10 July 2011

Power 􀂉 1QFY12 earnings preview -- CLSA

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Power
􀂉 NTPC’s generation is down 1.1% in April and May due to lower PLFs at its
Farakka, Kahalgaon, Korba and Ramagundem power projects. We expect
10.9% growth in pre-exceptional profit in 1QFY12.
􀂉 We expect Reliance Infrastructure to report a profit of Rs2.7bn in 1QFY12, up
8.6% YoY.
􀂉 Tata Power’s standalone profits are expected to increase by 7% YoY in 1Q. For
the Indonesian coal companies we expect 15mt sales and realization of
US$90/t.
􀂉 Jindal Power (96.5% subsidiary of JSPL) is expected to report Rs4.5bn net
profit, down 20% YoY. We expect an average tariff of Rs4/kWh during the
quarter.
􀂉 JSW Energy 1QFY12 net profit is expected to decline 25%YoY to Rs2.2bn –
mainly on account of higher fuel costs and lower short term tariffs.
􀂉 Adani Power is likely to report a strong 94% YoY growth in net profit in 1Q
mainly due to ramp up of generation capacity.
􀂉 Lanco Infratech’s consolidated net profit at Rs1.2bn is expected to decline by
37% YoY in 4Q.

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