21 March 2011

ICICI Bank- Deutsche Bank, India Conference Highlights

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ICICI Bank
􀂄 ICICI Bank expects its overall loan growth to be in line with the system, with the
domestic book rising at a slightly faster clip than the system. It does not foresee any
major shift in its loan book mix. The bank expects low-cost deposits to largely guide its
credit growth and is confident of maintaining a low cost ratio of ~40%.
􀂄 The bank does not expect any significant change in its retail book composition from here
on. This means that the engineered decline in unsecured personal loans may have
ended.
􀂄 ICICI Bank expects margins to remain at current levels on an annual basis; however, it
does not rule out the possibility of a decline in the next 1-2 quarters. It expects to
maintain the cost-to-income ratio at 40-42%.
􀂄 The bank is also confident of achieving an RoA of 1.6% in 1-2 years (currently c.1.3%),
driven by lower credit costs. This, coupled with increased leverage, it believes could
result in an RoE of 15%.
􀂄 It expects microfinance restructuring of INR17-18bn.


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