29 November 2010

Nifty: Technical bounce is not ruled out but short term trend looks down:: ICICI Sec

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Previous Week : Nifty closed towards the lower end of the range at 5750
 
 
The markets have corrected sharply over the past few days on the back of negative global news (Ireland issues, geopolitical tensions between North and South Korea and China rate hike concerns) and local news (bank bribery scam). This has resulted in a reasonable correction in the markets. We did close towards the lower end of the range at 5750.
.
 
On a week-on-week basis, the Sensex went down by 2.3%, to close
at 19136. The S&P CNX Nifty also lost 139 points, or 2.4%, to close
 

at 5751 for the week
CBI arrested 8 officials including top management of financial

institution
The trend leader BFSI segment bear the brunt throughout the weak 
and despite clarification from finance ministry, the markets refused
to bounce back
 Week Ahead : A small technical bounce is not ruled out but short term trend looks down
 
The key question here is where are we now headed? Looking at current scenario it will be difficult to say that we can see a V shaped recovery tomorrow morning. Yes, we are in oversold zone, a small technical bounce is not ruled out but overall trend for short term looks down. The markets had a lot of news to digest this week and next week we will look forward to domestic Q2 GDP, infrastructure output and fiscal deficit on Tuesday.
.
 
 
From the global events, watch out for European Monetary Union
 

ECB Interest Rate Decision on December 2, 2010 and United States
Unemployment Rate for the month of November, 2010 on December
3, 2010
We would advise not to go out for bottom fishing in stocks which are 
linked to the bribery case since the financial impact could not be
ascertained currently
One should look out for markets to stabilise with low volatility to add
  
blue chips in portfolio and not try to time the market which is actually
impossible

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