20 August 2011

Lanco Infratech ::: Below expectations on higher eliminations ::Goldman Sachs,

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Lanco Infratech (LAIN.BO) Rs18.70
   Equity Research
First Take: Below expectations on higher eliminations
News
Lanco Infratech (Lanco) reported 1QFY12 adjusted PAT of Rs2.3bn (before
elimination) down 8.7% YoY and PAT of Rs138mn (after eliminations)
down 93% YoY vs our estimate of Rs1.8bn and Bloomberg consensus of
Rs1.0bn. The reported PAT is significantly lower than our estimates
primarily on account of: 1) eliminations of income from the construction
division due to accounting policy of the company to eliminate income from
projects which are internal in nature; 2) higher tax rate of 59%. However,
cash profit was up 1% to Rs 3.67bn from Rs 3.62mn a year ago. Revenue
from construction business was up 64% to Rs 17.3bn from Rs 10.6bn in
1QFY11 while from power business was down 24% to Rs 10.8bn from Rs
14.3bn a year ago.
Analysis
The power division performance is in line with our estimates with
merchant realizations of about Rs3.8/kwh and PLF’s for Kondapalli and
Amarkantak projects ranged between 70-75%. The EBITDA margins for the
construction division are at 18%. The Griffen coal mine produced about
0.7mn ton for the quarter with EBITDA margins of about 23%.
Implications
We place our target price and earnings estimates under review pending
more details on the results and the progress of their projects under
development during the earnings call.

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