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Axis Bank – Event Update
Acquires ENAM’s IB and broking business
Angel Broking recommends a Buy with a Target Price of Rs1,679.
Axis Bank has entered into an all-share deal worth `2,067cr with Enam Securities,
following which the investment banking and equity broking business of the latter
will be merged with the bank’s wholly-owned subsidiary. Enam will however,
retain its AMC and PMS business. Shareholders of Enam Securities will own 3.3%
equity stake in Axis Bank post the deal.
Good strategic fit for the bank: Axis Bank is a dominant player in placement and
syndication of debt issues and was ranked first in the Bloomberg Underwriters’
league table for Debt Arrangers for the period Jan-Sep 2010. With this deal it
takes over one of the top-three domestic firms in the primary equity issuance
space. Enam bagged the third place with a market share of 9.3% in the Indian
domestic equity and rights issuances as per the Bloomberg league table for
FY2010. In our view, the acquisition is a good strategic fit for Axis Bank enabling
it to fill the gap in its portfolio and provide a more complete offering to its clients.
The deal will also help the bank in further bolstering its already strong fee
income.
Valuations expensive but justified: For FY2010, total income of the businesses
being acquired from Enam Securities stood at `242cr, with PBT of `92cr.
Similarly, for FY2011 till October 20, 2010, total income stood at `182cr, with
PBT of `77cr. On an annualised basis, FY2011 PBT works out to ~`132cr and
PAT at ~`88cr, implying valuations of 23.4x FY2011E earnings, which is at
~39% premium to the listed brokerages, on 1HFY2011 annualised PAT basis.
However, this should be seen in the context that such deals are usually executed
at a large premium on account of the synergies involved. In any case the
acquisition size is just ~3.3% of the market capitalization of Axis Bank and is
unlikely to materially impact the valuations either way.
Outlook and Valuation: We remain positive on the bank and believe that it
deserves premium valuations owing to its attractive CASA franchise, multiple
sources of sustainable fee income, strong growth outlook and A-list management.
At the CMP, the stock is trading at 2.7x FY2012E ABV of `524.7. We recommend
a Buy on the stock, with a revised Target Price of `1,679(`1,705), after
conservatively adjusting for the estimated goodwill arising from the acquisition.
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