in homecare, laundry and
dishwashing categories) and 3) tax benefits from accumulated losses of Henkel India. We expect
company’s consolidated revenues to touch `16bn in FY14 as against JLL’s `6bn revenues in
FY11.
However, Henkel India’s acquisition to weigh heavy on near term performance
Though the acquisition is expected to be EPS accretive over the long term, the near term
profitability will be impacted by higher interest burden and non-commensurate increase in the
revenue. Henkel India acquisition has resulted in an increased debt burden of `6bn as against
pre acquisition zero debt status of JLL. Our FY12 EPS of `5.9 include negative contribution of
`3.4 per share on account of Henkel India.
Expect steady state growth in core business; laundry business still in expansion mode
We expect JLL’s core business to grow at a normal pace and model 11% revenue CAGR through
FY14 driven by (1) Ujala – revival of growth in Ujala Supreme and contribution from detergent
portfolio; (2) Maxo - growth driven by liquid vaporizer coupled with launch of outdoor variant
and (3) Exo - extending footprint to national level. On the laundry business (JLL’s 75%
subsidiary) we expect JLL to report 140% revenue CAGR (from `94mn in FY11 to `1,312mn in
FY14) through FY14 driven by organic/inorganic means and favorable changes in business mix.
Valuation
While we remain cautious on the near term financial performance led by higher interest outflow
and macro factors, we believe acquisition of Henkel India will be value accretive over the longer
term. We are positive on the JLL’s long term growth potential. We value JLL on PE basis at `181
with target multiple of 20x on FY13 EPS of `9.1. We initiate coverage with a ‘ACCUMULATE’
rating with a target price of `181 implying a 10% upside from current level.
Key Risk to our Recommendation
Apart from competitive environment, the key risk to our valuation thesis is the delay in
integration with Henkel India.
Visit http://indiaer.blogspot.com/ for complete details �� ��
Summary
Jyothy Laboratories Ltd (JLL) has moved to the next orbit post acquisition of Henkel India which
has positioned JLL as a multi-brand company, operating in multiple categories like fabric care,
laundry, dish wash, mosquito repellants and personal care. Further acquisition has widened its
distribution reach in urban modern retail and canteen sales. The synergies between both the
companies are likely to benefit JLL, creating value for JLL. However, high interest cost,
integration and restructuring in distribution channel has impacted short term performance of
JLL. Return of growth momentum in core business and improvement in performance of Henkel
India are the key catalyst for the stock.
We initiate coverage with a ‘ACCUMULATE’ rating with a target price of `181 implying a 10%
upside from current level.
Investment Rationale
JLL to benefit from likely multi-level synergies with Henkel India in long-term
Henkel India acquisition likely to position JLL as a multi-brand FMCG Company (10 brands now
v/s 3 pre-acquisition) while leaving a significant opportunity to exploit synergies to increase
revenues and margins. JLL, in our view, will be able to achieve these synergies through
1) operational cost synergies and 2) broadening its distribution reach in modern retail, canteen
sales along with its current strong rural distribution. Apart from these, the other key benefits to
JLL, in our view includes : 1) reduce its dependence on the Ujala brand, 2) entry into personal
care category with Fa, Margo and Neem brands (v/s currently in homecare, laundry and
dishwashing categories) and 3) tax benefits from accumulated losses of Henkel India. We expect
company’s consolidated revenues to touch `16bn in FY14 as against JLL’s `6bn revenues in
FY11.
However, Henkel India’s acquisition to weigh heavy on near term performance
Though the acquisition is expected to be EPS accretive over the long term, the near term
profitability will be impacted by higher interest burden and non-commensurate increase in the
revenue. Henkel India acquisition has resulted in an increased debt burden of `6bn as against
pre acquisition zero debt status of JLL. Our FY12 EPS of `5.9 include negative contribution of
`3.4 per share on account of Henkel India.
Expect steady state growth in core business; laundry business still in expansion mode
We expect JLL’s core business to grow at a normal pace and model 11% revenue CAGR through
FY14 driven by (1) Ujala – revival of growth in Ujala Supreme and contribution from detergent
portfolio; (2) Maxo - growth driven by liquid vaporizer coupled with launch of outdoor variant
and (3) Exo - extending footprint to national level. On the laundry business (JLL’s 75%
subsidiary) we expect JLL to report 140% revenue CAGR (from `94mn in FY11 to `1,312mn in
FY14) through FY14 driven by organic/inorganic means and favorable changes in business mix.
Valuation
While we remain cautious on the near term financial performance led by higher interest outflow
and macro factors, we believe acquisition of Henkel India will be value accretive over the longer
term. We are positive on the JLL’s long term growth potential. We value JLL on PE basis at `181
with target multiple of 20x on FY13 EPS of `9.1. We initiate coverage with a ‘ACCUMULATE’
rating with a target price of `181 implying a 10% upside from current level.
Key Risk to our Recommendation
Apart from competitive environment, the key risk to our valuation thesis is the delay in
integration with Henkel India.
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Jyothy Laboratories
29 August 2011
JYOTHY LABORATORIES: BUY, TP-Rs246 (23% upside) ::PINC Power Picks August 2011
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What’s the theme?
Jyothy Laboratories (Jyothy) is in the transformation phase following the acquisition of Henkel India. The
strong operational performance of Henkel India in Q2CY11 gives us confidence of a turnaround. We see
various operational synergies following the acquisition and expect numerous positives for Jyothy Labs in
the medium to long term, which would improve overall profitability. Jyothy is among the few companies in
the FMCG space which has immense potential for long-term profitability growth.
What will move the stock?
1) The acquisition of Henkel India added 4-5 established brands that improved Jyothy's sales mix; 2) Full
impact of the price increase of Ujala Supreme will support revenue and profitability growth; 3) Maxo Military
will add Rs600mn and Rs700mn revenue in FY12 and FY13 respectively; 4) We expect improvement in
profitability in Henkel India; 5) Debt restructuring can lead to higher profitability; 6) Merger of Jyothy and
Henkel India will engender massive tax benefits of Rs1.2bn; 7) Restructuring of Jyothy's distribution model
would improve EBITDA margin by 3%.
Where are we stacked versus consensus?
Our estimates for FY13 are among the highest on the street, led by expectation of profitability improvement
in Henkel India. We assign 16x to FY13 earnings and add Rs12/share NPV on tax saving of Rs1.2bn
@12% discount rate to derive the TP of Rs246.
What will challenge our target price?
1) We are cautious on FY12 performance due to restructuring over next 6-9 months; 2) Any delay in operational
improvement in Henkel India will impact the overall profitability; 3) Higher brand building investments; 4) Change
in our estimates for input costs owing to volatility in crude prices and 5) Inability to attract retail clients in the
laundry business.
Visit http://indiaer.blogspot.com/ for complete details �� ��
What’s the theme?
Jyothy Laboratories (Jyothy) is in the transformation phase following the acquisition of Henkel India. The
strong operational performance of Henkel India in Q2CY11 gives us confidence of a turnaround. We see
various operational synergies following the acquisition and expect numerous positives for Jyothy Labs in
the medium to long term, which would improve overall profitability. Jyothy is among the few companies in
the FMCG space which has immense potential for long-term profitability growth.
What will move the stock?
1) The acquisition of Henkel India added 4-5 established brands that improved Jyothy's sales mix; 2) Full
impact of the price increase of Ujala Supreme will support revenue and profitability growth; 3) Maxo Military
will add Rs600mn and Rs700mn revenue in FY12 and FY13 respectively; 4) We expect improvement in
profitability in Henkel India; 5) Debt restructuring can lead to higher profitability; 6) Merger of Jyothy and
Henkel India will engender massive tax benefits of Rs1.2bn; 7) Restructuring of Jyothy's distribution model
would improve EBITDA margin by 3%.
Where are we stacked versus consensus?
Our estimates for FY13 are among the highest on the street, led by expectation of profitability improvement
in Henkel India. We assign 16x to FY13 earnings and add Rs12/share NPV on tax saving of Rs1.2bn
@12% discount rate to derive the TP of Rs246.
What will challenge our target price?
1) We are cautious on FY12 performance due to restructuring over next 6-9 months; 2) Any delay in operational
improvement in Henkel India will impact the overall profitability; 3) Higher brand building investments; 4) Change
in our estimates for input costs owing to volatility in crude prices and 5) Inability to attract retail clients in the
laundry business.
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Jyothy Laboratories,
PINC
22 August 2011
Sell Jyothy Laboratories; Target :Rs 161 ::ICICI Securities
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D i s t r i b u t i o n r e a l i g nm e nt h i t s s a l e s g r o w t h …
Jyothy Laboratories Limited (JLL) reported a dismal performance in
Q1FY12 with sales witnessing de-growth of ~19% YoY to | 123 crore
from | 175.7 crore in Q1FY11. According to the management, the
slowdown in sales in Q1FY12 was on account of a re-alignment in the
channel of distribution. However, we remain cautious on the growth
outlook of the core business with the previous quarter (Q4FY11) also
remaining subdued. Margins during the quarter were also considerably
lower at 8.7% against 20.8% in Q1FY11 on the back of higher costs on all
fronts. JLL’s raw material and employee cost increased ~300 bps each to
~52% and ~49% of net sales, respectively. Also, marketing expenses
increased ~120 bps to 7.5% of net sales during the quarter. The drag of
lower sales and margins pulled down the net profit to | 14 crore from |
25.7 crore in the corresponding quarter last year.
ƒ Highlight of the quarter
The company entered into a share purchase agreement with Henkel AG
for acquiring 50.97% equity share capital and 100% preference share
capital and agreed to discharge all loans and guarantees given by Henkel
AG to Henkel India Limited for a total consideration of | 616.5 crore. JLL
has also made an open offer to acquire the additional 20% shares from
the open market at an offer price of | 41.2/share.
V a l u a t i o n
Currently, the stock is trading at 26.6x and 24.3x its FY12 and FY13
estimated EPS of | 7.0 and | 7.7, respectively. As the company’s core
businesses has been underperforming for the last two quarters, we are
cautious on the growth outlook of the company as the segments in which
it is present (detergents and home-care) are already witnessing cut-throat
competition among large players (HUL & P&G). Moreover, the huge debt
on the company’s books, taken for Henkel’s acquisition could continue to
haunt earnings if growth is not revived. Hence, we value the stock at 21x
its FY13E EPS, assigning it a SELL rating with a target price of | 161.
Visit http://indiaer.blogspot.com/ for complete details �� ��
D i s t r i b u t i o n r e a l i g nm e nt h i t s s a l e s g r o w t h …
Jyothy Laboratories Limited (JLL) reported a dismal performance in
Q1FY12 with sales witnessing de-growth of ~19% YoY to | 123 crore
from | 175.7 crore in Q1FY11. According to the management, the
slowdown in sales in Q1FY12 was on account of a re-alignment in the
channel of distribution. However, we remain cautious on the growth
outlook of the core business with the previous quarter (Q4FY11) also
remaining subdued. Margins during the quarter were also considerably
lower at 8.7% against 20.8% in Q1FY11 on the back of higher costs on all
fronts. JLL’s raw material and employee cost increased ~300 bps each to
~52% and ~49% of net sales, respectively. Also, marketing expenses
increased ~120 bps to 7.5% of net sales during the quarter. The drag of
lower sales and margins pulled down the net profit to | 14 crore from |
25.7 crore in the corresponding quarter last year.
ƒ Highlight of the quarter
The company entered into a share purchase agreement with Henkel AG
for acquiring 50.97% equity share capital and 100% preference share
capital and agreed to discharge all loans and guarantees given by Henkel
AG to Henkel India Limited for a total consideration of | 616.5 crore. JLL
has also made an open offer to acquire the additional 20% shares from
the open market at an offer price of | 41.2/share.
V a l u a t i o n
Currently, the stock is trading at 26.6x and 24.3x its FY12 and FY13
estimated EPS of | 7.0 and | 7.7, respectively. As the company’s core
businesses has been underperforming for the last two quarters, we are
cautious on the growth outlook of the company as the segments in which
it is present (detergents and home-care) are already witnessing cut-throat
competition among large players (HUL & P&G). Moreover, the huge debt
on the company’s books, taken for Henkel’s acquisition could continue to
haunt earnings if growth is not revived. Hence, we value the stock at 21x
its FY13E EPS, assigning it a SELL rating with a target price of | 161.
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ICICI Securities,
Jyothy Laboratories
21 July 2011
JYOTHY LABS: BUY, TP-Rs265 (22% upside):: PINC Power Picks July 2011
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Visit http://indiaer.blogspot.com/ for complete details �� ��
What’s the theme?
Following the Henkel India acquisition, we expect numerous positives for Jyothy in the medium to long
term that would improve profitability. Jyothy is among the few companies in the FMCG space which has
immense potential for long-term profitability.
What will move the stock?
1) The acquisition of Henkel India added 4-5 established brands that improved Jyothy's sales mix; 2) Full
impact of the price increase of Ujala Supreme will support revenue and profitability growth; 3) Maxo Military
will add Rs600mn and Rs700mn revenue in FY12 and FY13 respectively; 4) We expect improvement in
profitability in Henkel India; 5) Debt restructuring can lead to higher profits; 6) Merger of Jyothy and
Henkel India will engender massive tax benefits of Rs1.2bn.
Where are we stacked versus consensus?
Our estimates for FY13 are among the highest on the street, led by expectation of profitability improvement
in Henkel India and 50% debt repayment during FY13. We assign 16x to FY13 earnings and add Rs12/
share NPV on tax saving of Rs1.2bn @12% discount rate to derive the TP of Rs265.
What will challenge our target price?
1) Change in our estimates for input costs owing to volatility in crude prices; 2) Inability to attract retail clients in
the laundry business; 3) Higher brand building investments; and 4) Any delay in operational improvement in
Henkel will start impacting the overall profitability.
Visit http://indiaer.blogspot.com/ for complete details �� ��
What’s the theme?
Following the Henkel India acquisition, we expect numerous positives for Jyothy in the medium to long
term that would improve profitability. Jyothy is among the few companies in the FMCG space which has
immense potential for long-term profitability.
What will move the stock?
1) The acquisition of Henkel India added 4-5 established brands that improved Jyothy's sales mix; 2) Full
impact of the price increase of Ujala Supreme will support revenue and profitability growth; 3) Maxo Military
will add Rs600mn and Rs700mn revenue in FY12 and FY13 respectively; 4) We expect improvement in
profitability in Henkel India; 5) Debt restructuring can lead to higher profits; 6) Merger of Jyothy and
Henkel India will engender massive tax benefits of Rs1.2bn.
Where are we stacked versus consensus?
Our estimates for FY13 are among the highest on the street, led by expectation of profitability improvement
in Henkel India and 50% debt repayment during FY13. We assign 16x to FY13 earnings and add Rs12/
share NPV on tax saving of Rs1.2bn @12% discount rate to derive the TP of Rs265.
What will challenge our target price?
1) Change in our estimates for input costs owing to volatility in crude prices; 2) Inability to attract retail clients in
the laundry business; 3) Higher brand building investments; and 4) Any delay in operational improvement in
Henkel will start impacting the overall profitability.
CLICK links to Read MORE reports on:
Jyothy Laboratories,
PINC
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