16 November 2010
GMR Infrastructure-No surprise in 2Q results: Anand Rathi
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GMR Infrastructure
No surprise in 2Q results; partial capitalization of T3 in 3Q
Revenues in line, EBITDA lower. GMR Infra reported consolidated
revenue of `12.2bn, which was 6% higher than our estimate (`11.6bn).
Consolidated EBITDA was 19% lower than our estimate, mainly on
higher opex in DIAL-related to partial CoD of T3. GMR saw net loss of
`692m adjusted for one-time write-back of `1.4bn towards vendor
advances related to Island Power. Consolidated cash profit was `2.4bn.
Airports and Power weak, Roads steady. Airport EBITDA fell 25%
yoy due to higher opex of T3 booked in 2Q for the Jun-Sep ’10 period;
cargo volumes grew sharply in all the three airports. Higher depreciation
and interest costs due to T3 capitalization impacted profitability. Power
segment EBITDA was up ~80% qoq, boosted by higher merchant sales
by GEL (Tanir Bavi); it was 10% below our estimate, due to lower PLF
(40%) in Basin Bridge. Road segment EBITDA was steady and in line at
`783m, up 3% qoq on an adjusted basis. EBITDA from the ‘Others’
segment fell ~20% qoq due to consolidation of GHIAL’s hotel division.
T3 partially capitalized. About 46% (~`43bn) of the approved TPC
pertaining to T3 was capitalized in 2Q. After the shifting of domestic
operations (on 11 Nov), the remaining TPC would be capitalized in 3Q.
Project updates. GEL (Tanir Bavi) has been fully operational since Aug
’10, but only at 70% capacity due to lack of gas supplies; the 170MW
output is mainly being sold to APTRANSCO (100MW) at `4.3/unit.
Hungud-Hospet and Vemagiri expansion projects achieved FC in 2Q.
About `16bn of outstanding consolidated loans have been pre-paid.
AERA approved an ad hoc hike in UDF charges at HIAL; upfront fee
(US$78m) for Male airport was paid in Oct ’10 via short-term
borrowings in the SPV.
Maintain our long-term positive view. We retain Jun ’11 TP of `75,
based on SOTP. Catalysts are: i) regulatory approval for higher user
charges (e.g., UDF) to recover regulated revenues in DIAL, ii) gas
allocation by the EGoM and iii) divestment of stake in InterGen.
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