27 July 2011

United Phosphorus - Strengthens Presence in Brazil, Acquires 51% stake in DVA Agro Brazil :: BofA Merrill Lynch,

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United Phosphorus
Limited
Strengthens Presence in
Brazil, Acquires 51% stake in
DVA Agro Brazil ~2x P/Sales
Quick Comment – What’s new: UPL has acquired a
51% stake in DVA Agro Brazil (not listed) for US$150mn
from DVA Group, Germany; the balance will continue to
be held by existing shareholders. UPL had ~US$350mn
in cash as of Mar-11. DVA Agro Brazil (established in
C2005) produces, markets, sells and distributes crop
protection products and specialties in Brazil.  
Financials and Valuation: DVA Agro Brazil reported
revenues of US$130mn for C2010, and based on our
assumption of 12% growth in C2011, the acquisition
costs were ~2x P/Sales (in line with recent transactions).
According to management, the price paid is in line with
UPL’s payback criteria of 3-4 years, and following one
full year of operations and capital infusion, EBITDA
margins will not be dilutive at the group level.
Impact on our views: The market will likely view this
positively, given: 1) reasonable valuations (~2x P/Sales)
and 2) UPL has refrained from making large-ticket
acquisitions, citing high valuations over the past three
years. UPL’s last major acquisition was Cerexagri in
F2008. The DVA Agro Brazil acquisition is a strategic
one, and now Brazil (a fast-growing crop protection
market) will be a large contributor to the top line for UPL,
~12% for F2012e, in our view. Brazil is a high working
capital intensive model for crop-protection companies,
and given that a large portion of the proceeds should be
infused in the company, we would expect a reduction in
debt and interest savings thereon. Near-term macro and
weather for crop protection in Latam remains favorable.
Interestingly, Syngenta recently in its in Q2C11 results
cited improved pricing environment in Latam overall.  
Investment thesis: We see the risk-reward balance on
UPL as the most attractive among the Indian agri plays.
High crop commodity prices, high farm incomes, rising
input costs and valuations are likely key catalysts.

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