29 November 2011

Consumer products: Right step, high time ::Kotak Sec

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Consumer products
India
Right step, high time. Media reports suggest that the Cabinet of Ministers has
approved upto 51% foreign direct investment (FDI) in multi brand retail and increased
FDI limit in single brand retail to 100%. The reported preconditions are not stiff, in our
view. FDI is not likely under the ‘automatic’ route, implying that FIPB approval is
required on a case-to-case basis. KIE views: (1) we would keenly watch for notification
of the policy, considering the likely opposition from coalition partners; (2) entry of
foreign players will likely take place over time and not immediately; (3) the policy will
likely provide an opportunity for established domestic retailers to unlock value
An incremental step, in our view
􀁠 In our view, Cabinet approval is a step in the right direction to open up the retail sector to
international players
􀁠 We would keenly watch for official notification of the policy (i.e. it becoming a notification
under the DIPP guidelines), considering the opposition from coalition partners (as per media
reports)
􀁠 The policy will likely give an opportunity to established domestic retail players to unlock value
given that they have an established front-end system and more importantly a presence in
prominent real estate locations
􀁠 Despite allowing 100% FDI under the single brand route, given the complexities of operating in
India, potential entrants may prefer to enter under the joint venture format and consider
majority stake subsequently
􀁠 Likely improvement in supply chain processes given that at least 50% of the total FDI brought in
under the multi-brand route needs to be invested in back-end infrastructure.
The preconditions are not stiff, in our view
According to media reports, the Cabinet of Ministers approved upto 51% FDI in multi brand retail
and increases FDI limit in single brand retail to 100%. In India, FDI in retail is permitted under two
formats: (1) 100% FDI is allowed in cash and carry business (2) 51% FDI is allowed in single brand.
FDI in multi brand retail has been approved with the following conditions:
􀁠 Minimum amount to be brought in as FDI ~US$100 mn
􀁠 Retail sales locations may be set up only in cities with a population of more than 1 mn as per
2011 Census (~55 towns meet this criteria) and may also cover an area of 10 km around
municipal urban agglomeration limits of such cities
􀁠 Retailers must source at least 30% of manufactured/ processed products from small industries
that have total investment in plant and machinery not exceeding US$100 mn
􀁠 Fresh agricultural products, including, poultry, fishery and meat products may be unbranded.
The government will have the first right to source agriculture produce
􀁠 At least 50% of the total FDI brought in shall be invested in back-end infrastructure.
Expenditure on land cost and rental, if any, will not be counted for purposes of back-end
infrastructure
􀁠 Self-certification as the methodology to ensure compliance with provisions for surprise audits

With respect to single brand retail, the policy introduced an additional condition: 30%
sourcing from small and medium enterprises would be mandatory, as soon as the FDI limit
exceeds 51%. The original conditions with respect to single brand retail are as follows:
􀁠 FDI in single-brand retail trading may be permitted with government approval
􀁠 All products sold in the store should carry the same brand
􀁠 Products should be sold under the same brand in one or more countries, other than India
􀁠 Foreign investor should be the owner of the brand
􀁠 Products to be sold need to be branded during the manufacturing process itself


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